Faysal ItaniVerified account

@faysalitani

Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council. Professor at George Washington University. Motorcyclist. Amateur parrot trainer. All views my own.

Washington, DC
Joined October 2012

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    Hey it seems that it was not who did this weird poll but ORB int. Yet the poll results are intersting but the sampling methdology and selection of the 601 were not clear enough to be reflecting or influencing the public opinon.

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    Replying to and

    from doing further research the polling isnt credible with the company actually being dubious however the company is Russian linked so this polling is more accurate then it lets on since Russia supports Assad and the YPG more than its relations with turkey

  4. This is of course true and important. A poll is a poll and it's a small one. Also methodology is key. One piece of a much larger puzzle so I caution against using limited results to support/undermine specific loaded policy positions. But interesting anyway.

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    Lebanon’s parliament speaker has just filed a lawsuit against local TV channel and its owner…

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    I spoke to about a dozen former & current supporters about how affected their relationship with the party. Most, including the 5 referenced here, spoke of increasing disillusionment. (Text below)

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  7. what surprised me was 1. depth of intra-Kurdish divide 2. the importance of fear of conscription in shaping opinions 3. degree of support for Turkish invasion (including significant Kurdish support) 4. unrivaled hostility to the regime especially though not only among Arabs

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  8. Some very interesting and (to me at least) unexpected findings in this Gallup opinion poll in northern . Sure to also ruffle some feathers in an otherwise sober, balanced debate about Kurds, Arabs, and Turkey in Syria.

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  9. Though I will admit, I enjoy his alliterations.

  10. In fact this would be symbolic of the kind of impunity and and arrogance driving public anger, albeit in military rather than civilian circles. I am hoping this is not what happened.

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  11. "Media reports said the soldier is the personal driver of an army colonel as protesters said he was driving a white vehicle with no plates." Well now that's quite different than some hapless soldier shooting someone in the chaos of clearing a road.

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  12. So we have a resigned prime minister, an isolated if not warped president, and a military that has inflicted the first casualty of this period. Forecast? Let's just say the military's relationship with the protesters, which may unravel, has a brighter future than the politicians'

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  13. This reflects Aoun's temperament and likely his declining mental faculties but also his insistence on setting himself apart from the political class. Needless to say people will not exempt a sitting president from grievances against a governing class.

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  14. The second, and the backdrop for the escalation in protests in which Abou Fakhr was killed, was an astounding speech by President Aoun was, to put it mildly, contemptous toward the protest movement, suggesting that Lebanese who are unhappy with political class can emigrate.

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  15. In another, he was shot at a roadblock for mouthing off at a soldier riding a passing car. We'll see. Regardless, this is the first killing of the protests, and inserts enormous tension into military-protester interactions which I expect to worsen.

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  16. (Thread) Today was a rough day for Lebanon. Couple of incidents with particular implications. The first is the killing of a protester, Alaa Abou Fakhr, in front of his family by the military. Details are scant. In one version he was shot dead by soldiers trying to clear a road

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    - So Lebanon's President Michel Aoun just said in a prerecorded interview - addressing the Lebanese people: "If you don't like anyone within this authority, just immigrate and leave the country." Ladies and Gentlemen, the president just asked his people to leave.

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    Sounds of banging pots and pans in on the 27th day of the revolutionary movement sweeping

  19. Once in a while I stumble on someone who's mastered whatever era it is we live in. Brett mcgurk, AOC and this lady are on the list. I'm humbled.

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    What radicalized Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi? New scholarship shows that the Islamic State leader was shaped by the chaos of post-2003 Iraq - Samuel Helfont, : I agree.

  21. It's his intimate connection to the people that's kept him in office for 25 years.

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    Can someone explain to me why far left politicians in the US who are so big on supporting real people's voices here, tend to ignore these voices abroad and instead stand up for wannabe dictators (or actual dictators)? I honestly don't understand it. Thx.

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  23. A miscalculation and an accident aren't the same thing. That's idiotic.

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    Great and important work. Apologism to the rebels in the north only make them worse and worse; pressure on Turkey to boost discipline will be more helpful. Imagine if the SDF did the same (it didn’t.)

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    Intra-elite negotiations in Beirut have nothing to do with improving governance, but are a way to buy time and protect the system. Deal will be made, things will inevitably get worse, demoralized youth will chose to emigrate. Same applies to Iraq I guess.

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    🇱🇧, an interesting survey of the main demands, in this thread👇🏻

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    Replying to

    One will say everything is under control and the system is healthy and the other will say the people are nobody and he the Lebanese have the government they deserve.

  29. في اليوم الخامس والعشرين للانتفاضة... ملاحظات وحقائق لا بدّ منها via

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    Another conversation with on the podcast which chronicles the revolution day by day from Lebanon.

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    Saturday night Twitter appeal: We're raising money to translate and curate 20 never-before-seen KGB training manuals, still in use today in Putin's spy academies. We've got 19 to go:

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