Mohamed EljarhVerified account

@Eljarh

All things Libya . Opinions are my own & my own only RT≠Endorsement. Formerly

Libya
atlanticcouncil.org/about/experts/…
Joined December 2009
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    11 Jun 2019

    My latest work on Libya for (co-authored). At a glance: 's Transformation 2011-2018. An Interactive Overview. I wrote the legitimacy strand in this interactive publication. Feedback welcome & encouraged!

    13 replies 28 retweets 71 likes
  2. Retweeted
    18 hours ago

    Read 's superb reporting on 's missing oil here: Libya "is supposed to provide cheap, subsidized fuel to its citizens. But amid continuing violence and instability, up to one-third goes missing from official supply chains each year"

    1 reply 16 retweets 15 likes
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  3. 6 hours ago

    Despite the enormous pressure that & Co came under, they left without signing the ceasefire agreement. Once again, Haftar proves he is not bound by the wishes of his backers & those that sympathize with him. Not , not , and not .

    10 replies 24 retweets 53 likes
  4. Retweeted
    7 hours ago

    official: “we refuse to sign any agreement that may further divide or result in providing the with a mechanism that allows it to implement decisions such as the MoU”.

    2 replies 18 retweets 19 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    8 hours ago

    One of the reasons for the & leaving without signing was the attempt to place the HoR faction in as a signatory, which the two men saw as a risk towards legitimising a parallel parliament and further dividing .

    2 replies 19 retweets 17 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    Jan 11

    EU diplomacy silent on Libya. Russia + Turkey take lead role in calling for ceasefire. (Forbes)

    2 replies 8 retweets 12 likes
  7. Jan 11

    What is the amount of Libyan investment in today? (both state-owned and private). Some sources have put the figure at USD20bn. I think this is exaggerated. Does anyone have any information on this?

    8 replies 5 retweets 7 likes
  8. Retweeted
    Jan 10

    I was quoted in today on 's recent involvement in and how its success will likely hinge on how good they are at co opting

    5 retweets 24 likes
  9. Retweeted
    Jan 10

    Turkey & GNA to sign MOU to give Turkey $2.7 billion Compensation Turkey gets: - $1 billion letter of guarantee, - $0.5 billion in damage to machinery and equipment - $1.2 billion for unpaid debts (Signing in February) h/t

    16 replies 90 retweets 98 likes
  10. Retweeted
    Jan 10

    Claudia is one of the best informed and best sourced analysts on Libya (and very generous in her time to clueless journalists like me) who rarely tweets. Make sure to read this if interested in the latest developments.

    1/29 For Libya, 2020 kicked off with a storm of fast-paced events, each overtaking the next: ➨ authorized a military intervention…
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    1 reply 13 retweets 32 likes
  11. Retweeted
    Jan 10

    "Ankara seeks to block the pipeline projects of the Cyprus-Greece-Egypt-Israel nexus while securing its interests in the Libyan war dynamics." Is Turkey Playing with Fire in Libya?

    2 replies 4 retweets 4 likes
  12. Retweeted
    Jan 10

    I'd add that they had been pressuring GNA on this since the summer. They only got it when the GNA sensed it would face defeat after Wagner's intervention and needed more Turkish support

    12/ They were instead supportive of the Berlin peace process. They had slowed military supplies to Tripoli in September, which in part led to Tripoli’s military setbacks.…
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    2 retweets 4 likes
  13. Jan 9

    To confirm what I said below. The LNA just issued a statement in response to the / call for ceasefire. The LNA says military operations will continue to rid from terrorist ground & points to newly arriving Syrian mercenaries.

    & did not discuss the ceasefire initiative with GNA and LNA respectively. The announcement was not based on any prior planning or discussions with the concerned Libyan parties.
    6 replies 10 retweets 15 likes
  14. Retweeted
    Jan 9

    Italian foreign policy flounders amidst Libyan blunders

    9 retweets 15 likes
  15. Retweeted
    Jan 9

    My anaysis on - Battle for could mean endgame for as plays Russian roulette Comments by &

    1 reply 17 retweets 16 likes
  16. Retweeted
    Jan 9

    The Putin-Erdoğan call for a Libya Ceasefire on 12 January bears out the analysis in the piece below.

    ICYMI Turkey has interlinked an already tense maritime stand-off in the Eastern Mediterranean with a new escalation spiral in the Libyan Civil War in which Turkey's rivals possess escalation dominance over Turkey.…
    1 reply 6 retweets 9 likes
  17. Retweeted
    Jan 9

    FM in & FM in : After-the-fact damage control & trying to contain strength ahead of a summit that‘s likely to occur sooner rather than later. Is the fear military? No; it is all about ’s diplomatic strength

    13 replies 22 retweets 65 likes
  18. Jan 9

    On January 1, a group of activists from Eastern presented an initiative to end the war & stop foreign interventions in . The initiative was presented from

    2 replies 2 retweets 7 likes
  19. Jan 9

    & did not discuss the ceasefire initiative with GNA and LNA respectively. The announcement was not based on any prior planning or discussions with the concerned Libyan parties.

    7 replies 3 retweets 7 likes
  20. Jan 9

    The LNA (backed by UN-recognized HoR in ) Capture Key Coastal City in Threat to U.N.-Recognized GNA in

    1 reply 1 retweet 8 likes
  21. Jan 9

    Both sides of the conflict in have some level of UN-recognition, both are divided, both lack legal quorum. Analysts, researchers & journalists should be accurate in the way they describe both sides in those terms. is UN-recognized, so is HoR's Agilah Saleh.

    11 replies 20 retweets 53 likes
  22. Jan 9

    Absolutely, this is why I think the calls for ceasefire and deescalation are empty talk. Actual steps to implement ceasefire including a UNSC resolution is the only way to prove that these calls are genuine.

    The problem is that international efforts are not co-ordinated & are more to do with individual grandstanding than helping the -n people. Supporting & conference is the way to go.
    1 reply 3 likes
  23. Retweeted
    Jan 9

    The problem is that international efforts are not co-ordinated & are more to do with individual grandstanding than helping the -n people. Supporting & conference is the way to go.

    All the while, is in Rome and to arrive this evening. Dramatic changes to the international dimension of…
    14 replies 7 retweets 21 likes
  24. Jan 9

    The Russians and Turks just made an announcement/call for ceasefire in . There is no guarantee that the ceasefire will actually happen. No preparations or planning prior to the announcement by & .

    2 replies 5 likes
  25. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    There's a saying: When you visit the Middle East for a week, you write a book. When you visit for a month, you write an article. And when you visit for a year, you write nothing. Let me add: When you've never visited the MidEast, you become a twitter expert. h/t

    104 replies 1,538 retweets 5,158 likes
  26. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    Earlier today President and President called for a ceasefire starting Jan 12th following their meeting in . Meanwhile FM in with Foreign Ministers of , , and to discuss developments in .

    4 retweets 2 likes
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  27. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    Field Marshal Khalifa is in to speak with Italian PM Giuseppe . PM is expected to arrive later this evening following talks in with High Representative for Foreign Affairs Josep Borrell.

    3 replies 22 retweets 19 likes
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  28. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    Both Fayez al Sarraj, head of Libya’s UN-recognized Government of National Accord (GNA), and military strongman General Khalifa Haftar are in Rome for separate talks in a diplomatic breakthrough mediated by Italy

    12 replies 81 retweets 103 likes
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  29. Jan 8

    and announce their ceasefire in starting Sunday. I don’t think this is something they have been working on. It is just an announcement and a hint to EU/US that they are now calling the shots in .

    3 replies 10 retweets 22 likes
  30. Jan 8

    There are indeed some legitimate questions surrounding the Haftar-Gaddafists alliance, the viability of such alliance and the risk of confrontation at a later stage. However, the Turkish deployment to proved a galvanizing factor for Gaddafists to support .

    5 replies 5 retweets 10 likes
  31. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    The fact is that the anti-alarmists got it right from the first moment, before it played out the way it did. The targeting of was the right move against a terrorist who wreaked havoc in Iraq and beyond, and it had the exact desired effect. Period.

    28 replies 167 retweets 458 likes
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  32. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    This type of myopic frame represents precisely what is wrong with so much of Beltway thinking on the wider Arab world and beyond. Where is the concern about the actual people of the country - i.e., *Iraqis* - and the peoples of the region that may suffer?

    Tonight, Americans in Iraq are under fire. My prayers are with them, their loved ones, and their families.
    4 replies 21 retweets 79 likes
  33. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    No you didn't, you stood for authoritarianism, tyranny, torture dungeons, double standards, and a world order that hid behind lofty principles while exchanging hugs and fist bumps with the worst human rights violators on the planet. And you still do.

    "America did many terrible things during its reign as global hegemon. But we clearly stood for global rule of law, for a system that imposed common rules on everyone, ourselves included." — 
    11 replies 106 retweets 279 likes
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  34. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    Tunisian media report, quoting MoI officials, that the 35 assault weapons found a few days ago in southern Tunisia came from Turkey and were smuggled from . الداخلية: كمية الأسلحة المحجوزة في مدنين متأتية من تركيا

    4 replies 4 retweets 7 likes
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  35. Jan 8

    1- and on the same page regarding . Both have the same objective: Prevent the fall of & the GNA. 2- It is not clear what form the coordination between Ankara and Algiers will take or at what level it will be.

    5 replies 16 retweets 25 likes
  36. Jan 8

    & seem to have reached an understanding regarding . Following the fall of & escalation on frontlines. is expected to escalate its deployment efforts to to prevent the capture of & fall of the GNA.

    3 replies 19 retweets 21 likes
  37. Jan 8

    Exclusive: Russian clinic treated mercenaries injured in secret wars | Article [AMP] | Reuters

    16 retweets 12 likes
  38. Retweeted
    Jan 7

    🚨WATCH discuss the Greek-Turkish relationship: "We don't seek to exclude anyone from energy cooperation in the Eastern Med, provided they respect international law and play by the rules of the game."

    6 replies 41 retweets 50 likes
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  39. Retweeted
    Jan 5

    From Caribbean to Levant to Sahel, Moscow is playing an assertive role in global affairs.Through personal relations, Putin brings Russia back as a force to be reckoned with on the international stage: Marshal Ustinov makes a port call to Istanbul ahead of Putin’s visit.

    4 replies 27 retweets 58 likes
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  40. Retweeted
    Jan 7

    I didn't know Turkey was the 1st foreign investor in Algeria? Erdoğan accepts Algerian President's invitation for a state visit as Tebboune hails ties

    2 replies 2 retweets 11 likes