Jens Hittrien

@JensHittrien

Criminologist independently observing Syrian conflict. Bridging between OSINT reporting & journalism, flavoured with proper thoughts.

Joined February 2015

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  1. Interesting undertone in 's article on SNA factions. That of the budgetary reluctance Turkey is displaying towards the fighters it supports, in contrast with the recently adapted professional image of the former. An indication of its fate?

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  3. With this action Twitter will potentially remove 100's of old Twitter accounts documenting the Syrian uprising. This undoubtedly means a significant share of Syria's revolutionary history will end up in the dust bin, exposing it to postfactual interpretation.

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  4. Note: this is meant as a brief and non-exhaustive overview. It might contain some shortcomings or mistakes.

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  5. The resurgence of insurgency: an overview. Not only Islamic State uses insurgency tactics. Since 2018 there is a wide array of active resistance cells popping up in different parts of Syria.

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  6. Several indications Russia is on a 'hearts and minds' campaign in Kobane: - Establishing of a medical point offering free medical services for locals ( ) - Visit of Russian delegation to Kobane local administration

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    Come again, are you seriously advocating an incentives-based approach in dealing with the regime? Doing away with international law & and involuntarily promoting ?

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    11 Nov KNC leader Hakim al-Bashar (KDP-S) from posted a list of at least 6 conditions to be met before he could even accept the call for a United Kurdish Movement on his Facebook account:

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    My latest for looking at the |n Army deployments to the northeast - estimated strength and why each unit deployed where it did.

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  10. Russia probably already developed kind of a road book to end the conflict and maximise Russian interests in Syria, making use of the existing tracks. The partial US withdrawal and redeployment have proved that it rather is stiff, without much room for flexibility.

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  11. Russia was dragged out of its comfort zone by US' unexpected withdrawal out of parts of NE Syria. Now it seems the former is aiming for a status quo instead of abiding by the MuO reached with Turkey, stubbornly sticking with the existing tracks for Syria.

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    Hard to catch up on women from escaping in . But all six identified now belong to same circle of early recruits. Makes security services think there must be a network in Belgium actively facilitating escape

  13. Russia keeps insisting it fulfilled the obligations of the Safe Zone MoU, rather aiming to maximise its leverage in (NE-) Syria by filling up the void caused by US' partial withdrawal than caring about Turkey's security concerns regarding YPG/PKK.

  14. Israel also is targeting areas closer to the Israeli border now, where Hezbollah is trying to build influence for a while already.

  15. The reasoning behind this could be that US/SDF counter terrorism ops are draining expertise of IS cells to manufacture ied's & vehicle bombs, forcing them to seek other ways to wreck havoc. In areas with a high density of IS cells it is impossible to bring this expertise to zero.

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  16. While attacks still are occurring in cities like Raqqa and Manbij, it is important to look at the type of attack. Conclusion: no vehicle bombs and ied's in Manbij and Tabqa since June and Raqqa since August.

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  17. Looking at the stats and map, two kinds of areas can be distinguished. core areas (along the Euphrates) with a high density of attacks and peripheral areas (Raqqa, Tabqa, Manbij Hasakah) where attacks occurs on a less frequent basis. The latter see a remarkable development.

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  18. Behind the numbers there is always the question: Do SDF/US counter terrorism operations result in a improvement of the security situation? In general: no. But there is some nuance in it.

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    NEW MAP: quick graphic I did showing prominent volcanic terrain features of Syrian . Got the idea to make this observing the ping-pong on the Ras al-Ayn front, where TFSA control of the heights of Abdulsalam has proven a tough nut for SAA/SDF to crack without air cover.

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    SDF commander Mazloum Abdi was in Erbil earlier last week. He has met with KDP and PUK leaders; he has also met with leaders of ENKS (main Kurdish rival of PYD in Syria), according to local sources. But, it is unclear if the meetings have led to any tangible results.

  21. Throwing Molotov cocktails to a Turkish-Russia patrol might be fun to express anger with the measures taken, it also might be a stepping stone to a further escalation, depending on reaction of the latter.

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    Turkey’s Deporting fighters and it’s forcing Europe to face a problem it’s far too long avoided - what to do with ISIS detainees. “All of the European countries have desperately been looking for a way to deal with them without bringing them back”

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    Syrian pound passes 700 to the dollar, for the first time. sees three reasons: (1) Lebanon's banking crisis, (2) the failure of a government-backed campaign to make investors sell dollars, (3) Trump's decision to hold on to the oil fields.

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    's new base at 's has at least three operational and one strategic objective. My latest

  25. Finally someone is pointing to the concept of demographic engineering without the pitfall of sectarianism and polarisation. Important notion.

  26. Since weeks areas controlled by National Syrian Army are plagued by car bombs. Most of them hardly make distinctions between military and civilians, and practically none of them are claimed by any party.

  27. If my list of bookmarks would create an own account on here, I'm pretty sure it would attract at least as much followers as I have now. It literally has become a dump of interesting tweets awaiting fate; being picked up or forgotten and plunging into the bookmark dungeon.

  28. Despite daily reports of fighters KIA, both Turkey/NSA & SAA/SDF seem to fight near Tal Tamer with the brakes on. The former does not seem to initiate an offensive intensive enough to achieve a permanent breakthrough. The latter are providing just enough effort to counter it.

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    "A handful of international relief workers have returned to northeast Syria. International NGOs have relaunched many of their activities through a system of remote management that places greater responsibility on Syrian staff." (1)

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  30. Russia has started to move air defence systems from Hmeim airbase to Qamisli airport. Another sign it may be turned in a second air base in Syria for the country. To see whether this will be permanent.

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    Thread: Situation in the al-Hol camp is worse since NGO‘s withdrew from NE Syria due to Turkey’s incursion. Camp authorities say the water supply has declined significantly, and medical clinics can handle only about 10% of demand.

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  33. I will not go too much in detail about it, but you find out for yourself.

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  34. Though the Gallup poll has a lot of interesting and correct conclusions, be careful not to generalise the results to the whole of NE-Syria. Although it is claimed the sample is weighed, it does not guarantee a solid representation for the whole of the region.

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    Situation in is escalating from different angels, ISIS is starting to be active again making the security situation more fragile, also the civilians keeps on protesting against the backed militias and presence and influence in the province

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    Insightful article examining how the regime is using the cover of the civil war to transfer public goods to private control, furthering an underlying dynamic of crony capitalism and kleptocracy that existed before the uprising:

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    1. A KNC spox from the biggest bloc in the KNC told me Sunday evening that they have met (not in secret, there are pictures) and that they (KNC) told the PYD that they can go to the KRG (Iraqi Kurdistan) to play the role of mediation for the Kurdish rapprochement.

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