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In this piece for
@cgpolicy I argue: - Killing Soleimani should be judged by its specific goals, not one's views of 'maximum pressure'. - Iran is geopolitically strong but has few wise escalation options. -The US need not retaliate - it's made its point.https://www.cgpolicy.org/articles/killing-soleimani-calculating-the-cost-of-retaliation/… -
'For people who think of foreign relations as Iran versus the U.S. or Putin vs. Xi Jinping, it can be hard to grasp just how little govts sometimes matter in the Middle East' by
@CGlobalPolicy 's@hxhassan The Middle Eastern Problem Soleimani Figured Outhttps://politi.co/2R9cRAz -
Faysal Itani Retweeted
Happy to get into swing of things with the great
@TheStudyofWar/@criticalthreats team. In a new graphic we show the current US/#Iran escalation pattern didn't start just now in#Iraq it goes back over a year to the start of the "maximum pressure" campaign.http://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iranian-escalation-timeline… -
It's all good. We're making our mark on the world in many other ways.https://twitter.com/jhaboush/status/1215789802014105600…
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This really is very good.https://twitter.com/aronlund/status/1215063670381842433…
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Fred Hof puts the soleimani killing in historical context and examines whether it provides an opening for broader deescalation.https://atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/qasem-soleimani-and-escalatory-parity/…
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
1. In my new piece for
@TheAtlantic, I try to take a step back and discuss what the Soleimani killing tells us about American exceptionalism, anti-imperialism, and whether the weaker party is necessarily more moral:https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/01/the-us-isnt-as-important-as-the-left-thinks/604642/…Show this thread -
Faysal Itani Retweeted
There’s a 10 year statute of limitations so the 2008 visit doesn’t count. They have to investigate if he went more recently. But it’s also all based on whim. You can read all about it herehttps://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/carlos-ghosn-might-not-be-as-safe-in-lebanon-as-he-thought/2020/01/02/f884bece-2d6d-11ea-bffe-020c88b3f120_story.html…
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I'm actually genuinely curious how he gets out of that one. Pretty much the only rigorously applied law in Lebanon.https://twitter.com/HeshamSBBC/status/1215286412540633088…
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
Iraq's Iranian-backed Kataib Hezbollah militia, whose rocket attacks on US troops precipitated the surge of US-Iran tensions, joins the deescalation bandwagon. Tells its followers to be "patient." At this time "passions must be avoided to achieve the desired results"
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Travel ban? The guy snuck out of Japan in a cello case.https://twitter.com/AliTahmizian/status/1215242785005146113…
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
#Yoda - on New Year's Day, and the end of the first week of 2020 - if he worked on the Arab world and the wider Middle Eastpic.twitter.com/MPDIhLDu9f -
Faysal Itani Retweeted
Episode 102: Revolution & Counter-Revolution with Joseph Bahout https://youtu.be/4dC6vFUZSnc
@sciencespo@CarnegieEndow@jobahoutpic.twitter.com/FtCrnw5hpq -
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
Who is Ismail Qaani, the New Commander of the Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force? https://iranwire.com/en/features/6584 …
#IranWire -
Faysal Itani Retweeted
This piece by
@faysalitani is a really well-done and sober analysis of the circumstances around the killing of Iran’s Qassem Soleimani:https://www.cgpolicy.org/articles/killing-soleimani-calculating-the-cost-of-retaliation/… -
Faysal Itani Retweeted
Iran's retaliation for Soleimani's death offers Trump an off-ramp from this cycle of escalation. Will he take it? My story in
@TheAtlantic on last night's attacks in Iraq https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/01/iran-missile-strikes-soleimani-trump-off-ramp/604621/ … with@ilangoldenberg,@douglaslondon5,@faysalitani,@MPPregent and@ColinPClarke -
Faysal Itani Retweeted
It’s absolutely bonkers as an Arab to watch how many Americans appear to self-loathe America. You guys should try moving to and living under some of the tyrannical regimes you’re idolizing.
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
Fascinating piece by
@thomaswright08 on how Trump's first ever public comments on Iran when he was only 34 can help us understand the Soleimani strike:https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2020/01/07/how-donald-trump-thinks-about-iran/…Show this thread -
If there are no US casualties and this is the extent of Iranian retaliation, then the US does not need to escalate. Iran can fire the missiles. Killing Soleimani was a far bigger blow.
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They're off to a great start.https://twitter.com/RStatecraft/status/1214320847344881670…
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
American forces will be departing from Iraq, and soon, for this is an irreversible trajectory. The American public has gone beyond ‘Iraq exhaustion’ to ‘Iraq revulsion’. Coupled with a presidential inclination for disengagement the departure is poised to become an election issue.
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
Guys honestly.. You can always find an official saying whatever you want to.. and vast majority of time it is either personal or ranting or boredom or having nothing to do with actual decisions.. Please stop publishing ‘unidentified as not authorised to speak’ genrehttps://twitter.com/bpolitics/status/1213859732009766912…
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I thought the policy discourse had bottomed out with the Turkish invasion of Syria. How young and naive I was...
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I think this is an excellent point.https://twitter.com/FirasMaksad/status/1213845580641972224…
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
Elizabeth Warren won't say one bad word about Soleimani, calls him "a government official, a high ranking military official," then pivots to Ukraine.
@CNNSotuShow this thread -
Faysal Itani Retweeted
The Iraqi parliament voted to “ask” the Iraqi government to end the security agreement with the US, end the presence of foreign troops & the international coalition’s mandate against ISIS, even in Iraqi air space “for whatever reason.” Passing the buck to the gov. Not binding.pic.twitter.com/pHzyhAbh5T
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
The killing of Suleimani is an extraordinary moment even by Middle Eastern standards. His death came amid real & unprecedented challenges to Iran, and he died still trying to deal with them. Which makes it doubly significant. My new piece in
@guardian:https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/05/soleimani-death-huge-blow-to-iran-plans-for-regional-domination?CMP=share_btn_tw…Show this thread -
Faysal Itani Retweeted
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Faysal Itani Retweeted
1. Initially I was on the fence, but the more I consider different scenarios, the more the original alarmist takes seem even more wrong than I first suspected. The WW3 stuff is obviously silly, but even the risk of "mere" war seems increasingly unlikely
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Scientists find evidence that Venus has active volcanoeshttps://phys.org/news/2020-01-scientists-evidence-venus-volcanoes.html…
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I think it's more like killing General McArthur, if he had fought a 40 year world war for the survival of the republic. Along America's borders.https://twitter.com/jaketapper/status/1212946659715534848…
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Well, live by the gun die by the gun. Though I have more questions than answers.