Ömer Özkizilcik

@OmerOzkizilcik

Work at the Security Department of in Ankara, columnist at and as the editor in chief of E-Mail: hozkizilcik@setav.org

Ankara, Türkiye
Joined August 2016
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  1. Pinned Tweet

    My latest report: "Uniting the Opposition | The Components of the National Army and the Implications of the Unification" provides a detailed insight into the unification , components of the and its implications: Read the full report here:

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  2. An important piece on how preserves the stalemate in the eastern Mediterranean & prevents a new gas supply for the by backing warlord Haftar to secure the EU's dependence. and are all but friends and allies. By Bilgehan Öztürk

  3. "The recent gains mean that the Assad regime has control of more than a third of the demilitarised zone in Idlib. Under the Sochi Memorandum, the demilitarised zone was meant to remain under the control of the Syrian opposition once heavy weaponry & radical elements were removed"

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  4. I get a lot of questions about the possibility of a deployment to It is impossible that such a deployment happens without someone posting a video or picture about it 🤷‍♂️ Even if a miracle happens, no worries, the is there as a backup to share some images 😅

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    "Moscow’s reasoning is as follows: That while hundreds of thousand of civilians heading to the Turkish border in a week may result in international fury, the same over a period of months may not" Opinion | Omer Ozkizilcik

  6. "Russia has always embarked on a policy of testing the limits and has in the past reduced the intensity of its military operations after facing diplomatic pressure. The Russian strategy in Idlib can be summarised as a long and slow game aimed at its eventual complete capture."

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  7. "Russia’s strategy appears to be to bite off Idlib piece by piece, thereby increasing the flow of civilians to the Turkish border. This process is happening in front of the entire international community, but nevertheless the Russian strategy appears to be paying off."

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    This is ’s EXCLUSIVE access to Marat Al Numan showing how the city turned into a ghost town by attacks of Assad and Russia. Only a few left from a population of 70K. All left for unknow.

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    Very brilliant piece by on the new Russian strategy in to finish Idlib piece by piece rather than a direct bloody attack.

  10. While the media discuss rumors of a deployment from to without any proofs yet, the -aligned media have published a video from a captured mobile phone documenting the role of mercenaries in the war for .

  11. My latest for about the Russian strategy to bite off Idlib piece by piece and gradually creating a humanitarian disaster with some pauses in between due to int outcry: After Trump's tweet the operation seem to be paused but it will restart soon

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  12. BUT in such a case would face a big dilemma/criticism. -> The fighting in Syria, Idlib continues. Even if denies reinforcements to reach the frontlines, the would be criticized. -> protecting the GNA may pay off a strategic win the revolutionary forces in the ME.

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  13. The Syrian National Arym denies to have send forces to Libya. But such a deployment would have significant effects in as the has one of the best ATGM operators in the world and would help to create a strong bond between armed revolutionaries in the Middle East.

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  14. This one is even better 🤩

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  16. A security belt in and a No-Fly zone over it would be very helpful to save innocent lives. If it's done correctly by forcing out radical groups, faciliating the political transition process, even may support this idea.

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  17. Retweeted

    The Assyrians of Ras al-Ayn began their church rituals with for New Year's: "We, Muslims, Christians, Alawite, Kurd, Druze, Arabs, are all brothers. We are performing worship here. We thank the Turkish amy & the government for bringing us justice, and saving us from the PKK/YPG."

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    My first article with & : Does Russia's policy in Libya complicate Turkey's peacebuilding project? Thanks to ! Check out the link:

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    Below is a great example of how fake news is contagious. A journalist reports Turkey is paying TFSA $2000/month to go to Libya and then you have an analyst commenting on this news. 🤦🏻‍♂️ I've asked multiple sources in Syria and Libya and not a single one says this report is true.

  21. Is there anyone who still believes in the 'sources' of ? This money is 22-56 (depending on the faction) more than what a fighter earns monthly.

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    Today’s SVBIED by HTS passed by a group of Syrian loyalists unhindered in the town of Jarjanez, because the loyalists were busy looting the homes of civilians who escaped the town. Symbolic.

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  23. In the long run, the strategy of Jolani is doomed to fail. I do not see a way out for preserving its entrigity and control over and preventing the fall of Idlib. One outcome of this could be the long expected split of HTS into 2 seperate entities.

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  24. The decision makers in are in a though situation. They managed to create their own dominance in but are not capable of stopping the regime by military means. find itself in between three opponents/rivals: - The regime - veterans - and

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  25. knows well that if it allows the entry of the en masse into , the will build up a stronger and direct relation with the & balance the power of in the region of threatening its reign. If continues the regime will progress only further.

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  26. Commanders of the smear in audio records the decision of Jolani to prevent reinforcements to the frontlines of . has only accepted fighters from Jabhat Shamiyah & Ahrar al Sharqiyyah but SNA has prepared a mixed force under direct command of the Defense Minister.

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  27. The has prepared a convoy of 1,000 fighters as reinforcements to the frontlines of Idlib The convoy was stopped by Social media accounts share audio records of SNA figures cursing Jolani for his 'betrayal' I think I know why Jolani refused:

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  29. Turkish observation point in Surman is surrounded by the regime

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  30. "A long-term relationship with the YPG was fundamentally both quixotic and impossible, given the historic grievances held by the government of Turkey against a U.S.-designated terrorist group that had killed thousands of Turks." -

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  31. "The US helped the government of Turkey strike PKK targets. How would the YPG rank and file forces have reacted to such an event? Such questions kept me up at night while at CIA, and we discussed this ad nauseam internally at CIA and within the policy community" -

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  32. "We were faced with a situation in which U.S. special operations forces and intelligence community personnel were working on the ground with a group that other elements of the U.S. government had traditionally been helping the Turks in trying to destroy." -

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  33. "The Turks viewed YPG senior leader Abdi—the U.S. military’s most public YPG interlocutor—as a hardened terrorist. They charged that he previously had been a senior leader for urban operations in Turkey—that is a dry term for Mazloum’s role in killing scores of Turkish civilians"

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  34. "Make no mistake, the United States knowingly and deliberately threw in our lot with one arm of a terrorist group, albeit a more palatable one, to fight another who was far more deadly and a direct threat to the United States, including U.S. territory." -

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  35. "The YPG was simply a rebrand of the PKK, a longtime terrorist group that has killed thousands of innocent Turks, & indeed Americans, in its decades-long struggle against the Turkish state, a NATO ally of the United States" - Former CIA officer

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    Press Release on Condemning the Russian Attacks The Syrian Interim Government - The Ministry of Defense

  38. Idlib'te rejim neden bukadar hızlı ilerliyor? Birçok sebebi var ama birtanesi de geçtiğimiz haftalarda Rusya'nın FKH'deki petrol rafinelerine bombardimanları sonrasında Idlib'e petrol akışında ciddi sorunlar var. Şuan araçları kullanacak petrol bulmakta zorluk çekiyorlar.

  39. The regime advance continues without any real resistance from the opposition. The balance of power in Idlib has changed massively in favor of the regime as a result of long Russian efforts. Turkey & its observation points are unable to stop the regime.

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