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OmerOzkizilcik's profile
Ömer Özkizilcik
Ömer Özkizilcik
Ömer Özkizilcik
@OmerOzkizilcik

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Ömer Özkizilcik

@OmerOzkizilcik

Work at the Security Department of @setavakfi in Ankara, columnist at @TheNewTurkey and as the editor in chief of @suriyegundemi_ E-Mail: hozkizilcik@setav.org

Ankara, Türkiye
omerozkizilcik.wordpress.com
Joined August 2016

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Ömer Özkizilcik‏ @OmerOzkizilcik

The #Assad regime has relaunched it's military campaign into Idlib. The war of attrition has already been decided. #Russia-backed regime forces are way superior to the Syrian opposition in #Idlib. Without a significant and strong change, the fate of Idlib will be a disaster.pic.twitter.com/8fM5hcMsB6

4:48 AM - 25 Jan 2020
  • 2 Retweets
  • 4 Likes
  • Omar Alabdullah Ilyas Ali Tony Soprano
1 reply 2 retweets 4 likes
    1. New conversation
    2. Ömer Özkizilcik‏ @OmerOzkizilcik 19h19 hours ago

      What are the options to prevent 2 million possible #refugees and putting 3,3 million civilians into danger of being killed by regime forces and #Russian airpower? I personally see many, but only one may be realistic: -> Establishing a security corridor for civilians in #Idlib.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    3. Ömer Özkizilcik‏ @OmerOzkizilcik 19h19 hours ago

      There is a visible increase of #Turkish arms supplies of ATGMs, Grad missiles and ammunition to the #Syrian opposition in #Idlib BUT this is only increasing the cost for the #Assad regime and #Russia which they seem ready to pay. It does not change the ultimate outcome.pic.twitter.com/BcFOEz8nqX

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    4. Ömer Özkizilcik‏ @OmerOzkizilcik 19h19 hours ago

      The military balance of power could be changed theoretically by sending air-defense systems or sophisticated weapons to Idlib but there is no willingness to do so. Another option could be a direct Turkish intervention but this is being restricted by the Russian air superiority.

      2 replies 2 retweets 4 likes
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    5. Ömer Özkizilcik‏ @OmerOzkizilcik 19h19 hours ago

      #Turkey could theoretically pressure #Russia by equating the #Russian arguments for #Idlib and #HTS to the situation of the #YPG, but this is been restricted by the #US and the #EuropeanUnion who would show the interest it does not show for #Idlib.

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    6. Ömer Özkizilcik‏ @OmerOzkizilcik 19h19 hours ago

      The only option to prevent a humanitarian disaster & a new massive refugee flow to Turkey & Europe is the establishment of a security corridor along the Turkish-Syrian border. If this zone is being supported, it could safe millions of civilians & enable Syrians to stay in Syria.

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    7. End of conversation

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