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UN aid to Syrians in Idlib and the Kurdish-held northeast will end overnight if a key UN resolution expires. What does Russia want in return for not using its veto? Read my latest, for
@NewHumanitarian: http://thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/2019/12/16/Syria-UN-United-Nations-Security-Council-aid-Russia-Turkey …pic.twitter.com/JX3hPa6webShow this thread -
Aron Lund Retweeted
Two months ago, the
@IISS_org published a massive study of the very networks of partners that Qassem Soleimani and the Qods Force spent decades building. If you are tired with the Twitter hot takes and need some depth and nuance, we have 217 pages of that for you.https://twitter.com/IISS_org/status/1206971061838872576…1:02 -
"Oh, that guy was also in the car?" was probably not the send-off Abul-Mehdi al-Mohandes was hoping for, four decades after he blew up his first U.S. embassy. https://twitter.com/rabrowne75/status/1213073904912228353?s=21 …https://twitter.com/rabrowne75/status/1213073904912228353…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
As George Costanza once said, "it's not a lie if you believe it"pic.twitter.com/52MjzDtIM9
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Aron Lund Retweeted
Now, of all times, Trump considering pardon for Blackwater contractor convicted in massacre of 17 Iraqi civilians in Nisoor traffic circle in Baghdad 2007?https://twitter.com/ericuman/status/1212915367066165248?s=20…
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Ayatollah Khamenei appears to be unaware of the U.S. commitment to de-escalation. http://english.khamenei.ir/news/7270/A-severe-revenge-awaits-the-criminal-killers-of-General-Soleimani …
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But on the plus side, the U.S. remains committed to de-escalation. https://twitter.com/secpompeo/status/1213064731851939841?s=21 …https://twitter.com/secpompeo/status/1213064731851939841…
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Apparently there are heightened tensions in Iraq and the region.https://twitter.com/travelgov/status/1213011491777060864…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
Soleimani’s replacement announced by Khamenei: Brigadier General Ismail Ghani, a veteran of the Iran-Iraq war, active in the Quds Force for years, including in fighting against ISIS in Syria.https://twitter.com/IranNewspaper/status/1213041574508212224…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
... as part of international Coalition with Iraqi government approval. Calls exceptional session of parliament “to organize the official Iraqi position and take necessary and appropriate legislative decisions and measures to preserve Iraq’s dignity, security and sovereignty.”
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Aron Lund Retweeted
Iraqi prime minister condemns U.S. “assassination” of Qassem Suleimani and Abu Mehdi al-Muhandis, whose killing, as an Iraqi official, is “an aggression against Iraq – its state, government and people.” Says act is “grievous breach” of conditions for U.S. forces’ presence...https://twitter.com/adilabdalmahdi/status/1213001966764380160…
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Pentagon statement on killing Qasem Suleimani, via
@amanda_m_macias and@tan_joanna. Not a word about Abul-Mehdi al-Mohandes. Was he some sort of collateral damage? https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/03/top-iranian-general-qassim-soleimani-killed-in-us-airstrike-in-baghdad-pentagon.html …pic.twitter.com/fta0knlUpOShow this thread -
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If the US starts losing rights/ability to operate in Iraq, a likely side effect is losing safe/legal border access to Syria. It might not be impossible to keep some troops with SDF anyway—the US can do a lot of things, and KRG isn't Baghdad—but Trump seems moderately interested.
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Aron Lund Retweeted
#عاجل اعلام#الحشد_الشعبي يؤكد استشهاد نائب رئيس هيئة الحشد الحاج#ابو_مهدي_المهندس وقائد فيلق القدس#قاسم_سليماني بغارة#امريكية استهدفت عجلتهم على طريق#مطار_بغداد الدولي. و سنوافيكم بالتفاصيل لاحقا#مغوار_العراق_الى_الشهادة انا لله وانا اليه راجعون -
"Senior Pentagon official" tells
@JimLaPorta and@ShaolinTom it's Suleimani and Mohandes. https://www.newsweek.com/iraq-militia-official-killed-us-iran-tensions-1480181 …pic.twitter.com/YPytYaCLCTShow this thread -
Al-Mayadeen, too. http://www.almayadeen.net/news/politics/1370391/%D8%AA%D9%81%D8%AC%D9%8A%D8%B1-%D9%82%D8%B1%D8%A8-%D9%82%D8%A7%D8%B9%D8%AF%D8%A9-%D8%B9%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%82%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D8%BA%D8%B1%D8%A8-%D8%A8%D8%BA%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%AF-%D9%88%D9%85%D8%B9%D9%84%D9%88%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%B9%D9%86-%D9%82%D8%B5%D9%81-%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%AE%D9%8A …pic.twitter.com/qK8pjBwhX3
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2020 is off to a flying start, then. https://twitter.com/Mustafa_salimb/status/1212902932699582464 … https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iraq-security-blast-soleimani/irans-soleimani-and-iraqs-muhandis-killed-in-air-strike-militia-spokesman-idUSKBN1Z201C …
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Continued American-Iranian murder ping pong in Iraq.
@chadgarland:https://www.stripes.com/news/middle-east/iran-backed-militia-leader-reported-dead-after-strike-at-baghdad-airport-1.613351…Show this thread -
Aron Lund Retweeted
"The Pentagon, understandably, is worried about protecting troops and contractors in Iraq. But the Trump administration seems to have thought little about the political consequences—in part, because there is almost no one in Baghdad to consider them."https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2020/01/02/the-conflict-between-america-and-iran-intensifies-in-iraq…
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Latest
@OCHA_Syria update says the period from December 1, 2019, to January 1, 2020, saw nearly 300,000 displaced in northwestern Syria.https://reliefweb.int/report/syrian-arab-republic/syrian-arab-republic-recent-developments-northwestern-syria-situation-10…Show this thread -
Aron Lund Retweeted
Motion on troop deployment to Libya passes Turkish Parliament with 325 votes http://hry.yt/QHaIB pic.twitter.com/V17hxVBc0c
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In Lebanon, the bank robs you.http://www.rfi.fr/en/wires/20191231-banks-dont-care-lebanese-scream-their-dollars…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
Reopening Hasaka-Aleppo Highway revives hopes on merchandising Hasaka agricultural crops https://www.sana.sy/en/?p=181798 pic.twitter.com/foZNej97jl
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Aron Lund Retweeted
Since April, at least 60 health facilities in northwestern Syria have been damaged in strikes, and at least 29 of them were on the off limits list. But the United Nations, at least so far, is looking at just seven incidents.https://nyti.ms/39tR6nj
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Survey of displaced Syrians newly arrived in the northernmost part of Idlib province and in the western Aleppo countryside: numbers, locations, needs, and intentions to move on to other areas or not. https://www.impact-repository.org/document/reach/c685b2f8/REACH_SYR_Northwest_NewIDP_Camps_Sites_Needs_Intentions_27Dec19.pdf … by
@REACH_infopic.twitter.com/rXo324m3TeShow this thread -
Which, I got to say, is really an unusual level of international depravity even for the Syrian war.
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This, mind you, is an area only accessible to the UN from Turkey, but unless Russia, United States, and other veto powers can come to a last-minute agreement in the Security Council, the UN will lose its right to cross that border eight days from now.https://twitter.com/aronlund/status/1212754573586259968…
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The 284,000 who fled last month are in addition to 400,000 displaced by the fighting in May-August 2019. UN agencies and aid groups are now trying to rush tents, rain-proof sheeting, warm blankets, and food to people gathered under open sky in mid winter.https://twitter.com/aronlund/status/1212753438909566976…
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The UN (
@OCHA_Syria) estimates 284,000 people fled their homes in northwestern Syria in December alone. Four fifths were women and children. The Maarrat Nouman region, where the Syrian army is focusing its offensive, is now reportedly almost depopulated.https://reliefweb.int/report/syrian-arab-republic/syrian-arab-republic-recent-developments-northwestern-syria-situation-9…Show this thread -
The United States and Iran should take a deep breath and de-escalate in Iraq, or they could find themselves locked into a hard-to-break conflict spiral that would wreck Iraqi stability, says
@CrisisGroup.https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/rescuing-iraq-iran-us-crossfire… -
Aron Lund Retweeted
2019 Syria Humanitarian Response Plan Funding (as of 31 Dec)
$1.92b received from donors
$1.37b gap in unmet requirements With thanks to the generous top donors:
https://reliefweb.int/report/syrian-arab-republic/2019-syria-humanitarian-response-plan-hrp-funding-overview-31-december?utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shared&utm_source=twitter.com …pic.twitter.com/ktMpqSkrJL
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Great recapitulation of how and why Turkey waded into Libya, and why that won't necessarily end well for Ankara, by
@michaeltanchum.https://www.turkeyanalyst.org/publications/turkey-analyst-articles/item/631-turkey-enters-libyan-escalation-spiral-at-great-risk.html… -
On the emergence of the eastern Mediterranean as a zone of geopolitical tension, by
@Ahmed_Eleiba.http://english.ahram.org.eg/News/358778.aspx… -
Aron Lund Retweeted
What do we do every day? Cover under-reported emergencies, long-simmering conflicts, extremism, and other
#CrisestoWatch. Here’s what’s on our radar for 2020:https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/feature/2020/1/1/humanitarian-crisis-to-watch?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=social… -
Aron Lund Retweeted
Spreading Sahel violence, mysterious attacks in Mozambique and a resurgent Boko Haram – read our highlights from a year of on-the-ground reporting on militancy in Africa.https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/news-feature/2019/12/26/militancy-Africa?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=social…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
In other Carlos Ghosn-related news, three Lebanese lawyers are suing him - for entering Israel. Reminder that Lebanon is not 100 per cent a Ghosn-friendly zone.http://nna-leb.gov.lb/en/show-news/110975/Lawyers-submit-report-against-Carlos-Ghosn-over-entering-Lebanon-surreptitiously…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
The business deal follows pleas from the United States for
#Iraq to wean itself off of Iranian electricity imports.https://www.rudaw.net/english/business/02012020… -
Aron Lund Retweeted
Map of military influence in Syria 01-01-2020 The map of military influence in
#Syria for December 2019 showed a new change in the total control ratios between the conflicting forces on the Syrian soil, compared to the ratios recorded last November. http://bit.ly/2MOkKKh pic.twitter.com/Va8Mn85PE8 -
And here is "Hybrid Actors" (2019), co-written by
@desfandiary,@tcambanis,@simaghaddar,@renadmansour,@mwhanna1, and myself. It deals with how powerful armed groups have approached the issues governance and political status in Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon. https://tcf.org/content/report/hybrid-actors …pic.twitter.com/MPMzQYJ232Show this thread -
Here's "Citizenship and Its Discontents" (2019), edited by
@mwhanna1 and@tcambanis. It's offers smart thoughts on rights and political inclusion by@LinaAttalah,@AkyolinEnglish,@zalali,@rohadvani,@callysally,@KarlreMarks, and many others. https://tcf.org/content/book/citizenship-discontents-struggle-rights-pluralism-inclusion-middle-east …pic.twitter.com/XsSOYano3wShow this thread