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  1. 'It is perhaps more likely that ’s foreign policy is not geared towards becoming a superpower, but instead prioritising defences to fend off influences that might cause instability, and the potential of enemies to cut off key maritime lifelines.'

  2. ' reflected the expanding influence and growing strength of the - partnership...it was proof that the alliance has expanded to include +sympathies of + These realities did not go amiss in Riyadh'

  3. 'The and appear to have been caught off-guard by King Salman’s warm reception to the initiative from to reconcile'

  4. 'From +, Sisi who controls Suez+Alexandria, to 's Benghazi+Tripoli, wants to establish itself as a major maritime power. If Haftar seizes , Libya would fall under UAE orbit, completing chokehold on in the Med'

  5. Does US withdrawal from Syria actually diminish US influence?: via

  6. A pleasure panel-ing yesterday at the Middle East Dialogue Centre in Brussels exploring Europe's role (or potential role) in the Middle East crises with Adnan Tabatabai, and Julien Barnes-Dacey. Among my arguments: Europe's 'neutral' appr…

  7. A summary of the complex dynamics at play in the case; namely: 1- Why Trump is defending 2- Why Turkey has not released recordings yet 3- How much pressure MBS is under 4- What Saudi, Turkey and US all want from the 'investigation'

  8. "Jubeir's statement shows that in this matter, only one thing matters now for Saudis; . Everyone else can be thrown under the bus [to save him]" Spoke to on on changing statements coming out of

  9. What next after Saudi Arabia admits killing Khashoggi?: via

  10. Will be speaking in Brussels on 23rd October at MEDC alongside and Julien Barnes-Dacey on what role Europe can play in the Middle East crises. Details below. Still spaces so do RSVP and attend:

  11. Khashoggi kidnapping and the impact on Turkey-Saudi relations: via

  12. Will be on Aljazeera English at 11am today discussing Khashoggi

  13. My comments today on the ICJ ruling in favour of Iran regarding US sanctiins for TRT World. As always, feedback welcome.

  14. Why Saudi does not want to appease Trump on oil prices: via

  15. Why Saudi Arabia does not want to lower oil prices: via

  16. Will be on Aljazeera English 'Inside Story' today at 18:30 London time discussing the OPEC summit in Algiers and Trump's pressure on members to bring oil prices down.

  17. Why peace in Yemen is so hard to achieve: via

  18. In light of ongoing events in ...

  19. Why Saudi Arabia appears to be changing its mind on ARAMCO IPO: via

  20. Seems Qatar's promises were more than just words. With Chinese investors also eyeing Turkey as well as the EU actively exploring ways to support the Turkish lira, Turkey has much to be hopeful for in this crisis... I encourage everyone to follow RE-PIE…

  21. Erdogan's aversion to raising interest rates makes sense. Even if Central Bank did so, all Washington would need to do is slap further sanctions and will be sent tumbling again. Halting crisis rests on -US rapprochement. US wants Turkey to t…

  22. There is real risk -US spat will be perceived as attack on only Muslim leader with real power/clout. In a region that has also seen a coup against democratically elected Islamist Morsi in and international recognition of Sisi, this is a wa…

  23. There is a real risk that this Erodgan-US spat will become perceived as an attack on the only 'Muslim' leader with any real power/clout. After the coup against the democratically elected Islamist Morsi in and subsequent international recognition o…

  24. 1/ is a tragedy, and the coalition, for all their advanced weaponry, are either incredibly incompetent or do not value the lives of 'cheap' Yemenis. But it is important to remember what it would mean for Yemen in long term to reward Houthi aggressi…

  25. Seems there was truth in what Turkish investors were saying to me; that the lira crisis is not a natural economic problem, but one intentionally exacerbated by international actors... Seems Erdogan has ruffled more than a few feathers by making Turkey a…