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Disagree. Putin has resources to sustain a long-term pressure campaign that will continue to destabilize Ukraine. NATO loses long game because too many moving pieces. I've moved to position that harsh sanctions should be invoked now; esp wrt to Moscow on Thames
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I agree. The ultimatum should be “withdraw your forces from Ukraine border or face crippling sanctions against the Russian government and oligarchs.” We’re saying, Invade Ukraine and and the sanctions will come.”
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I believe Putin’s minimum desired outcome it to establish one or both of Crimea and Eastern Ukraine as acknowledged provinces of Russia Redrawn borders to the current defacto Not sure he will back off with less than one of those
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My belief is that this begins and ends with the oligarchs that prop up Putin's power. Putin's not getting any younger, but he had the perceived power of a weak Trump. He needed to show that he's still on top, by pushing Joe Biden around, but that hasn't worked
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So when Russia invades tonight, Ukrainians get slaughtered and NATO stands back and do nothing what is the response going to be? Well we tried. When US fails to lead, the world crumbles. So well done everyone. Glad you are united: in your inaction.
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Is your plan for NATO, led by the US, to launch a preemptive attack to start WWIII? Let it be Putin’s war. NATO is far more united than it has been 5 yrs & will make him & Russia pay dearly. Just hope the nukes don’t start flying- then it will make no difference who started it.
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Full scale invasion happens only if there is under the table "unity" with the West, otherwise what will happen is clear - they will continue their military operations in the already occupied lands in Eastern and Southern Ukraine. As for sanctions, EU remains unreliable
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Putin should begin withdrawal of his military machine tomorrow. His broad mandate has been a military exercise ending Monday. If he initiates stand down, he will fulfill his mandate, show the West, in particular the US, to be alarmist and wrong. Will be a victory for all.
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What do you think that deployment is costing per day? $6-$10 million? Not including fuel, food and medicine. Don’t forget the human toll on extended field deployments and the cold. This is costing Russia tons.
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