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  1. Pinned Tweet

    A frozen & an incoherent hamper 's Berlin process on . Yet, -backers' maneuvering also ripens the landscape for cooperation between an assertive & a machiavellian . My latest 's

  2. Retweeted

    أنيس شقلابو اللي توفى في قصف اليوم في كان هذا مليشياوي معناها ياريته الناس كلهم مليشيات .. اللهم اغفر له اللهم ارحمه . ربي يرحمك أنيس

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  3. Retweeted

    The point here isn't for you to pick a side. It is to realise that certain narratives around terrorism, legitimacy, and ideology are complete nonsense. This is a civil war with direct foreign intervention that is likely to last beyond any conclusion in Tripoli.

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  4. Retweeted

    The presidency issued today a press release in which it affirmed that refuses to be a part of any coalition or lineup in the region, and that every inch of the national soil will only be under the Tunisian sovereignty alone.

  5. Another war crime added to what has now become a daily occurrence: 's conducted strikes on today (on a pharmacy & a bakery). Initial reporting indicates there are several civilian casualties (both injured and dead).

  6. Retweeted

    It is official: Libya's Tripoli based government has approved a request demanding Turkish military assistance "by land sea and air," a senior GNA official tells me, to repel Haftar's offensive on the capital.

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  7. Not sure if going from broadcasting & publishing one's warped views via TV channels & online outlets they de-facto own to having them published by Sputnik is considered progress...

  8. Retweeted

    Snapshot of perpetual Libya rumour mill and disinformation war - claims either 200 Syrian "jihadists" sent by Turkey to support GNA, or Shabiha sent to support Haftar, depending which side you're on. Shared by partisans, western and AJ "journalists", propagandists…

  9. Unlike his other backers, isn't beholden to . Its actions can sow discord w/in / & undermine the . The question of whether it will temper its backing of Haftar depends on its assessment of whether it can still do the above.

  10. Yes, Al-Abani (head of 's Religious Endowment Authority) has communicated with Rabee Al-Madkhalee to confirm whether he issued a fatwa that urged his Saladi Madkhalist followers to join the ranks of 's to attack Tripoli. Rabee responded he "didn't remember".

  11. A good overview of the contemporary relationship between & the , the former's standing within & 's potential rapprochement with . All of this has ramifications affecting , but also .

  12. Retweeted

    تعرف على بديل المحتمل في

  13. In May 2019, Turkey began providing material support to anti-LAAF groups. In Aug 2019, this material support had all but disappeared. However, Erdogan was increasingly vocal about & signed MoUs w/ Sarraj. Current commentary assumes April's material support never abated.

  14. confirmed to be in , probably for -related reasons. Lots of speculation concerning the reasons; these could be: - Kais Saied attempting to show he can mediate in - Erdogan requesting Tunisian logistical support for supplying -aligned groups

  15. Retweeted

    Haftar associated biz P4-BAA and Turkish 2 (top gov't VIP) TC-IST landing Tunis now

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  16. The "face" put on for months, feigning indifference to keep a semblance of normalcy. But heavy congestion betrays waves of displacement since April, & sounds of artillery in the distance are a constant reminder of the blights of war. Frontlines tell a different story.

  17. "Leaders of two different groups of -ese fighters active in have told the Guardian that they had received hundreds of new recruits in recent months. Both groups were fighting with the Libyan National Army (LNA) led by Khalifa "

  18. "A quadripartite summit between , , & is expected to be held on January 4 or 5 in Cairo" Between this summit & the concomitant - summit, I reckon the latter will be far more relevant to 's military scene.

  19. FWIW, Germany recognized the conflict could no longer be exclusively resolved by Libyans a while ago. I'm just saying that more escalation will render Libyan initiatives to halt fighting meaningless - therefore making the "solution" exclusively foreign. Happy Independence Day.

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  20. I think we've never been less "independent". The next bout of escalation in this civil war will, imho, shift the dynamics of the conflict & its resolution. In essence, it will no longer be about stopping Libyans fighting, but about compelling foreign nations to de-escalate.

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  21. Lots of cynicism over 's "Independence Day" (24 December), both online & offline. Warranted, since the country's 3rd bout of civil war in less than a decade, sparked by Haftar's offensive on April 4th, has led to a never-before seen internationalization of the conflict.

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  22. Retweeted

    A sample of who survived precision targeted to root them out of their hiding place in . She keeps asking when is her leg going to grow back.

  23. Your monthly hodge podge of rubbish, courtesy of Ethan Chorin on . I'm surprised there isn't a reviewer at Forbes that can correct some of the factual inaccuracies & misleading narratives the author sets here. It's not the first time this happens.

  24. on : "All participants to the Berlin process should engage constructively in bringing about a peaceful resolution to the conflict" The Berlin process has shown that some Libyans aren't alone in viewing politics in zero-sum terms, meddlers do too

  25. Retweeted

    General Ahmed Gaid Salah, Algeria’s powerful army chief, has passed away.

  26. There's something that can only be described as comic relief happening right now on MBC Masr (a -funded, -based channel broadcasting propaganda for -ian audiences) bringing together & 's spokesperson Mesmari...

  27. Retweeted

    There are thousands of families impacted in the war in . It's incredibly important their voices are amplified and stories shared.

  28. The more poignant quote is from Omar, a Misratan civilian whose mother & sister narrowly survived a drone strike as they were inside his house, preparing for Omar's wedding. "We watched death pass through our home. A house can be rebuilt. A family cannot.”

  29. Story by on the destructive impact of drones in , w/ comments by me. Thanks to Emirati-operated drones, has achieved military superiority in 's skies. This was enabled by 's Al-Khadim airbase in Eastern .

  30. ICYMI: my latest piece on analyzes the international maneuvering that preceded & followed the - MoU. 's FM's visit to to meet Eastern officials today is part of the effort to withdraw recognition from .

  31. Retweeted

    Pro- tweeps worried that might already be backing . A warranted concern indeed had opposed the war for since the bombed it in Aug ’14. After 2019 hiatus, the presidential election’s outcome was much less -friendly than anticipated

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  32. I speak to : "One reason for 's alignment with the in is its intention to deter the establishment of a state ideologically hostile to in North Africa"

  33. Retweeted
  34. If in the minds of officials, tipping the balances entails rapid territorial gains, that's a flawed assessment contradicted by past conflicts. A "bloodier conflict" (w/ damage to infrastructure, 1000s of IDPs & swaths of areas levelled) is Haftar's "upper hand".

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  35. "The official said the involvement of -n mercenaries so far has not tipped the conflict in favour of Haftar. It's creating a bloodier conflict" I wonder what qualifies as "tipping the conflict in favour of " if this doesn't.

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  36. Retweeted

    The only thing interesting about this silly essay is that UAE’s ABZ tweeted it out. Which is interesting.

  37. The last time 's targeted Turkish citizens (by arresting a few workers in back in July), it had to capitulate in less than 48 hours & release them after threats from Erdogan himself.

  38. State Dept statement reflecting the lack of coherent policy in : There's been ~14 foreign conducted airstrikes on 2 days ago. As for GNA's request for 's support & the escalation that may ensue, it is a direct result of US/ inaction.

  39. Retweeted

    Russian mercenaries backing Libyan rebel Khalifa Haftar now spearheading a battle to capture the capital, interior minister says via

  40. So, guess which actor he'll share an ideological alignment with & he'll likely naturally be compelled to back...

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  41. "’s most frequent dealings are w/ GCC states [...]. For him, Gulf states are a natural point of engagement: authoritarian Islamic states, awash with rentier revenue, & ruled by a security-oriented clique of leaders who enjoy a strongman image"

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