2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

Last updated: Monday, February 17, 2020 at 8:29:02 AM Coordinated Universal Time (✓ realtime).

Due to the time difference between these disease outbreaks being on the order of years, it may not be fair to make an 'apples to apples' comparison between them. These charts are meant to be as informative as possible with the data we have at our disposal, but should be viewed with an open mind as many factors may have changed over the time span of years.


Deceased
045090013501800Day 7Day 15Day 24Day 33Day 45
  • SARS (deceased)
  • Swine Flu (deceased)
  • nCov Worldwide (deceased)


Infected
020000400006000080000Day 7Day 15Day 24Day 33Day 45
  • SARS (infected)
  • Swine Flu (infected)
  • nCov Worldwide (infected)


Infected (dashed-line) vs Deceased (full-line)
045090013501800020000400006000080000Day 1Day 5Day 9Day 13Day 17Day 21Day 25Day 29Day 33Day 37Day 41Day 45
  • SARS (infected)
  • Swine Flu (infected)
  • nCov Worldwide (infected)


China vs Hubei
045090013501800015000300004500060000Day 1Day 5Day 9Day 13Day 17Day 21Day 25Day 29Day 33Day 37Day 41Day 45
  • nCov Hubei (Including Wuhan) (infected)
  • nCov China (without Hubei) (infected)


Left: China (without Hubei) vs Right: World
035007000105001400002505007501000Day 1Day 5Day 9Day 13Day 17Day 21Day 25Day 29Day 33Day 37Day 41Day 45
  • nCov Worldwide (without China) (infected)
  • nCov China (without Hubei) (infected)


2019 Novel Coronavirus

Novel simply means new, the name will change.

Also known as the Wuflu, 2019-nCoV and similar.

In the same coronavirus family as SARS and MERS among others.

Incubation period

Median incubation period is 4.8 days.

95% of cases was between 2 to 7 days.

The time from infection to symptoms appear
Source
Asymptomatic transmissions

Asymptomatic has been proven by German researchers.

It is assumed this is not the major cause of spread, so it's not prioritized

Spreading the virus without any symptoms
Source
R0 - Rate of Infection

This is how many others 1 infected person will infect.

A number lower than 1 means it will die out, higher means it will continue to spread.

2019-nCoV's latest R0 is assumed to be between 1.4 and 3.8

Note, this is a highly fluid number, and changes based on all forms of quarantine, hygiene, demographics, weather and similar. Only based on mathematical prognoses after the fact.

In comparison SARS was 3.3 (ref) and MERS is under 1 (ref).

Source
2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

Tracking started 2020-01-11

Source: https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/01/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

2003 SARS

Tracking started 2003-03-21

Source: http://www.diaspoir.net/health/sars/Total.html

2009 Swine Flu

Tracking started 2009-04-24

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_flu_pandemic_table_April_2009

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