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It would be interesting to see how Ukraine deployments stack up. Not saying Ukraine is going to attack just I think if we saw that it would look less one sided
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It IS onesided. Ukraine wants to be left alone, Russia wants to own Ukraine.
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There'a about 1,500-1,700 Russian troops in breakaway Transdniestria in eastern Moldova
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![Image](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="422" height="680"><rect fill-opacity="0"/></svg>)
Those are absolute numbers, but Russia does not deploy 100%, more like 64% of them, while Ukraine forces will and are 100% deployed. Thats a huge difference.
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I count 13x armies (XXXX) in your diagram. If we assume that all the other divisions and brigades on your diagram add up to about two armies, then roughly each army is 10k people, comprised of 6 battalion tactical groups (that’s about right - approx 1500 people per BTG
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So there are 30k forces and a division of aero something or other (sorry, can’t read Russian) in Belarus. 30k forces is actually 15k when you remove enablers. 15k forces to move 100 miles (ish) to Kiev.
Don’t buy it. You couldn’t protect your own supply lines.
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I am not an expert but 150k does not sound like an appropriately large enough invasion force to me.
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Russia's total BTG count is 168. 87 of them are already on the borders with Ukraine, and about 10 are on the way.
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Russian ground forces are approximatedly 300K.
So, ~120K of ground forces means nearly a half.
87 out of Russia's total 168 BTGs are currently on Ukrainian borders. This is highly unusual.
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Based on what I have seen, the 100K figure is now history. There was a big movement of troops on the past 3 weeks. and would be better placed to comment on this.
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They're maybe 2 weeks behind. This is an underestimate of the current disposition of forces.
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Economist wrote 100+ BTGs
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vs 
map is almost like picture from 
manual how Soviet style OPFOR would act.
apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA30![Image](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="633" height="615"><rect fill-opacity="0"/></svg>)
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It might be a VERY realistic war-game, or a very costly bluff, if you will. As it appears now, small advances, no invasion...count Vlad CANNOT take all the U. (but, perh., the MARIUPOL corridor)! & he's completely taken 
.
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Also in any buildup to a conflict one has to be sceptical about intelligence figures.
Firstly honest estimates can be way off, and secondly do not expect honest press releases.
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Those are absolute numbers, but Russia does not deploy 100%, more like 64% of them, while Ukraine forces will and are 100% deployed. Thats a huge difference.
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still not nearly enough for a full scale invasion.
taking in consideration the fact that Russians would be attacking defended positions they would need at least 5 times more men ( according to Russian doctrine ideally 10 to 1 for a successful attack on a defended position)...
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...than the defenders... and that's with the advantages in weaponry.
if we consider that Ukraine probably has a out 300 thousand fighters it can count on, I don't think the Russians would attempt to take over the entire country without 1.5 million soldiers Which would....
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We are not ready for WW3! And never will be! #StopWar #StopProvoking #stopusa #StopRussianAggression
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According to that map, there are more than 1.2 million troops massed around Ukraine, because the symbol with "XXXX" refers to an army, which has between a 100 and 300 thousand troops. According to the WikiP, the RF has little more than a million active.
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Guess it's put up or shut up time for Ukraine. Those who underestimated Russia are now aware they've done so.
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Dünya hiçbir zaman barış içinde yaşamak için gayret etmeyecek canlıların bir önemi olmayacak din mezhep beyaz zenci diye insanlar birbirlerini öldürmeye devam edecek ve yolun sonunda şeytan kazanacak insanlar hiçbir zaman barış içinde olamayacak bu çok üzücü
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It should be 3 times more attackers than defenders for effective offensive. At least it was a standard in WW2.
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