Mohamed EljarhVerified account

بالنسبة ليا اكبر خيبة أمل في هذا الصراع الليبي x ليبي لا تتمثل في نوعية الدعم الذي تتلقاه قواة الجيش او كمية المرتزقة اللي جابوهم حكومة الوفاق بل تتمثل في أخلاق و تعليم و عنصرية مجموعة كبيرة من المواطنين و خاصة على وسائل التواصل مما يشكل خطر واضح على النسيج الاجتماعي #خسارة

Fingers crossed for #BerlinConference today. People in #Libya urgently need a break from violence! I just hoped we had more women and Libyans not wearing weapons sitting around that table today... Might make the process more sustainable, as research shows.https://twitter.com/regsprecher/status/1218583533947629568…

MOSCOW-BERLIN-ANKARA v. PARIS-ABU DHABI-BENGHAZI Ceasefire is RU-TR win -> Brokers w/o heavy combat FRANCE agnst Turkey in E Med; Needs Haftar in Sahel (Chad = Haftar ally) UAE agnst TR presence in Maghreb HAFTAR agnst RU-TR joint ceasefire monitoring Who will move whom?

The Moroccan foreign minister is talking to Al Jazeera, asking why Morocco and Tunisia were excluded from the #BerlinConference. Note that Qatar was also excluded, after Emirati-Egyptian pressures on Germany.https://twitter.com/AJABreaking/status/1218642734325497856…

These latest closures choreographed to appear as popular movement. While popular support is there, obviously LNA gave their go ahead. LNA probably thinks this can play in their favour in the context of Berlin summit, so that internationals might pressure GNA to make concessions.

These 2020 closures - timed on eve of Berlin Conference on #Libya - are clear attempt of LNA to bring again to forefront the issue of how public revenues are managed and to underscore that they remain main military power on ground.

In 2018 LNA-led closures were reaction to militias attempting to dislodge Haftar forces from Oil Crescent. Re-ignited accusations that oil revenues accrued in Tripoli Central Bank were used against LNA & prompted demands that CBL be audited. 18 months on, v limited progress there

Closures of oil terminals have always been a way to impose demands on Tripoli. Occurred in 2014-16, and again 2018, with different protagonists and somewhat different goals. In hind sight, those behind closures rarely - if ever - achieved what they demanded in 1st place.

In 2014-16 oil terminal closures triggered by demands for investigations into alleged corruption in Tripoli, more wealth redistribution & decentralisation. None of these achieved: corruption ramping, no decentralisation. Libya lost billions $$ in oil revenues.https://twitter.com/ClaudiaGazzini/status/1218597782635909122…

“the “post-truth era.” Charles Lewis, the founder of the Center for Public Integrity, described ours as a period in which “up is down and down is up and everything is in question and nothing is real.” So your truth may not be my truth. Good luck to us all!

Quite fascinating how racist towards the East a lot of the comments are. "Those bedou don't deserve a say". The Tribes are definitely willing participants.

Finally, the closure illustrates the steadily increasing difficulty of managing the bifurcation in Libya’s system of governance. It is almost impossible for most state institutions and state owned entities to prevent themselves being dragged into the governance dispute

The closure of the oil ports may be seen as a means of building pressure ahead of Berlin, but it is ultimately self-defeating as all Libyans (including LAAF) rely on oil revenues.

On the contrary, I am calling for the protection of civilian planes from such fate. We should stop risking civilians and civilian infrastructure by using it for military purposes. Bombing it can never be justified in my view. #Libya

Threats from tribes & local communities to shut down oil facilities in eastern #Libya in response to the increased Turkish involvement were public since last yr. By closing oil terminals ahead of #Berlin these tribes/local communities want their voices heard in #Berlin tomorrow.

المؤسسة الوطنية للنفط تعلن حالة القوة القاهرة بعد إيقاف صادرات النفط في موانئ البريقة وراس لانوف والحريقة والزويتينة والسدرة. @NOC_Libya قالت أن الأمر سيؤدي إلى خسائر في إنتاج النفط بمقدار 800 ألف برميل في اليوم، بالإضافة إلى خسائر مالية يومية تقدّر بحوالي 55 مليون دولار يوميا.

There is a lazy (blame it all on #Haftar) tendency among some of #Libya's experts/commentators. Beware of those. Haftar is the result of the failure of NATO's intervention in 2011 to overthrow Qaddafi & failure of #Libya's transitional leaders to establish a new regime.

Day four of the ceasefire and it's still largely holding despite expectations of a return to fighting. There were skirmishes in Garabulli and other areas, relatively light. Shelling and airstrikes usually intensify at this time of night but nothing audible yet. #Libya #Tripoli

As I mentioned in a previous tweet yesterday. This could be instrumentalized by Haftar, as it was instrumentalized in the past by Jathran or NOC East or any other actor. However, this doesn't take away the fact that it's a popular demand that has been evident/public for months.

This is a demeaning tweet from @W_Lacher - it clearly takes away right/agency of local communities in Eastern #Libya to air their grievances. I disagree with the use of oil/gas/revenues as a bargaining chip/tool in conflict. But all sides do that. #Libyahttps://twitter.com/W_Lacher/status/1218204850846076934?s=20…

سفارة هولندا (NlambLib@) تؤيد تأييدا كاملا البيان الصحفي حول الإفراج الفوري عن النائبة سهام سرقيوة. لن تُنسى انتهاكات حقوق الإنسان وسيتم #محاسبة مرتكبوها.https://twitter.com/UKinLibya/status/1218212716801929217…