| User Report | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Submissions | 182 | First Seen In WSB | 1 year ago |
| Total Comments | 1338 | Previous DD | x x x |
| Account Age | 9 years | scan comment | scan submission |
| Vote Spam (NEW) | Click to Vote | Vote Approve (NEW) | Click to Vote |
1 more reply
Everything is transitory. It just depends on the time scale.
Life on earth? Transitory.
4 more replies
You calling JPOW a clown? Because my father was a clown and those folks work very hard.
Nobody said clowning and hard working were mutually exclusive.
This is my new favorite thing "HOW DARE YOU? Clowns work very hard!"
Clown? No, Powell's the joker. Evil to the bone, he's keeping the money printers at full speed in the face of runaway inflation.
But he won't get far, SPX has formed the batman pattern...
14 more replies
Now : inflation is good for you because your wages will go up too.
Ok so wages arent going up but inflation is healthy. Wuick change the definition to remove food and gas.
I been sayin it for almost a year. These clowns don’t have any idea what’s going on, but they’re supposed to know what’s going on so they just spew words and hope it’s right.
Hey, wait a minute. 🤔 If my wages stay the same and every fucking thing is much more expensive, then that's almost like getting a deduction in my pay, isn't it?
Joking aside, politicians like sleazy Joe fucking love inflation because it's essentially a heavy tax on working-class people, but most Americans are too fucking dumb to realize it.
6 more replies
Wings and steaks appear to have doubled in price since last year. Also those items account for like 90% of my diet! Gonna be an expensive Super Bowl, may not make it fam. 🤡😔
Yeah, when you’re down 50% due to bad plays, 7% inflation is not even a nuisance
5 more replies
5 more replies
Only if you thought every economist was a government employee on Twitter
3 more replies
It will only go down as long as your wages go up to match the inflation. I don't see anyone bragging about any big raises this year.
Bottlenecks are still a thing… Ask any person in the trades and they probably know someone who is out of work right now due to materials shortage.
My girlfriend’s stepbrother is a welder in Stockton CA and is unable to find much work due to materiel shortage. Semiconductors still in short supply, lumber has climbed again, etc
My brother in law sells semi trucks in CA (just down the road from Stockton actually) and at this point they aren’t even giving estimates as to when they can provide new trucks. They are estimating it will be over a year for orders to get filled.
Don’t know what is worse. Being out of work, or living in Stockton.
I work as a supplier. A liquid filled transformer used to be quoted at 6-10 weeks 2 years ago. Now is 51/54 weeks. Literally the worst time to build infrastructure.
I work for a fabrication company and we are constantly having supply issues
Lumbers not climbing, it’s blasting off. Front month futures (LBH22- March) have closed up limit for the past 7 days straight.
I'm an architect, we have had multiple clients come back and ask us to switch to metal framing due to lumber prices
We manufacture drip tubing for irrigation. We’ve been on back order for nearly two years. At one point during the pandemic our back order was so huge the amount of drip line needed to fill all the back order was enough to stretch from California to Florida. At this point getting off of backorder seems like an unrealistic fantasy.
I feel like lumber is only going to go up in price. At least until we start managing out forest better. Timber all across wood producing of regions of North America is being devastated by crown fires.
Everyone understands that bottlenecks are a thing. The question is how long will they remain a thing? The Fed was thinking like 6 months, but it's been 2 years and shits just getting worse independent of how Covid is unfolding which was initially thought to be the cause.
My husband is a mortician. He hasn't completely run out of embalming chemicals yet but they've been too close for comfort too many times this past year. And it took several months before the new embalming machine he ordered actually showed up, with no information on its tracking number the whole time.
44 more replies
erx is down today I bought calls on erx too
will we recover in your opinion?
Respect, it was well researched and well thought. Don't know about your risk management and strike selection but otherwise solid trade lol
11 more replies
They aren't clueless, they were lying. They can't fix it because it's cost-driven. The only way to fix it is with a Raytheon reset.
Edit: This stupid comment is the one that gets upvoted like crazy? Dammit Ricky, I was high when I said it!
And even if they were clueless they'd never admit it, unlike the meme
They aren't clueless, they were lying.
That's a lot of cynicism. Over and over economists have shown they're all clueless and have no ability to predict the future.
My highest rated comment was a halfassed bob saget eulogy I typed when high
Right, so WWII was basically stimulus that brought about a postwar boom.
You're basically saying abandon stimulus (which the Fed is busy doing) and instead switch to war for stimulus - a high-tech slaughter stimulus in other words (on the heels of two decades in Afghanistan...). I think I'll take 7%+ inflation.
Btw, the cost is driven by supply chain issues and probably corporate malfeasance. (And it's known lowering rates will increase lending, so the housing market run-up was predictable and predicted.)
They wouldn't need to lie if it was cost-driven alone, they could wash their hands of responsibility. Instead, they created surplus demand during a supply crunch, and made it worse.
17 more replies
As Argentinian, I welcome you to the wonderful world of inflation. I will be your guide. Things you want to do from now on:
Don't save in local currency, it is worthless.
Acquire more stable currencies and put your savings there.
However, don't put your savings in the bank. They will generate a meagre interest that it will be swallowed up by the inflation rate and the state will eventually convert your foreign currency savings to national currency, making it essentially worthless.
Do not buy foreign currency through legal agencies; they will have a record and when the inevitable tax on foreign currencies comes, you will be hit hard. Buy it instead on the informal market.
Keep it instead under your mattress; it won't generate revenue, but it won't lose value or face confiscation either.
Get in debt to the tits. Inflation will eat away at the payments anyway. Max out all your forms of credit.
Buy concrete and bricks, and other assorted building materials. Start building yourself a house in installments.
This is a facetious post and I seriously hope you guys recover from your inflation trouble, but all of the above items are legit things we do here in Argentina everyday. Best of luck.
This is very interesting. Say what you will about Crypto's functionality but hedging against inflation is an aspect I never really thought about.
I'm maxing out some medical loans and moving into my car, see ya later suckers
I lived in ‘Tina for two years and this post is so damn true. Everyone tried to buy dollars off me and I helped people build their houses with bricks and concrete in the villas. Espero que todo está bien con vos.
2 more replies
Huge piles of debt now and job security somewhere that they will at least attempt to keep your wages in line with inflation. Then go sell some of your smaller assets at the hyper inflated prices and pay off all your other debts. This is the real reason people with capital load up up on real estate. It’s probably the perfect hedge against big inflation numbers.
Can i ask how you prepare. I tio think iv prepared some, mainly through commodities. But how so other prepare?
Pretty sure hyperinflation is 50% MoM, we’re nowhere near that yet, too bearish
1 more reply
I like when they say inflation is a good thing. Quantity over quality right?
Fundamentally speaking, governments like inflation:
Pays off debts
Shadow tax on consumers, they don't easily see
Nominal wage gains accelerate
Inflation is fantastic in a low interest rate environment, since mortgage and long term debt is literally shrinking without being paid
Moderately high inflation is bad for banks and other lenders, and any fool who holds a significant portion of his net worth in cash.
Moderately high inflation in a booming job market is good for anyone working a job who holds a significant mortgage or other loans.
Inflation is good because it encourages spending and people spending money is required for a healthy economy. People make a little bit more money, things cost a bit more, thats means the system is working and money is circulating.
Think about it from the other side, deflation: it discourages spending. That car you want? It's gonna be a lot cheaper in a year. That loan you're planning on taking? Gonna be a lot smaller and cheaper to repay in a few years. It's an idle and stagnating system where little money is spent and the whole system suffers. The great depression was a period of stagnation like this and planned obsolescence is one of the things that came out of it to make sure money keeps flowing. Yes it sucks ass and should absolutely not be a thing anymore, especially from an environmental standpoint, but try telling a company they can't have infinite growth and mak all the money in the world.
Having said that, i am assuming a reasonable system. 7% inflation is crazy high (anything over 2,5% is already high) and if there is no effort by the government to increase wages along with prices it's a bad system that fucks people over. Austria has a system (not the Austrian school, that has nothing to do with modern day Austria) where the chamber for workers and employees and the Austrian economic chamber get together and negotiate over wage increases. The system has its own flaws obviously, but it's better than nothing and helps keep Austria's economy healthy.
Tl;dr inflation isn't bad, US government only caring about the rich is.
69 more replies
I think that should say government offical. Every economist was calling bullshit on the tranistory claim all along
So either the Fed is incompetent, or they've been lying under oath the entire time they talk about it. Nice
43 more replies
1 more reply
JPOW in March: Inflation has to be high to "encourage" the poors to go back to work. People saving money instead of spending it are the real problems!
Do you know who else has to be high to “encourage” the poors to go back to work?
MY MOM!!!
I am a bot, this action was performed automatically.
1 more reply
Biden: "We will do everything in our power to reduce inflation."
Also Biden: "I have nominated Printer Powell to serve as chairman of Fed. Reserve for a second term!"
Hey, leave Biden alone. He's already forgot that J. Pow did a term. To Biden he's giving the guy a chance.
“…as long as he expedites the reversal of QE and the 2019 interest rate cuts”
Biden specifically asked for trillions more to combat inflation with huild back better.
3 more replies
Doesn't take a PhD to know that when you print 40% more USDs and panic-dump them all into the market, that glut of dollars is going to be sloshing around for a while. Too many dollars are going to keep chasing too few goods for years.
JPow was doing one of those Congress testimonies (btw nothing will make you hate Congress more than listening to one of these things) and one of the guys had printed out the M2 money stock FRED thing and just was like "wouldn't printing more money cause inflation"
Except that inflation is from lack of supply, not monetary policy.
Every country in the world is experiencing inflation due to supply constraints regardless of how they’ve handled they’re monetary and fiscal policies.
And no, the US/EU isn’t the whole world. Most countries don’t have the luxury of printing 40% more USDs/Euros without becoming another Venezuela. Or take on unlimited debt like the US/EU either.
In fact, developing countries are begging for preferential rates on their international loans because of the rise in prices of everything, and here you hear people calling for higher interest rates which would only couse more instability in the developing world.
If the problem was simply too much money supply in the system, then we wouldn’t be seeing record prices in necessities like food and medicine which will have a constant demand regardless of the money supply.
Also 900k are dead (officially, probably more), some of those people had jobs...
18 more replies
Fuck inflation and how middle class it is making me. I was like upper middle class until this shit.
The majority of people that think they are middle class are actually lower class and just don’t realize it.
1 more reply
I knew this transitory talk was bullshit last summer and I didn’t even stay in a Holiday Inn Express.
Mindlessly printing money has consequences, who would have thought.
3 more replies
3 more replies
Coincidentally corporate profits are an all-time high. Maybe it's not inflation but deliberate market manipulation
So youre telling me the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer?
2 more replies
Yeah but come on who would have thought adding 10 TRILLION dollars to the economy would cause inflation! 🤡
Something, something velocity of money?
Honestly, I'm half tempted to go back to old discussions from last year so I can rub people's noses in their own shit. Anyone with an iota of common sense saw this coming.
Just please, for good sakes, forget about GameStop and check out these stocks instead
3 more replies
ItS oK tHe FeDeRaL rEsErVe WiLl FiX iT aNd PrInT mOrE mOnEy. WiN wIn.
The truth is, you're always losing money: your trades must go down, inflation, eating, bills, etc. The only way to get by is by getting paid more to counter all that loss
2 more replies
And yet corporate profits are skyrocketing. I wonder if the inflation is caused by greed? And not supply issues.
It's both. Many industries have legit supply chain issues that are causing inflation. Other industries see it as a good opportunity to jack up their prices for no reason other than to take advantage of the inflationary climate and rake in higher margins.
? Inflation by default will cause record profits. 100$ Rev -> 50$ profit 200$ Rev -> 100$ profit
Profit MARGIN is the metric your looking for.
The profit motive had always been there. If greed caused inflation, we'd see 10% inflation every year.
36 more replies
Literally everyone has been saying this would happen for fucking ever people only said all that other shit cause they were in denial and knew the truth or they were paid to lie. Its not like its day 1 economics that exploding the money supply without exploding the goods and services would cause inflation or anything. Fucking ridiculous. And the average person doesn't have a fucking clue. They don't have a clue how money works. They don't have a fucking clue how the media manipulates them. They don't have a clue about how power and politics are in bed and have been since before ancient Rome was even a fucking idea.
9 more replies
More money in “circulation” but 10,000 ppl own 50% of it.
How could this happen?
Fidelity just sent me an email saying we might have reached peak inflation. Which means it’s time to sell the stocks before dropping inflation drops the share prices.
2 more replies
True Austrian economists have predicted 9 of the last 5 recessions
1 more reply
It's almost like printing 1/3 of all US currency in a year and a half time period causes inflation... nah that can't be it...
Legit curious question; I live overseas, if it was just the US printing money then how come we’re seeing inflation as well?
19 more replies
None of them would ever admit that they don't have a clue. That would be the truth.
I feel like we’re in that movie Don’t look up . We’re at the stage where everyone sees the asteroid coming at us but the only people with the escape pods are the rich .
8 more replies
It will.
There’s major issues with supply that are still ongoing when Omicron peaks are just ending.
This sub just thinks transitory meant a week or something when it just meant not permanent.
13 more replies
I have a buddy freaking out about locking in his home loan next week. He says there was a rate jump of nearly 2% this week and he’s afraid of another one.
I’ve been one year from being able to buy a house since 2019…. I feel his pain.
How is it a surprise that we have inflation after printing trillions of dollars per month for half a year? Am I taking crazy pills? This is obvious as fuck, right?
How did my house flood? All I did was plug up all the drains, turn on all the faucets, and go on vacation? What is the underlying cause of this flooding, and is it even flooding or do I just have water everywhere?
Holy dumbfuck, Batman
3 more replies
US: Increases money supply by 33% in two years
US: Economist predicting high inflation but don't know why
People in Economics 101 class: bro wtf.... It's on page 12 graph number 3....
2 more replies
I remember in elementary school I asked why the government doesn't just print more money so everyone becomes rich, and my teacher told because then things will just cost more. How do these politicians not understand that?
Congratulations, you were unironically more intelligent than the people that run America when you were a young child.
They can’t raise rates because we are over 30 trillion in debt. Anyone who thinks you can just keep going into debt with no repercussions is as big of a fool as our politicians.
3 more replies
I found it truly baffling how many people were denying inflation in the beginning. Once the real numbers of all the printing went public I knew there was not going back. Hell how do I know? Because it happened in my own country. Sure you’re not going to be as bad as Venezuela but you need to prepare and address the problem NOW. Hopefully the people in charge (sigh) do what needs to be done
Start firing people, lesa paying jobs, less money, inflation problem solved. So we can start printing money again.... Oh wait!
Turns out when sellers realize they can charge more and people will pay it, they keep charging more (plus actual inflationary pressures)
Companies are taking advantage of inflation by sneaking in massive price increases and blaming it on "supply chain" problems.
Of course, once they've forced customers to pay an excessive amount for everything, they'll never reduce prices ever again.
This is how all good dumbass propaganda works. The premises make sense, but the conclusion doesn’t follow.
Hate to sound country but get a deep freezer and store and can veggies. I’ve got to learn how to get better at canning. Hopefully I can buy chickens for eggs.
Idk who these “economist” are but a 40+ year trend of corruption that finally is catching up to the world isn’t hard to figure out. I took a macro economics class once
We need to just like, ditch the dollar and adopt the puka shell as the primary currency again.
1 more reply
“We don’t know how to make this sound like a good thing, so you could say that means we don’t know anything”
8 more replies
It was transitory when they were pushing Build Back Better. When that got shot down they admitted they were lying.
This is Biden’s America. If economists like Jim Cramer didn’t see that shit in the beginning then he’s a shithead like the rest of them. Inflation was inevitable.
BCE with lagarde still don’t want to move. Thank god in france we compute inflation in such way that doesn’t make the current gov look bad in a presidential election year
Bought hella oil, consumer staples, and reit calls and 1dte spy puts. Here we go
In my mind, I picture that Chappell's show scene where if the "Internet was a real place" and the difference between the paid music kiosk, and the free music store where everyone is running out in a frenzy after having robbed the joint.
That's what I picture is going on with the Fed, and the money printing situation right now.
Any of them actually admitted that theyve got no clue whats going on?
What if we print more money? That would never make inflation worse!
Oh shit, I thought this said 1921-1922.
Thinking of Weimar Germany. Still works.
You’d think the Wall Street Journal just learned the word inflation existed based on how many articles they wrote about it today
They are intentionally lying to you and making money doing it. If you ever fell for the 'transitory' bullshit, you are the sucker
1 more reply
Thats why Economist is called the dismal science. It's more like pseudo science than real science.
Degenerates
Buying FDs