Sami Hamdi سامي الهاشمي الحامدي

@SALHACHIMI

‏‏‏Editor-in-Chief of ‎‎‎, Commentator on MENA, proud ‎ Alumni إعلامي بقناة المستقلة ومشجع دائم لأرسنال مهما كانت الظروف

Around somewhere...
Joined October 2013

Tweets

You blocked

Are you sure you want to view these Tweets? Viewing Tweets won't unblock

  1. Will be presenting in London on the rapidly unfolding events in and what they mean for the future of the conflict. If you're around, do attend. Free entry. Date: 13 January Time: 18:00 Further details in the link. Hosted by TURKEN UK.

  2. After assassination of , what are 's options? My interview with Sky News

  3. "Even is surprised by assassination of . They did not believe Trump would go to such lengths in response to stunt. In terms of repercussions, Iran's options are very limited and I do not think we are headed for war" Spoke to Sky News

  4. Tehran is baffled as to why Trump went to such extreme lengths. They do not believe their US embassy stunt warranted such a response. They are now in an awkward position where they 'need to retaliate' to save face but cannot predict what Trump will do in response.

    Show this thread
  5. Iran's options for retaliation are limited. Proxies bogged down by domestic uprisings in , . Moreover, militias will be worrying about their own necks given Suleimani himself was assassinated. In Iran, the country remains prone to protests due to economic conditions.

    Show this thread
  6. Will be on Sky News at 13.30GMT today discussing the implications of the US assassination of

  7. Decision to assassinate appears rushed, a knee-jerk reaction than part of a calculated policy of how to counter the overwhelming Iranian influence on Iraq...We may well find that leaderless militias are far more dangerous than ones led by an astute general...

    Show this thread
  8. will smell fear in US position. Militias who are already emboldened by US embassy storming+'success' in Syria+incapability of US to 'rein them in', will seek revenge. And given the one man who could control them is now dead, US have no one to negotiate with to stop them...

    Show this thread
  9. Unlike US or Gulf who throw money to win allies, inspired his associates ideologically. Arabs such as Hassan Nasrallah in +Hadi al-Amiri in demonstrated countless times that they were prepared to sacrifice their own standing for sake of Tehran.

    Show this thread
  10. US had many chances to assassinate but never did for fear of escalating war. The fact they finally did it after govt in showed its pro- colours by allowing storming of embassy suggests US is far more worried than assured about what it is doing in Iraq.

    Show this thread
  11. For those still wondering why is planning to send troops into and want a brief explanation of the dynamics, here is a general summary I gave in an interview today with .

  12. "For , is not about protecting Serraj specifically or the current make-up of the govt. Turkey is ready to accept any government in Libya that is formed by the people or emerges from negotiations, as long as // are not the dominant force"

  13. "++ have reason to fear . It is no longer a third-tier country. It is no longer in same category as or . It is now a country that can impose its will on intl community+sit at same negotiating table as Russia+US"

  14. 'Let's talk about reality. If does not get involved in , Serraj loses and intl recognised govt is done for. And when it is done for, the question people are putting about a 'diplomatic solution' or 'negotiations' becomes irrelevant as Haftar will have won by force'

  15. + appear to be aware of how upset is at having been publicly humiliated and strongarmed into cancelling Khan's participation at . This visit is latest in series of initiatives to soothe tensions and deter closer ties with +

  16. Southerners pull out of Yemen’s Riyadh Agreement - not surprised at all by this.

  17. Will be on Aljazeera English at 0900GMT discussing and the vote taking place in parliament today on whether to fulfill 's request for troops.

  18. How conversation between Sisi+Haftar probably went: Sisi: You had 8 months! Washington turned a blind eye. helped you. We helped you. helped you. mercenaries. 8 months and you couldn't take Tripoli! Haftar: But the Turks... Sisi: Useless!

  19. Indication of why EU+Gulf are nervous. Infographic should also include: - Establishment of safe zone for refugees - rapprochment - Empowerment of Balkan states under pressure from EU - A democratic state with elections despite rest of region returning to authoritarianism

  20. 'Following vote on sending troops to , , , will likely scramble and seek to open channels with Misrata+Zintan because they are aware that these militias only backed Serraj because they feared domination; not because they like GNA'

  21. " will not mind sending troops to because it knows is not trying to help retake the country. He is instead trying to protect the intl recognised govt's place at the negotiating table' Explainer of possible scenarios after tomorrow's vote

  22. "The significance of escalation is the impact it has had on how we are now talking about . Where we were just yesterday talking about as new defining dynamic, we are back to talking about wrestling match between US+. This is what the govt wants"

  23. It shows that govt is increasingly desperate+struggling to contain protests. Today was an attempt to 'unite' Iraqis behind the 'coloniser' and 'oppressor'. It was an attempt to 'remind Iraqis who the real enemy is'. Now we watch and see if protestors buy into this.

    Show this thread
  24. On , it is worth noting that Green Zone (where embassy is located) is heavily controlled. No one can enter it without permission of the govt+it is not an easy place to infiltrate. It is impossible therefore to imagine that today's events happened without govt permitting it.

    Show this thread
  25. " has caused everyone to act in by threatening to send troops and become a power broker. It has spurred everyone to action not because everyone suddenly wants to solve the conflict; but because everyone wants to make sure that Turkey does not become the major power"

    Show this thread
  26. Is anyone else noticing that we are no longer talking about protests 'rattling the government' but have gone back to talking about US-Iran wrestling over Iraq? I am no conspiracy theorist but the US attacks were a godsend for the government in Baghdad.

  27. / are being increasingly accused of plotting an agreement between +STC that will render govt impotent, and that will subsequently pave the way for a North/South split. Many believe Riyadh is going to great lengths to prevent govt from returning.

  28. When it comes to North Africa, deeply resents involvement. From its perspective, North Africa is its own unique Francophone playground+member states are expected to respect this. This is why we see intent on undermining on //

  29. US officials in Syria/Iraq with their few troops & powerful weapons should take a moment while in the area to visit the string of ancient Roman fort ruins along the whole line from the Black to the Red Sea, which speak clearly of the fate of powerful foreign armies in this area.

  30. After meeting with Haftar and Macron, calls for an urgent Arab League summit tomorrow to discuss ... Worth remembering that Egypt++ have been lobbying for some time for Arab League to withdraw recognition of the GNA as Libya's legitimate govt...

  31. may resist attempts by the EU to broker mediation and seek instead to continue negotiating with . Here is why:

  32. 'It will be awkward when ++ meet Serraj in . They will want him to withdraw request for support. However with his back to the wall+having been abandoned by the EU at such a crucial time, Serraj unlikely to be agreeable'

  33. visit to Cairo signifiant. No commander leaves front line supposedly on verge of victory. Talks will focus on impending threat+changing attitudes in Europe that favour mediation on their terms than on Turkey+'s. UAE likely to be present.

  34. Flurry of diplomatic movements regarding . Merkel speaks to and . goes to to meet Sisi. and agree to go with to see Serraj in Tripoli in January. really got things moving...

  35. Foreign ministers of , , to visit in January Message clear: "Please. Please. We will take you seriously and take genuine steps to achieve peace. Just don't let in!" will not mind. Just as long as Haftar+ do not control Libya

  36. 's anger over 's involvement in is not because they like Haftar. It is because they wanted to be the ally of +hoped GNA would hold out until negotiations where they would be able to face off against . Italy now finds itself in no-man's land.

  37. If fighters are in , it means they are not defending . Has Idlib been traded for ?

  38. 'From +, Sisi who controls Suez+Alexandria, to 's Benghazi+Tripoli, wants to establish itself as a major maritime power. If Haftar seizes , Libya would fall under UAE orbit, completing chokehold on in the Med'

  39. hopes to squeeze on a number of issues before it agrees on mediation in . This article lays out the positions of both parties and possible leverage they have (and may use) against one another.