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“1 European official told WaPo in Munich that ‘we have no clear evidence ourselves that Putin has made up his mind & we have not seen anything that would suggest otherwise.’ Another said… ‘at this stage we do not have such clear intelligence’ that Putin has decided to invade.”

Quote Tweet

John Hudson

@John_Hudson

· 17h

NEW: Biden’s confidence about Russian military action came from U.S. intel about an order given to Russian subordinates to proceed with a full-scale attack, per sources washingtonpost.com/national-secur

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3:03 AM · Feb 20, 2022Twitter for iPad

Replying to

and

Ahh

Replying to

and

Were both Germans?

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(((M.Unbenannt)))

@WirrIst_DasVolk

Quote Tweet

Samuel Ramani

@SamRamani2

· 17h

Germany and Ukraine are both challenging US predictions of a Russian invasion. A rare alignment.

1

Replying to

and

Germany needs that

Replying to

and

Russia: moves 2/3 of forces 50 km away from border to 30 km away to 15 km away to 3 km away 1 European official:

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(((M.Unbenannt)))

@WirrIst_DasVolk

They just correctly stated that they don't have intelligence proving Putin has decided to go ahead. They don't claim it's likely he won't in the end.

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3

Show replies

Replying to

Follow

and see what is actually happening

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1

yes, i do, thank you

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and

@LeAnnaRitter84

As Browder says Ominous!

Quote Tweet

Bill Browder

@Billbrowder

· Feb 19

This is the order just signed by Putin ordering all army reserves to assemble. Ominous

Replying to

Who cares...I don't get why people are so hung up on what Biden said. Yes, at the end of the day it's a guess. Nothing is set in stone. If Biden calling it out is gonna prevent something from happening, then that's a good thing.

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generalzod Ronnie Pickering

@general18492674

Europeans, have always been fickled about this issue. Ready for appeasement , and to capitulate to Russia. By Monday, everyone will know what is happening and the world will not be the same again.

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Replying to

and

1

Replying to

Apparently Baghdad Bob has made a comeback as a no-name European official who comments on background.

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"‘at this stage we do not have such clear intelligence’ that Putin has decided to invade.”

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@BradanFeasaDubh

Replying to

Frankly, I'd not expect them to have clear intelligence on Putin's mindset. The downstream evidence is more important, since we're unlikely to have great intel on his inner circle.

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@BradanFeasaDubh

During all of this chatter, I just keep noting that European countries have consistently taking a stronger posture after US intel was shared with them. Disagreement over specific claims may not be all that relevant.

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Bathsheba Dreams in Blue

*that is

John J. McKevitt III

Replying to

How much of this differnce of opinion is due to US > resources / methods for obtaining this info?

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i don’t know, would think that is part of it, and then whether the US shares the nature of the intel itself

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Replying to

and

NATO and EU states that do understand RU (read: have means to gather actionable intel from there) cant share their intel w (quite) a few EU states because.. actors in those countries' gov leak to RU.. US apparently took the risk to share with some though.

3

Marc Polymeropoulos

Replying to

Few nations have the all source collection capabilities that the US has. Not a surprise at all.

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Replying to

Do said officials have the spy ware that USA have?

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