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MOSCOW-BERLIN-ANKARA v. PARIS-ABU DHABI-BENGHAZI Ceasefire is RU-TR win -> Brokers w/o heavy combat FRANCE agnst Turkey in E Med; Needs Haftar in Sahel (Chad = Haftar ally) UAE agnst TR presence in Maghreb HAFTAR agnst RU-TR joint ceasefire monitoring Who will move whom?
7:08 PM · Jan 18, 2020Twitter Web App
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Michael the only thing i see is arms puring in this will be another useless paper like the previous ones regardless of who will move who in the diplomatic arena.Hope i am wrong but i dont see a perminent solution.
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Exactly Michael. Merkel (fully focused on Refugees in Syria and Libya) uses RF-TUR pact against Trump’s sanctions and Macron’s uphand. Critical questions: 1) Turkey gets Airbase/Seabase? 2) French-Egypt-Greek-UAE-Jordan line moves AFVs Missiles Air Strike a/c? 3) Interceptions?
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Stalemate. Too many divergent interests among the principals. No agreement will hold.
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bleeds fighting multi front Haftar LNA advances GNA looses more oil revenue
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finally act and work out a deal with
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Sooner and later Turkey is going to a war with Egypt and Greece. They overstate their power and it will be thier downfall. They can not stop and watch,and they will continue sending troop and eventually from indirect to a direct confrontation with Egypt and greece. Turkey is ugly
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