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Now available for free download: "Hybrid Actors: Armed Groups and State Fragmentation in the Middle East," our brand new book about armed actors and governance in Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria. Buy a print copy: https://tcf.org/content/book/hybrid-actors-armed-groups-state-fragmentation-middle-east/ … Or get the free PDF:https://tcf.org/content/report/hybrid-actors…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
Please RT and share one of the most monstrous projects I have ever done: the structure of the Turkish-backed 'Syrian National Army'. If you were confused about different brigade numbers, divisions & corresponding factions, your questions are resolved herehttp://www.aymennjawad.org/2019/11/the-structure-of-the-syrian-national-army…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
My new paper on the history of
#Trump's 'max pressure' campaign and why its a failure http://studies.aljazeera.net/en/reports/2019/11/trump-iran-political-ironies-maximum-pressure-maximum-resistance-191114110218958.html … -
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Mr/Mrs Senior State Department Official is back from the Middle East and warns both Turkey and Egypt that they'll be sanctioned if they try to buy Russian weapons—maybe not for stocking up on Kalashikovs, but certainly for combat jets or air defenses. https://www.state.gov/Background+Briefing+on+Political-Military+Affairs …pic.twitter.com/YKpm4i77Ej
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In a move that may reduce its effectiveness as a lobby group, the FDD has registered as a lobby group. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2019/11/anti-iran-advocacy-group-fdd-registers-to-lobby.html … by
@aaronjschaffer and@JPecquet_ALM -
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Turkey plans to reopen the Akcakale–Tell Abiad border crossing as soon as possible.https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/turkey-to-open-syrian-border-gate-as-soon-as-possible/1652136…
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With military-backed elections just three weeks away, Algerian protesters serm to be trying to level up to daily marches instead of weekly—but it will take a lot more than "hundreds" to derail Gaid Salah's regime.
@LamineChikhi2:https://af.reuters.com/article/algeriaNews/idAFL8N2816OJ… -
According to
@ChangFrick, Iraqi Defense Minister Najah Shammari and family are under police investigation in Sweden for fraud. Reportedly registered as living in Stockholm, draw unemployment and disability checks. https://nyheteridag.se/iraks-forsvarsminister-far-bidrag-fran-forsakringskassan-polisen-utreder-flera-brott … (NB: not officially confirmed by police.) -
Aron Lund Retweeted
At least 106 protesters have been killed in Iran, according to reports we have received. Verified video footage, eyewitness testimony & info gathered from activists outside Iran reveal a harrowing pattern of unlawful killings by Iranian security forces.https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2019/11/iran-more-than-100-protesters-believed-to-be-killed-as-top-officials-give-green-light-to-crush-protests/…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
A Deadly Game of Chicken in Iraq and Lebanon via
@thenationhttps://www.thenation.com/article/iraq-lebanon-protest/… -
Detailed look at the back and forth over OPCW's investigation into the Douma 2018 incident, by
@Brian_Whit.https://al-bab.com/blog/2019/11/whistleblower-versus-watchdog-political-machinations-over-chemical-weapons-syria…Show this thread -
By involving itself with Turkey's "safe zone" plans in northeastern Syria, Russia may have bitten off more than it can chew, writes
@NeilPHauer. https://www.mei.edu/publications/russias-military-police-face-their-toughest-challenge-yet-north-syria … via@Charles_Lister -
Assad decrees pay and pension hikes for Syrians, unfortunately in a currency that is losing value much faster than he can issue decrees. https://www.sana.sy/en/?p=178899 https://www.sana.sy/en/?p=178896
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Netanyahu indicted: A-G to charge PM with bribery, fraud, breach of trust, by
@jeremybob1.https://www.jpost.com/Breaking-News/Mandelblit-reportedly-will-announce-Netanyahu-indictment-today-608541…Show this thread -
Aron Lund Retweeted
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@AP's@bmroue reports from Beirut's Hamra, paralyzed amid Lebanon's unfolding economic crisis:https://apnews.com/c93ebf3293ca4b0f868de4595c33310e… -
Good points by
@FrancisGhiles: why is Algeria's crisis virtually unreported in EU despite deep interests, high stakes? https://www.ft.com/content/d3a0fada-0afb-11ea-b2d6-9bf4d1957a67 … My two eurocents: 1) invisible to media hive mind on Anglo Twitter 2) Iraq, Lebanon etc 3) no blood & frankly, protests no longer "news"pic.twitter.com/IiqxN5LJN0 -
Costs for U.S. post-9/11 wars in the Middle East/Central Asia now total $6.4 trillion, according to a new paper by Neta Crawford. Includes wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria, drones and special ops in places like Somalia and Yemen, veterans' care, etc. https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/files/cow/imce/papers/2019/US%20Budgetary%20Costs%20of%20Wars%20November%202019.pdf …
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Aron Lund Retweeted
Baghdad has been in a near-constant state of upheaval for the past month.
@renadmansour writes that the popular protest presents the greatest challenge to Iraq’s political system since 2003—and the country’s political elites are fighting back.https://trib.al/WsBpZJb -
The Abdullah Azzam Brigades in Bilad al-Sham—an old, discreet but well-credentialed Salafi-jihadi outfit, which was sidelined after 2011—dissolves. Less clear if this also applies to AAB branches outside "Bilad al-Sham," however defined, or whether any such branches still exist.pic.twitter.com/8heuxJpAMJ
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"The leadership has no clue at all. It is like being in the Palace of Versailles on May 4, 1789." On the Iran leaks and Iraq protests, by
@AliAlMamouri.https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2019/11/iraq-protests-sistani-us-iran.html… -
Israel still has no government. Idea of Gantz heading minority cabinet backed by Liberman and Arab lawmakers fell apart when Netanyahu out-racisted Liberman, who reclaimed his title by declaring Arabs a "fifth column." Toward third election?
@IKershner:https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/20/world/middleeast/israel-netanyahu-gantz.html…Show this thread -
More unusualness from Syria: Tartous Governor Safwan Abu Saada tells the press he just razed six luxury chalets to the ground over minor regulatory violations—owned by top businessmen and their families, incl. Samer Foz and Khodr Ali Taher. https://www.syria-report.com/news/economy/foz-khodr-ali-taher-targeted-tartous-governor …
@TheSyriaReport -
Under pressure from the Lebanese banking crisis and domestic woes—war, corruption, and sanctions—the Syrian pound is in freefall, prices rise, and the Central Bank "has effectively stopped funding almost all import transactions," writes
@TheSyriaReport. https://www.syria-report.com/news/economy/chaotic-economic-situation-syria-currency-continues-its-freefall …Show this thread -
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@GeoffDPorter on the new Algerian hydrocarbons law, and the new Sonatrach CEO.http://northafricarisk.com/analysis/2019-11-15…Show this thread -
Interview on the Islamic State's ability to recover with Lt. Gen. Saad al-Allaq, Iraq's head of military intelligence, by
@mtawfeeqCNN and@kileyCNN.https://edition.cnn.com/2019/11/18/middleeast/iraq-spy-chief-isis-rebuilding/index.html… -
Free book download here: https://tcf.org/content/report/hybrid-actors … Or if you're a proper reader, buy a print copy here:https://www.brookings.edu/book/hybrid-actors…
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Book launch!
@mwhanna1,@renadmansour,@ericagaston, and@desfandiary spoke about our research into Middle Eastern "hybrid actors" at@POMEPS yesterday, introduced by@abuaardvark: https://www.facebook.com/POMEPS/videos/vb.120502354663861/888001474927548/?type=2&theater …Show this thread -
Aron Lund Retweeted
My latest with
@MEdwardsJO@newhumanitarian “I’m not returning because I think the situation in Syria is good. But you don’t enter into a difficult situation unless the one you’re currently in is even worse.” https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/news-feature/2019/11/19/Syrian-refugees-return-Jordan… -
Aron Lund Retweeted
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By defending the prevailing order in Lebanon, Hezbollah harms its relationship with once fiercely loyal supporters.
@bmroue and@MariamFam:https://apnews.com/d8d2c544969c46b28942353190c44999… -
Partnership with Kurds against ISIS still strong, says US coalition general - by
@seldeeb. https://www.militarytimes.com/flashpoints/2019/11/17/partnership-with-kurds-against-isis-still-strong-says-us-coalition-general … via@joshua_landis -
Turkey: the United States and Russia haven't done what they promised in Syria, we may have to intervene again. https://www.yenisafak.com/en/news/turkey-says-deals-on-northern-syria-not-fulfilled-by-us-russia-3505420 … Russia: nope.https://tass.com/politics/1090449…
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The United States built the Iraqi government 15 years ago and rescued it 5 years ago, but now—with vague but grand ambitions, a half-empty embassy, and protests raging in the streets—American influence has sunk to its lowest point yet.
@GebeilyM:https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/11/18/world/politics-diplomacy-world/us-crafted-regime-under-fire-in-iraq/#.XdPz4SUo-Ec… -
Aron Lund Retweeted
Russia has secured the oilhttps://twitter.com/PMSimferopol/status/1196434516539330560…
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Aron Lund Retweeted
The
#Egyptian military’s takeover in 2013 transformed its role in the national economy, turning it into an autonomous actor that can reshape markets and influence government policy setting & investment strategies. Read my latest report: https://carnegie-mec.org/p-80325 pic.twitter.com/LHdOtxL9Ze -
What is a "hybrid actor" and why does that matter to the protests in Iraq? Read
@renadmansour,@tcambanis, and@mwhanna1 on how to think about Iraq's militias and their role in Iranian power-projection, drawing on our new@TCFdotorg book, "Hybrid Actors." https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/11/18/these-iraqi-militias-are-attacking-protesters-getting-away-with-it-heres-why …pic.twitter.com/eK4fuF4ZROShow this thread -
United States: New rule, Arabs can't legally own things. https://apnews.com/3da4fb3671004679a91a7d4ae9ab4e57 … by
@APdiplowriterpic.twitter.com/bF97lPQxZMShow this thread -
Co-authored by
@tcambanis,@renadmansour,@mwhanna1,@DEsfandiary,@simaghaddar, and myself, the book looks at how strong armed groups can carve out permanent space in weak states, institutionalizing their power without reaching—or even seeking—statehood. http://tcf.org/content/report/hybrid-actors …pic.twitter.com/o6IxUV3sGwShow this thread