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2/ This study is interesting in many other ways. The CDC only counts 13 days+ second day as vaccinated. That means, looking at this, they would say ~5% of all CoV+ patients are vaxed. But if we count all people w/any vax, it's actually 19%, and vaxed are tested at lower rates.
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4/ This methodology doesn't tell us how many people in each group (vaxed vs. unvaxed) were exposed. By May, vaccination rates in 50+ were roughly 65%, so this 53/47 split among vaxed/unvaxed, may suggest a lower CLI-like hospitalization rate, even w/12% lower testing of vaxed.
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5/ has a very long interesting thread on this--but to me, there are still a lot of questions here. But what IS clear, is that in terms of absolute numbers of hospitalizations, CoV+ unvaccinated is shockingly small (at least in this study).
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Ben M.
@USMortality
·
I have calculated Covid19 Hosp. Vaccine Efficacy (VE) based on the raw numbers, and I arrive at 91%. That's close, and the reason why it's off by 2% is the additional statistical corrections the authors did (age, testing bias, etc.).
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Vastly reduced air travel from the hotspot of yearly flu, southeast Asia. Rest of the world needs recurring re-introduction of strains from there
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This analysis is flagrantly wrong and a simple "if we say it's so then it's so regardless of any evidence we present". The graphs show no such thing - if this is even from the same article? Misleading. At best.
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返信先: さん
Great work! Thank you for this. I wanted to put big labels on the chart, just to make it easier to see the main idea at a glance. I ended up adding some of your commentary and sources too, to make it a nice single shareable image.
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