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  1. Pinned Tweet

    For 1000s of , life in is still hell. There’s no playing down this hard reality Our latest report looks into some dynamics that could be fostered as far as how fit in the local economies of , &

  2. “Most Western states don’t subscribe to France’s narrative on African terrorism threatening all of Europe & capable of prompting hordes of sub-Saharan Africans to emigrate. “For the rest of Europe, France is in the front line primarily bcos of its colonial past on the continent”

  3. It is inaccurate to label ’s protests this year as an uprising against neoliberalism.

  4. Retweeted

    Update on death toll and number of displaced eight months into the war sparked by Haftar’s offensive on Tripoli. From interview with UN envoy Salame.

  5. Retweeted

    Say what?!?! I hope there is an element of context here because although it’s true that Macron has become more authoritarian lately, saying there is a stark resemblance with Trump is... quite wow.

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  6. Retweeted

    's Army has seized 1,080kg of ( resin) in In-Amenas, , near the border with . While it's well known that kif trafficking goes on through the area, this seizure is an order of magnitude larger than those typically made in eastern Algeria.

  7. There is a rather stark resemblance between ’s ideology and ’s ideology. For instance both welcome expanding its security role across . ’s anti-Liberal, pro-authoritarian inclination has always been there but became brazen & obvious only lately

  8. Does intend on enforcing the accord? No; not really. needs the deal mainly for rhetorical, doctrinal & *legal* purpose. Amid ’s growing isolation in the , the deal helps it make a case for its own interpretation of territorial-water conventions

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  9. How interested the in this regard? is deeply committed in supporting the -- bloc in . Thus, the will not at all appreciate the maritime that signed. He just gave them another reason to sympathize w/ .

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  10. Now the has crossed the rubicon by signing w/ , the is going to heap opprobrium on it. From now on, & will veto everything in the when it comes to assisting the . They will also rush to bolster their diplomatic & economic support for

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  11. ’s military intervention in support of -aligned forces greatly diminished in breadth and intensity roughly 8 wks ago. ’s recession combined w/ growing presence made desperate to “bet the ranch” in an attempt to revive ’s engagement.

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  12. 1st asked the to sign this very deal in Autumn 2018. Why didn’t sign then? Reason is: govt knew full well it’d alienate important states such as & . Also—1 yr ago—the had much greater hope & would help it survive.

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  13. [ Thread on the - “continental shelf” signed by the on Nov 27. ]

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  14. interests in the Eastern Med help understand the recent alignment of & against .

  15. Deeply honored to have had the opportunity to give a lecture on at , Denmark.

  16. Graphic, shocking video evidence of terrible abuses against innocent civilians in Umm al-Arnab, south . The camp carrying out this raid is hard to comprehend. Maybe foreign jets were able to recover ystrday, but southern has been mishandled all year.

  17. Retweeted

    Project18280 519th Independent Intelligence Ship Division of BlackSea Fleet, Adm Ivanov class reconnaissance ship Ivan Khurs transited Bosphorus towards Mediterranean. Ship provides SIGINT & observation of ballistic/cruise missile launches. My pix v.

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  18. Retweeted

    Meaningful development. French diplomats and military will welcome the move

  19. “Tobruk in particular is a regionally important landing & storage site for drugs from Morocco, Syria, Lebanon, Europe (Greece & southern Italy) & even South America. “A significant volume gets re-exported via maritime routes to southern Italy & Balkan countries.” New from .

  20. ’s Nov 28 comments essentially say W Europe must stop worrying & love /. At the same time, it must be very afraid of the northern half of . Corollary: & are invited to come take care of the security of North African countries like

  21. Retweeted

    In the press conference Macron is not interested in Trump or in Europe’s strategic autonomy. He just thinks that Nato has misidentified its enemy. He wants a Nato that works with Russia and China and fights against political, militant Islam. Finally this was explicitly argued

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  22. Retweeted

    Overnight, Libya & Turkey has a Common maritime boundary. After Tripoli-based GNA’s signing of MoU with Turkey, the Libyan coastline from Tobruk to Derna has common maritime boundaries with Turkey's southwestern coast of Fethiye-Marmaris-Kaş. Tobruk-based gov’t is 😡 for sure!.

  23. Retweeted

    Members from one Tuareg Social Council (TSC) paid a visit to GNA's chief of staff in asking for support. Meanwhile, the other Tuareg Social Council in met with LNA's Alabaj showing their support. The situation with the two council's is quite complicated.

  24. Retweeted
  25. Many people reject the idea that K Haftar is interested in personally concentrating political power When 1 argues he’s done just that in Barqa, response is: Toughness is necessary for a while to win the war v political Islam. When it‘s 100% eradicated, no autocracy will persist

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  27. A official said , “in many ways,” had achieved his objectives: raising the profile of several complaints, like the distribution of state revenue & a “militant component of the militias” This alludes to an approach that’s almost identical to that of

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  29. Retweeted

    هذا التفسير يعطيك فهم لأهمية ليبيا الجيوسياسية في الصراعات في حوض المتوسط والمنطقة العربية، في 1911 كان احتلال ليبيا بداية لنهاية الدولة العثمانية والجشع الأوربي على الكيانات المنبثقة منه. التاريخ يعود ولكن بمسارات مختلفة في بعض تفاصيله

  30. Agreeing on a “continental shelf” or Exclusive Eco Zone has been 1 of the top motivations of over the last 11 months or so. —to defend its own interpretation of territorial-waters law—needed one partner country … *other* than Northern . That’s now

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  31. In Aug, said “deep state” shouldn’t dissuade him from embracing . ’ pro- slant has indeed become more pronounced ever since—as illustrated by French silence on near . Now, hints at potential convergence w/ in

  32. Al- Oil Field re-captured by the on the day of :takeover attempt. Units below mobilized on the ground while hi-precision air strikes were performed by a foreign state.

  33. Retweeted

    . reporting that these were pro-LAAF airstrikes in reaction to the Southern Protection Force's efforts to take over the field earlier today: 's NOC says production at El Feel oilfield halted because of air strikes

  34. Retweeted

    1/3 has shut production at the -Feel oil field due to ongoing military activity in the area.

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  35. area: has in recent wks shown a greater tendency to go after soft targets As a result, slowly but surely, there is now—on both sides—a higher tolerance for civilian casualties & there’s been no real international condemnation Propitious for ’s war of attrition

  36. This—on ’s complacency vis-à-vis endemic mayhem & suffering inside —is very sharp. I‘d add that planners assume that even if the most crucial armed groups get toppled (which they won’t), migrant flow into will remain nill & hydrocarbons flow, intact.

  37. Good reminder that the government has been cracking down on groups that have absolutely nothing to do with political Islam. The notion that is pro-Ikhwan or somehow funded by is a joke.

  38. Retweeted

    officials met with Khalifa Haftar on last Monday and discussed need to end his offensive against , they also voiced concern over the involvement of in the Libyan conflict

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  39. Retweeted

    U.S. Delegation Meets with General Khalifa Haftar - United States Department of State

  40. Retweeted

    "Many of the men held were once active on social media or websites... However, they’d largely stopped writing years ago and maintained low profiles, starting small businesses or joining the government."