Michael Tanchum

@michaeltanchum

Senior Fellow |Politics/Energy/Security - E. Med to the Gulf |Türkiye ایران الشرق الأوسط भारत |BL et al |PhD |تصوف

Joined August 2015
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    3 Oct 2019

    E. MED: There is a better way! My Mediterranean Energy Hub proposal. A win-win solution for all the peoples of the Eastern Med. English Español Türkçe

    10 replies 47 retweets 92 likes
  2. Retweeted
    10 hours ago

    Moscow's Masterful Libya Maneuver: Russia has become the agenda-setter for Europe's Southern Flank. Russia leveraging careful balance of its partnerships with Turkey, Egypt and UAE to expand its Maghreb & E. Med role. EU in supporting actor's role; US preoccupied with Iran

    All Libyan eyes on Moscow - and what may happen there - today, but UN envoy Salame warns that not everyone is convinced that there’s no military solution to Libya’s conflict: “I think some people are still dreaming of that,” he told Bloomberg.
    1 reply 14 retweets 15 likes
  3. 41 minutes ago

    Moscow Libya Deal reveals who is the puppet and who is the puppeteer: Sarraj has signed the Moscow deal and left. Haftar w/o an opportunity to modify the deal increasingly discovers dependency has its price

    Lavrov: Both sides have a positive view of the agreement Cavusoglu: Sarraj has signed the agreement and given it to Turkish delegation…
    Show this thread
    3 replies 16 retweets 14 likes
  4. Retweeted
    9 hours ago

    Όλη η ανάλυση σε ένα τουίτ

    Moscow's Masterful Libya Maneuver: Russia has become the agenda-setter for Europe's Southern Flank. Russia leveraging careful balance of its partnerships with Turkey, Egypt…
    2 retweets 3 likes
  5. Retweeted
    10 hours ago

    The “ceasefire” in to be signed will be a Russian triumph as the only reliable power broker or it will prove a transition PR event? The conflicting interests too hard to reconcile ....

    RUSSIA Poised for LIBYA TRIUMPH --HAFTAR-SARRAJ Meeting in Moscow 13 January. If it happens: ▪️ Russia undisputed power broker b/w TR and UAE ▪️…
    2 replies 11 retweets 12 likes
  6. 20 hours ago

    ICYMI RUSSIA Poised for LIBYA TRIUMPH --HAFTAR-SARRAJ Meeting in Moscow 13 January. ▪️ Russia undisputed power broker b/w TR and UAE ▪️ Turkey & UAE power entrenched in Libya ▪️ EU's irrelevance deepens ▪️ US will stay at arm's length

    Libya’s warring leaders are expected to meet in Moscow and sign a truce
    1 reply 8 retweets 3 likes
  7. 21 hours ago

    Sarraj's Turkish transport to Moscow? Akar, Çavuşoğlu, and Fidan scheduled to be in Moscow for the big meeting. Sarraj, already in Istanbul, may be travelling with this delegation.

    crisis / Moscow talks: Sarraj in Moscow ? Possible. Turkish Government Airbus ACJ319 133X flew from Istanbul Atatürk to Moscow Vnukovo. Turkish delegation is in the plane. Sarraj might have travelled in the…
    13 retweets 15 likes
  8. 21 hours ago

    Turkey's Power Diplomacy in Libya on Display - A Tale of Two Meetings In Moscow w/ Putin, Sarraj, and Haftar: Akar, Çavuşoğlu, and Fidan In Ankara w/ IT's Conte: Erdoğan, Kalin, and Aybet

    5 replies 19 retweets 85 likes
  9. Retweeted
    21 hours ago

    Une rencontre Haftar Sarraj se tenant à Moscou serait le triomphe diplômatique de Moscou

    RUSSIA Poised for LIBYA TRIUMPH --HAFTAR-SARRAJ Meeting in Moscow 13 January. If it happens: ▪️ Russia undisputed power broker b/w TR and UAE ▪️…
    4 retweets 2 likes
  10. Retweeted
    21 hours ago

    Hafter ve Serrac'ın 13 Ocak'ta Moskova'da biraraya geleceği belirtildi.

    RUSSIA Poised for LIBYA TRIUMPH --HAFTAR-SARRAJ Meeting in Moscow 13 January. If it happens: ▪️ Russia undisputed power broker b/w TR and UAE ▪️…
    1 reply 6 retweets 7 likes
  11. 21 hours ago

    RUSSIA Poised for LIBYA TRIUMPH --HAFTAR-SARRAJ Meeting in Moscow 13 January. If it happens: ▪️ Russia undisputed power broker b/w TR and UAE ▪️ Turkey & UAE power entrenched in Libya ▪️ EU's irrelevance deepens ▪️ US will stay at arm's length

    When I used the epithets “ruthless” & “irreversible” in this comment for three days ago, I risked being a bit overdramatic. But if , & do indeed meet in …
    9 replies 52 retweets 61 likes
  12. 23 hours ago

    IRAN: Pundits who predicted that Iranians would blindly rally around the flag after Soleimani's killing were mistaken, but it is also mistaken to assume Iranians (or anyone else) are framing their choices in simple binary categories.

    A Must Read statement that was read today by protestors at Amir Kabir University. It condemns repression both by US imperialism abroad & by the regime's despotism inside Iran.
    Show this thread
    2 replies 8 retweets 12 likes
  13. 23 hours ago

    IRAN: Basij and other forces open fire on protesters . . . but their spirit is a light that will never be extinguished.

    1:34
    Surreal. Standing in the middle of the Uni. of Convocation Hall as people sob for the victims of & I get this HORRIFIC vid from a friend in , she is standing over a bridge watching…
    Show this thread
    2 likes
  14. Retweeted
    Jan 12

    ITALY pushing a TURKEY-RUSSIA-ITALY framework for LIBYA - Conte arrives in Turkey tomorrow (13 January 2020)

    Italy hoping to be part of an Astana 2.0 framework for Libya --> Russia-Turkey-Italy? Italy's proposal: ▪️…
    4 replies 32 retweets 35 likes
  15. Jan 12

    Farewell to a king -- Neil Peart . . .

    Neil Peart obituary
    1 retweet 3 likes
  16. Jan 12

    LIBYA-IDLIB-TURKEY: LNA post video of alleged SNA fighter from Idlib captured by LNA forces

    LNA led by Haftar announce they captured the first jihadist mercenary sent by Erdogan from Syria to fight in Libya
    Show this thread
    5 replies 3 retweets 5 likes
  17. Jan 12

    LEBANON: Solidarity Demonstration with IRAN PROTESTS

    1:01
    Beautiful scene in downtown now. They are chanting “ against fear” and expressing solidarity with protesters in and paying tribute to ’s revolution against …
    7 retweets 5 likes
  18. Jan 12

    IRAN PROTESTS -TEHRAN UPDATE: Regime panicking with reports of Basij and other sec forces firing rubber bullets, tear gas. Beating protesters and shoving them in ambulances instead of police vans.

    0:46
    Iranians are trying to gather on Azadi (Freedom) Square, but the regime is panicking and bringing in reinforcement. As this woman says in tears "We've no freedom. Our…
    1 reply 8 retweets 4 likes
  19. Jan 12

    IRAN PROTESTS: Fear of the regime is evaporating (for now) . . . Crowds marching toward Tehran's Azadi Tower calling for the end of the IRGC.

    0:16
    Crowds marching towards Azadi Tower in chanting “We don’t want ’s regime.”
    1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
  20. Jan 12

    LIBYA NOW: 🔸Sarraj arrives in Istanbul for meeting with Erdoğan 🔸 Libya Ceasefire tentatively holding [ Note Sarraj's plane does not fly over Greek territory]

    crisis: PM of GNA Fayez Mustafa al-Sarraj arrives to Istanbul. flew from Tripoli Mitiga to Istanbul Atatürk.
    1 reply 13 retweets 4 likes
  21. Jan 12

    Libya Ceasefire tentatively holding: Turkey & Russia are the winners so far among foreign actors in the run-up to the Berlin Conference | Germany better positioned to "bridge." | Italy will try to play a similar role | Egypt and UAE show delivery deficit

    The Russian and German leaders Angela Merkel and Vladimir Putin have confirmed that the controversial Nord Stream 2 pipeline will start operating, despite US sanctions. Merkel also announced that Berlin would soon host Libya ceasefire talks. …
    5 replies 41 retweets 60 likes
  22. Retweeted
    Jan 12

    The Russian and German leaders Angela Merkel and Vladimir Putin have confirmed that the controversial Nord Stream 2 pipeline will start operating, despite US sanctions. Merkel also announced that Berlin would soon host Libya ceasefire talks.

    19 replies 147 retweets 171 likes
  23. Retweeted
    Jan 12

    Italy hoping to be part of an Astana 2.0 framework for Libya --> Russia-Turkey-Italy? Italy's proposal: ▪️ Italy will send more troops to Libya, upon Libyan request and UN Mandate ▪️ Trilateral framework with Turkey and Russia

    🇮🇹🇱🇾 The Italian MFA makes a double proposal on Libya: 1. Italy to send more troops (300 already in Misrata)…
    2 replies 37 retweets 34 likes
  24. Jan 12

    A Sign of Changing Times in Iran: Iranian students during anti-govt protests refuse to step on Israeli and American flags intentional painted on the road by the local authorities

    0:11
    Today, the crowd in an Iranian university refused to trample US and Israel flag . These IR ideologies, like forced hijab, are falling one by one.
    Show this thread
    3 replies 37 retweets 69 likes
  25. Jan 12

    A Sign of Changing Times in Iran: Iranian students during anti-govt protests refuse to step on Israeli and American flags intentional painted on the road by the local authorities

    0:11
    Really interesting. Iranian students during anti-govt protests refuse to step on Israeli and American flags printed by the local…
    3 replies 6 retweets 15 likes
  26. Retweeted
    Jan 12

    Several Iranian parliamentarians are preparing a bill to eject British ambassador following his temporary arrest outside Tehran's Amir Kabir. They ask the Foreign Ministry to revoke his permission and expel him, Fars reported.

    1 reply 14 retweets 7 likes
  27. Jan 12

    Iran Protests Continue: Vigils and protests were held in the following locations in addition to Tehran -- including in Kerman, Qassem Soleimani's home town! : - Isfahan, Sari, Rasht, Hamedan, Shiraz, Babol, Urmia, Kerman (list not exhaustive)

    9 retweets 3 likes
  28. Jan 11

    LNA agrees to LIBYA CEASEFIRE - 12 January 2020. Here are the latest details from today and about tomorrow 11 January 🔸Putin-Erdoğan phone call 🔸Haftar's LNA agree to ceasefire starting 00:01 12 Jan 12 January 🔸GNA head Sarraj meets Erdoğan in Istanbul

    Summary of Week's Libya Diplomacy ◾️ 🇹🇷 🇱🇾 3rd Turkey-GNA MOU - GNA give TR $2.7 bil compensation ◾️…
    3 replies 14 retweets 16 likes
  29. Jan 11

    Haftar's Forces 12 January Ceasefire, according to Arab News and some local Libya outlets. . . Agree to Libyan forces loyal to commander Khalifa Haftar have declared ceasefire

    2 replies 4 retweets 5 likes
  30. Retweeted
    Jan 11

    QATAR was Command Center Location for U.S. op to kill Soleimani. NBC News in US reports that the operation that killed Soleimani was conducted from U.S. Central Command forward headquarters in Qatar, via

    2 replies 51 retweets 34 likes
  31. Jan 11

    Green Movement leader Mehdi Karroubi rebukes Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei saying you're not qualified for leadership

    Iran's opposition leader Mehdi Karrubi, who is under house arrest, callls Iran's Leader Khamenei responsible for the plane crash incident and says that Khamenei doesn't have any of the qualifications required for the office of Leader.
    4 retweets
  32. Jan 11

    UK Am. to IRAN Rob Macaire reported released after brief arrest in Tehran for attending protests.

    Replying to @michaeltanchum
    British ambassador Rob Macaire briefly arrested in Tehran -
    1 like
  33. Jan 11

    UK Am. to IRAN Rob Macaire has been reported arrested in Tehran. Apparently, related to his presence today's protest Caveat: Pending solid confirmation Context: 7 January. Macaire was summoned by the Iranian gov't to protests comments made by UK officials about Qasem Soleimani

    🇮🇷🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Woooow Huge if confirmed. Authorities in arrest the ambassador in ! …
    1 reply 2 retweets 2 likes
  34. Jan 11

    Iranian Protesters Chant “Soleimani was a murderer, his Leader is too.”

    0:26
    chants heard on Tehran streets: “Soleimani was a murderer, his Leader is too” Protests emerged on streets in multiple cities across Iran few hours after IRGC admitted to shooting down a…
    4 retweets 11 likes
  35. Jan 11

    IRAN ERUPTS AGAIN: ▪️ "The Supreme Leader [Ayatollah Khamenei is a murderer, his guardianship has no legitimacy." - Protest Chants 💥 Iranian security firing live ammunition on protesters.

    0:36
    Iranian security forces have started shooting at protestors,using live ammunition. Despite attacks, protestors try to confront Iranian…
    8 retweets 8 likes
  36. Jan 11

    IRAN PROTESTS: Protests spread beyond Tehran. Protests in Esfahan call for the end of the Supreme Leader and system of Velayet-e Faqih. 💠 Pontificating that Soleimani's killing diverted Iranians from their grievances to rally around a blind patriotism has been proven wrong

    This Tweet is unavailable.
    1 reply 8 retweets 7 likes
  37. Jan 11

    Protests in Iran: Students angry about students killed in the Ukrainian plane shoot-down, chant about 1,500 protesters killed and call for the end of the regime. 💠Predictions that Soleimani killing diverted Iranians toward a blind patriotism are being proven wrong

    0:18
    Somayeh Street, , , in front of Amirkabir University. The protesters reminding the death of Iranians who were killed by the regime in on Nov 2019, chanting:…
    2 replies 17 retweets 33 likes