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Today was my last day at the State Department. I wish my former civilian and military colleagues well as they work under extremely difficult circumstances to protect the interests of our great country. It was a privilege to serve alongside them.
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Brett McGurk Retweeted
This is an impressive bipartisan Congressional initiative to help rebuild the Foreign Service and to reaffirm America’s commitment to diplomacy. Joint Statement on the House Diplomacy Caucus — Foreign Policy for Americahttps://www.fp4america.org/joint-statement-on-the-house-diplomacy-caucus…
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This is what happens when the United States abandons principled diplomacy. Trump’s relationship with Erdogan has undercut any serious effort to nudge Turkey in a more constructive direction. As in most other areas of foreign policy at the moment, it’s only getting worse.
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8. And … Turkey once again threatened to kick the U.S. out of Incirlik airbase in the event Washington chooses to push back on Turkey's purchase of Russian missiles and longstanding pattern of conduct SECDEF rightly calls "spinning out of NATO's orbit."https://www.dailysabah.com/diplomacy/2019/12/11/turkey-may-tell-us-to-withdraw-from-incirlik-fm-says?fbclid=iwar11f6r5bjszzvt-2lz42zrccyhjposrcnaum95qtbdqygfbazpva190b8q…
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7. Turkey together with Iran and Russia through its "Astana process" condemned Israel's defensive measures in Syria and what it called "illegal seizure and transfer of oil revenue" by US-backed forces. (Trump has unforutnately invited the latter point.) https://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/-/asset_publisher/cKNonkJE02Bw/content/id/3949043 …
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6. Erdogan announced the Turkstream gas pipeline will be inaugurated with Putin on January 8 in Turkey. (Congress in the NDAA just voted to sanction this project.)https://twitter.com/DailySabah/status/1201478676824637446?s=20…
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5. After which, Turkey denied it had approved NATO defensive plans for eastern Europe, plans Turkey has held hostage until NATO's 28 other allies declare the Kurdish YPG a terrorist organization (which NATO won’t do).https://www.stripes.com/news/europe/turkey-warns-again-it-will-block-nato-defense-plan-over-kurdish-issue-1.610657#.XfDWiu-P9mk.twitter…
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4. Erdogan provided an immediate briefing on NATO meetings to Vladimir Putin. (Kremlin readout: “The Turkish president briefed Vladimir Putin on his meetings at the recent NATO summit in London.”)https://twitter.com/KremlinRussia_E/status/1204867361616072706?s=20…
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3. Turkey concluded a Mediterranean "sea grab" with the beleaguered GNA of Libya absent any consultation and in direct conflict with NATO ally Greece and U.S. allies Israel and Egypt.https://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-libya-idUSKBN1Y213I…
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2. Erdogan called on Muslims to “unite against the west” at the very moment Turkey is hosting US-designated-terrorist Ismail Haniyeh of Hamas in Istanbul.https://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Erdogan-bashes-Israel-calls-on-Muslim-to-unite-against-the-West-610375…
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1. Erdogan again threatened to repopulate the border region in NE Syria with over one million Syrians not native to the area (a process that has reportedly already begun).https://www.reuters.com/article/us-syria-security-turkey/erdogan-says-turkey-aims-to-settle-1-million-refugees-in-syria-offensive-area-idUSKBN1YD27R…
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Quick thread / update on the still unfolding consequences of Trump’s appeasing Erdogan while asking for absolutely nothing in return. Two weeks ago, recall, Trump feted Erdogan at the WH for no apparent reason. Since then, what's happened?
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Brett McGurk Retweeted
Brett McGurk who served in senior national security positions for Presidents Bush, Obama, and Trump, shared his insights into presidential decision making at times of war at
@CTECMIIS event in the Irvine Auditorium on December 3.https://www.middlebury.edu/institute/academics/centers-initiatives/ctec/news/brett-mcgurk-shares-insights-three-presidents-war… -
Great news on the release of
@FreeXiyueWang. Congratulations to everyone involved in what surely was a difficult exchange. We are fortunate to have the@SwissEmbassyIr to manage the files of our wrongfully imprisoned citizens. They all need to come home.https://twitter.com/freexiyuewang/status/1203272663231275008… -
Brett McGurk Retweeted
CNN on the ground in Northern Syria after Trump pulled U.S. troops
@clarissaward reports@EricaRHill https://cnn.it/2OMpT5R pic.twitter.com/VGyIbhv6Fv -
Ten days after Erdogan visits Trump in the White House, Turkey flies NATO aircraft to test its new Russian S400 missile system, as Turkish-backed extremists reportedly continue operations in NE Syria. Embarrassing.https://www.thenational.ae/world/turkey-tests-s-400-russian-missile-system-with-us-f-16-in-defiance-of-washington-1.942679…
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That’s all in the last week. Ukraine is one piece of a dysfunctional foreign policy system under Trump. It’s disconnected from declared American interests. Diplomats can’t speak for our country even on established policies. Adversaries and competitors sense and seize advantage.
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5. Back in the Middle East, as we hand military facilities to Russia (the other great power competitor) and Iran restarts its nuclear program, Saudi Arabia, recently attacked by Iran, reads the tea leaves and conducts joint naval exercises with China.https://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUKKBN1XU0AW#click=https://t.co/RUTtK3eeSa…
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4. South Korea, confronted with the new reality of an unpredictable and unreliable United States under Trump, signs an unprecedented defense pact with China, our primary great power competitor as defined in Trump’s own national security strategy.https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/11/18/china-signs-defence-agreement-south-korea-us-angers-seoul-demand/…
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3. Canceled military exercises in South Korea, essential for our own readiness and aimed apparently to appease Kim Jong-Un, were only met with further defiance from North Korea. (That’s generally how appeasement works.)https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1196593704095625217…
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2. Trump’s own national security strategy was geared towards “great power competition,” yet we’re shaking down and alienating our closest Asia-Pacific allies, our main comparative advantage against China.https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia-pacific/us-breaks-off-talks-with-south-korea-over-costs-of-military-alliance/2019/11/19/949773d8-0a9b-11ea-8054-289aef6e38a3_story.html…
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1. State/DOD IGs confirm what we already know: that Trump’s green light to Erdogan and abrupt withdrawal from Syria has been a total disaster that’s only getting worse, benefitting ISIS, Iran, and Russia.https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/19/politics/pentagon-report-syria-turkey-ceasefire/index.html…
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The predictable result is a shambolic foreign policy and weakening of our country. In the last week alone, five examples, across two theaters:
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Here is the entire essay, which is worth reading. The effectiveness trap, banishment of expertise, impugning the reputations of those who tell the truth, and the resultant chilling effect amongst serving officials, all read like modern-day lessons.https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1968/04/how-could-vietnam-happen-an-autopsy/306462/…
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George Packer, in his brilliant “Our Man” about Richard Holbrook, cites a ‘68
@TheAtlantic essay by a former assistant who worked for years on Vietnam and described why officials so often refuse to speak up or throw red flags when they know they should. Seems very relevant today:pic.twitter.com/7i8YsTNrm0Show this thread -
Brett McGurk Retweeted
Tonight 10pm ET tune into
@MSNBC for the latest episode of#OnAssignmentMSNBC with@RichardEngel -#AmericanBetrayal - if you can’t join us live set your DVR.pic.twitter.com/9KBNaghAxv -
Brett McGurk Retweeted
Massive attacks underway against the kurds in northern syria. No ceasefire. Total nonsenses there is. US military officials tell me they are ashamed, “sickened.” It’s cold now outside. What about the families, and kids, out of their homes?
@OARichardEngel#AmericanBetrayal -
Kobani is a predominantly Kurdish area and site of the turning point against ISIS in 2015. This military facility was later critical to the defeat of ISIS’s so-called caliphate. Unfortunately for the Kurds, there’s no oil in the area.https://www.kurdistan24.net/en/news/ce49a91c-5f4f-434a-a9c5-6cd3432a842f…
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Today in Syria: Russia takes control of main U.S. military facility abandoned earlier this week by American forces on Trump’s orders. This area is south of Kobani and went to Russia under the Putin-Erdogan deal. Russia now also owns the airstrip we built.pic.twitter.com/uO5AHdKMi3
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Pompeo says the
@coalition to defeat ISIS that formed in 2014 is “one of the most successful multilateral undertakings of the century.” Agree!https://twitter.com/StateDept/status/1195046612994854915?s=20… -
I worked with Amb Taylor. With his remarkable record of service, personal courage, and integrity, he was like an EF Hutton of diplomacy: when he spoke, best to listen carefully.https://twitter.com/cspan/status/1194655603492302848?s=21…
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Senior US officials keep trying to clean this up, claiming US troops are really staying in Syria due to ISIS, but the troops are there on Trunp’s orders, and he keeps saying this (“only for the oil”) — which is totally illegal.https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1194671109679046658?s=21…
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At bottom: No NATO ally defies American values and interests like Turkey under Erdogan. Turkey is a great country, and its democracy will outlast its current leader. Until then, it’s best to be honest about what’s happening. None of it’s normal, and appeasement makes it worse.
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15. Why do you continue to insist on expanding the influence of extremist groups known to harbor al Qaeda and responsible for war crimes? Are any of these groups now in NE Syria using American weapons? Do they operate under US-controlled skies?
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14. Why did your state-backed media hail an “operation” to brutally murder a Kurdish woman until realizing it was (indeed) a probable war crime and then deleted any trace of the story? Has anyone been held accountable?https://twitter.com/brett_mcgurk/status/1183112864908894208?s=21…
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13. Why did you start making specific military threats against NE Syria — which culminated during your October 6 call with Trump — on the very day you took delivery of the S400 missile system from Russia? Was that a big coincidence?https://twitter.com/brett_mcgurk/status/1149726976678039552?s=21…
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12. When you threaten to send 2-3 million refugees into NE Syria, where will the people who already live there go? Do you agree with Trump that Kurds can migrate from their traditonal areas to a remote oil region?https://twitter.com/sarahdadouch/status/1187656580612919297?s=21…
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11. Why did your government become the world’s largest sanctions buster on behalf of Iran with illegal proceeds, according to SDNY court filings, lining the pockets of senior Turkish officials? Where has all that money (billions) gone? https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/prosecutors-raise-pressure-turkish-bank-erdogan-likely-ask-trump-go-n1080991 …
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10. Why, as a NATO ally, an alliance built on shared interests and values, do Turkish citizens who criticize your policies, particularly on Syria, routinely wind up exiled, purged, or jailed? (Why is a NATO ally the world’s largest jailer of journalists?)https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/01/16/turkey-leads-the-world-in-jailed-journalists…
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9. Why, despite years of effort, hundreds of millions of American taxpayer dollars, and deployment of our best military planners to Ankara, were the Syrian opposition groups you insisted on supporting to fight ISIS found far too extreme for U.S. troops to partner with safely?
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8. Why did you agree to joint patrols with Putin and Russian forces in Syria but rejected joint patrols in adjacent areas with American troops, and then placed our troops in grave danger with an unprovoked attack that ceded 2/3 of NE Syria to Russia and Assad?
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