Coronavirus is weakening, could die out on its own without a vaccine and patients now survive infections that would have killed them at start of the pandemic, claims Italian expert

  • Professor Matteo Bassetti has again claimed the virus is getting weaker
  • Said it may have mutated and weakened or people infected with small amounts
  • But scientists have hit back at the claim in the past, saying no evidence for belief 
  • Here’s how to help people impacted by Covid-19

The coronavirus, once an 'aggressive tiger' of a disease, has weakened and become more like a wild cat, according to a top Italian doctor.

Professor Matteo Bassetti said he is convinced the virus is 'changing in severity' and patients are now surviving infections that would have killed them before. 

And if the virus's weakening is true, Covid-19 could even disappear without a for a vaccine by becoming so weak it dies out on its own, he claimed. 

He has said multiple times in recent months that patients with Covid-19 seem to be faring much better than they were at the start of the epidemic in Italy.

Professor Bassetti suggests this could be because of a genetic mutation in the virus making it less lethal, because of improved treatments, or because people are not getting infected with such large doses because of social distancing. 

But other scientists have hit back at the claims in the past and said there is no scientific evidence that the virus has changed at all.

Professor Matteo Bassetti,

Professor Matteo Bassetti, the chief of infectious diseases at San Martino General Hospital in Genoa, Italy, said the virus has changed since March and April

Professor Bassetti, the chief of infectious diseases at San Martino General Hospital in Genoa, Italy, told The Sunday Telegraph the virus could wither away on its own.

He said: 'It was like an aggressive tiger in March and April but now it's like a wild cat. Even elderly patients, aged 80 or 90, are now sitting up n bed and they are breathing without help. The same patients would have died in two or three days before.'

Italy was one of the worst hit countries in the world during the pandemic's early stages, and has now recorded more than 238,000 positive cases and 34,000 deaths.

Scientists have said the elderly population there, the virus spreading in rural areas and the suddenness of the outbreak contributed to the country's high death toll. 

Professor Bassetti suggests that one of the reasons the virus might be causing less serious illness is a genetic mutation which has made it less damaging to people's lungs.

Or, he said, people may simply be receiving smaller amounts when they get infected, because of social distancing and lockdown rules, making them less sick.

This theory depends on the severity of someone's illness being affected by their 'viral load' - the amount of virus that gets into someone's body when they're first struck by it.

Professor Bassetti said: 'The clinical impression I have is that the virus is changing in severity.

HOW AND WHY CAN VIRUSES LOSE POTENCY OVER TIME? 

Viruses are known to change over time because they are subject to random genetic mutations in the same way that all living things are.

These mutations can have various effects and many will only happen briefly and not become a permanent change as newer generations of viruses replace the mutated ones.

However, some of the mutations might turn out to be advantageous to the virus, and get carried forward into future generations.

For example, if a virus becomes less dangerous to its host - that is, it causes fewer symptoms or less death - it may find that it is able to live longer and reproduce more.

As a result, more of these less dangerous viruses are produced and they may go on to spread more effectively than the more dangerous versions, which could be stamped out by medication because more people realise they are ill, for example. 

The mutation may then be taken forward in the stronger generations and become the dominant version of the virus.

In an explanation of an scientific study about HIV, the NHS said in 2014: 'The optimal evolutionary strategy for a virus is to be infectious (so it creates more copies of itself) but non-lethal (so its host population doesn’t die out).

'The "poster boy" for successful long-living viruses is, arguably, the family of viruses that cause the, which has existed for thousands of years.'    

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'In March and early April the patterns were completely different. People were coming to the emergency department with a very difficult to manage illness and they needed oxygen and ventilation, some developed pneumonia.

'Now, in the past four weeks, the picture has completely changed in terms of of patterns. 

'There could be a lower viral load in the respiratory tract, probably due to a genetic mutation in the virus which has not yet been demonstrated scientifically.' 

The infectious disease doctor has made similar claims in the past but sparked criticism for being over-optimistic.

He said at the beginning of June: 'The strength the virus had two months ago is not the same strength it has today.'

But other scientists did not welcome the idea and said there was no evidence to back up Professor Bassetti's claims.

Dr Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz, from the University of Wollongong in Australia, told MailOnline that the idea the virus has disappeared 'seems dubious'. 

The epidemiologist warned Italy - which was the centre of Europe's coronavirus crisis in March - was still recording new Covid-19 cases and deaths, showing the virus was still a danger.

At the start of June, in response to Professor Bassetti's claim, Dr Angela Rasmussen, from Columbia University, tweeted: 'There is no evidence that the virus is losing potency anywhere.' 

She added less transmission means fewer hospitalisations and deaths - but warned: 'That doesn't mean less virulence.'

The virulence of a virus is how dangerous the illness is but may not directly relate to how contagious it is. 

Dr Seema Yasmin, an epidemiologist from Stanford University, said the idea was 'bulls***'. 

Dr Oscar MacLean, of the University of Glasgow, added: 'These claims are not supported by anything in the scientific literature, and also seem fairly implausible on genetic grounds.

'The vast majority of SARS-CoV-2 mutations are extremely rare, and so whilst some infections may be attenuated by certain mutations, they are highly unlikely to be common enough to alter the nature of the virus at a national or global level...

'Making these claims on the basis of anecdotal observations from swab tests is dangerous. 

'Whilst weakening of the virus through mutations is theoretically possible, it is not something we should expect, and any claims of this nature would need to be verified in a more systematic way. 

'Without significantly stronger evidence, no one should unnecessarily downplay the danger this highly virulent virus poses, and risk the ongoing society-wide response.' 

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Coronavirus has withered 'from an aggressive tiger to a wild cat', Italian scientist claims

The comments below have not been moderated.

As the epidemic progresses, the stronger strain of virus disappears because of the death of the host or early isolation of symptomatic patient, but the weaker strain persists because asymptomatic/ mildly symptomatic patients keep on propagating it. As a result the 1st wave of epidemic wanes. However as more and more people become immune to the virus, it mutates to stronger strain in order to survive. This strain is now able to evade more defence mechanisms of the host. However in immune community it is unable to make significant impact. But as soon as it finds non immune community, it will cause more devastation than the previous strain owing to its newly acquired potentials. As a result second wave of epidemic becomes more dangerous than the first wave.

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Wait, how are the drug companies going to make money? Quick, get this doctor.

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The reason health officials don't like this guy is that he is letting the cat out of the bag over the governmental panic and hype over a manufactured pandemic that hasn't even killed the number of people that die every year from the flu.

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I say this has been a experiment all along

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No no no, don't say that, people are relaxing the code already and the number of infections are rising, this statement will not help.

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Hire that man! DJT

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I suspect that the viral looaad made the most difference. Even when it was at its peak, the only people who got really siicck were in high-viral-looaad situations, like trains, planes, gyms and nuurrsing homes. Ventilating these daannk spaces to keep the air clean should have been part of the plan from the start.

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I suspect that the viral load made the most difference. Even when it was at its peak, the only people who got really sick were in high-viral-load situations, like trains, planes, gyms and nursing homes. Ventilating these dank spaces to keep the air clean should have been part of the plan from the start.

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Please let it die out so my fiancs awful kids can go back to school. Theyve been out of school since March.

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Everybody's children have been out of school since March.

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I guess he has not read all the reports that it is spiking again. SMH

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And of course you believe those reports don't you. Brainwashed sheep !

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Yes it is spiking. AND less people are croaking. Kinda supports his point; see you in a month to see who's correct...

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