Bill RoggioVerified account

@billroggio

Senior Fellow at , editor of , and terrorism analyst. "Never let us be guilty of sacrificing any portion of truth on the altar of peace."

South Jersey
Joined November 2008

Tweets

You blocked

Are you sure you want to view these Tweets? Viewing Tweets won't unblock

  1. Pinned Tweet

    The Taliban justifies al Qaeda's attack on 9/11 as follows: "This heavy slap on their dark faces was the consequence of their interventionist policies and not our doing." This is said as video of UA Flight 175 slams into the World Trade Center. From Taliban video Umari Army (6).

    />
    We cannot play the video in this browser. Please try a different web browser.
    Show this thread
  2. Retweeted

    1. Two sources have confirmed to the New York Times that Baghdadi’s location in Idlib was confirmed as far back as early July, so 3.5 months ago. I spent months working on his obituary. Here’s what I can share now:

    Show this thread
  3. Retweeted

    1. If Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is in fact dead, it's a good time to reflect on the fact that the ISIS caliphate declaration didn't come out of nowhere. Al Qaeda & its branches have long said they are fighting for a new caliphate. Bin Laden & Zawahiri stated this in the 1990s.

    Show this thread
  4. I would expect the anonymous former CENTCOM general to know that the “Kurds” he is referring to here is in fact the Syrian branch of the PKK. That seems to be too much to ask these days.

  5. 3) Again, the support of YPG/PKK was bound to fail at some point. Why weren't US policymakers prepared for the inevitable? Either the Turks were going to come in or the Syrian gov't would regain control of NE Syria. The YPG/PKK was not a viable option.

    Show this thread
  6. 2) US "strategy" in Syria since 2014 (if you can call it that) has been muddled. Was it to deny Assad control of NE Syria? Prop up the YPG/PKK? Prevent ISIS from returning? All three or some combination of the above?

    Show this thread
  7. 1) This raises interesting questions: If the US goal is to prevent the Islamic State from regaining territory, isn't the Syrian government (of which I am no fan), a viable option?

    Show this thread
  8. Umar's wife and other AQIS fighters & family members were also captured. AQIS does not place its command node in the middle of Taliban-controlled Musa Qala without explicit approval and support of the Taliban.

    Show this thread
  9. At the end of Sept. the Afghan & US military took out Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent's command node in Helmand during a raid in Taliban-controlled Musa Qala. AQIS leader Asim Umar, his courier to Zawahiri, & others were killed, along with numerous Taliban sheltering them.

    Show this thread
  10. Also, the report uncritically repeated the "Taliban would renounce all ties to al Qaeda" canard. There is no evidence of this. In fact, there is evidence the Taliban-al Qaeda ties could not be any stronger.

    Show this thread
  11. The report contains several factual errors. The Taliban never agreed to a cease fire with the Afghan government during 2018 Eid. The Taliban announced a unilateral 3 day ceasefire.

    Show this thread
  12. This follows the report over the weekend at that there were discussions of releasing Anas.

    Show this thread
  13. The Afghan government denies it plans to release Anas Haqqani as part of the US plan to renew talks with the Taliban.

    Show this thread
  14. Another oldie but goodie. General Thomas recognizes the YPG is toxic due to ties to PKK, and admits that he told the YPG that "you gotta change your brand" to mask ties. He calls the YPG rebranding as Syrian Democratic Forces "a stroke of brilliance to put democracy in there."

  15. Here's an oldie but goodie: when the SDF/YPG took Raqqah from the Islamic State, it credited PKK Leader Abdullah Oculan's “ideological power”for the victory and unfurled the PKK banner in the city.

  16. Retweeted

    Master Sgt. Mark Allen dies 10 years after being shot in the head while looking for Bowe Bergdahl

  17. Retweeted

    Even though Turkey has the grid coordinates of American outposts in Syria, they aimed their artillery so that it landed within 100s of meters of a US position? Strong language from the Pentagon. Two American officials I’ve spoken to say this was an attempt to intimidate US forces

  18. 12) Context to how we got here is key. There is little context in today's news reports on this topic. Most of it is vapid Trump-bashing. The YPG is treated as innocent Kurds when it is in fact the PKK. This problem was years in the making and did not appear out of the ether.

    Show this thread
  19. 11) Instead, the US military and policy makers that continued to back the YPG/PKK kept kicking this can of problems down the road, without realizing the plug could be pulled at any moment. It was no secret Trump wanted to leave Syria. Why was no effort made to to mitigate this?

    Show this thread
  20. 10 The admin is not absolved. It has owned this problem for almost 3 years. Like the Obama admin, it made no effort to reform the YPG, make it drop its radical Marxist ideology, and convince the Turkish gov't that it was important it to fight ISIS.

    Show this thread
  21. 9) So the Obama admin outsourced the war & chose terrible partners (PKK in Syria, PMF in Iraq). The US chose terror groups to fight terror groups (Iraq is a bit more complicated as the Iraqi military was part of fight, but Iraqi govt backed PMF & even made it a legitimate unit).

    Show this thread
  22. 8) What is happening in Syria and Iraq today did not happen in a vacuum. These problems stem from a decade of bad foreign policy decisions. After withdrawing from Iraq as the Syrian civil war raged, the Obama admin wanted to outsource the war against ISIS...

    Show this thread
  23. 7) When the US, under the Obama admin, pulled support from the Iraqi Kurds (the real good Kurds), as the PMF rolled over them in Kirkuk and elsewhere, where was the media and "experts" outrage. , who has been vocal about the current betrayal. was silent on that.

    Show this thread
  24. 6) Ironically, also whitewashed the Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces, the Iranian backed Shia terror groups, as it battled ISIS inside Iraq. The PMF is now killing Iraqis who are protesting. We shouldn't be shocked about what is happening there.

    Show this thread
  25. 5) Let me be perfectly clear: I'm no fan of Erdogan. He has and continues to support terrorist groups, and is using HTS to battle the PKK right now. But if Erdogan was not president and the Turkish military was in power, it likely would doing exactly what he is doing.

    Show this thread
  26. 4) The US, under the advice and direction of , chose the "YPG" (PKK) as its ally to fight the Islamic State. There was no consideration of Turkey's very real national security interests and concerns.

    Show this thread
  27. 3) This is disgraceful. The PKK is a specially designated terrorist organization. The PKK is responsible for killing tens of thousands of Turks during a bloody civil war.

    Show this thread
  28. 2) If you insist on pretending the YPG is not the PKK, here are photos of US Special Forces at a "YPG" funeral in 2017. Note the PKK and Oculan flags flying at the funeral, with US armored vehicles flying Old Glory in the background.

    Show this thread
  29. 1) 's withdrawal from Syria is a big foreign policy mistake. The US is selling out yet another ally. But this was a mistake that predated Trump. US chose a poor ally. YPG is not the "poor Kurds" that the media makes it out to be. This is the PKK's Syrian branch.

    Show this thread
  30. Retweeted

    Do you have any comment on the Afghans saying they killed the first emir of Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent, Asim Umar, in a Taliban stronghold in Helmand? In Jan., you said you were already satisfied with the Taliban's supposed CT assurances in the event a deal was inked.

  31. Retweeted

    “The reality is that the U.S. shouldn’t disengage until the prisoner issue is dealt with, but the other reality is that it appears the prisoner issue is not being dealt with,” said , an editor of the foundation’s Long War Journal.

  32. Abdul Rashid Baluch, a Taliban leader and drug dealer whos served as an "liaison officer" to al Qaeda, was among 11 Taliban leaders freed by the Afghan government in exchange for 3 Indian engineers.

  33. Note that the US military and al Qaeda have not officially confirmed Asim Umar's death. The Taliban is denying it, but it also denied al Qaeda camps were raided in Shorabak in 2015...

  34. The last time the US military dropped as many bombs (948) in Afghanistan as it did last month was in Oct. 2010 (1,043). US also had over 100,000 troops in 2010 & Taliban wasn't defeated. Today the US has around 14,000 troops in country. You do the math.

  35. Retweeted

    In the name of fighting ISIS, McGurk empowered PMF (Iranian-backed terrorists), YPG (a separatist Kurdish militia with terrorist ties), and ignored continuing slaughter of Syrians by Assad, while giving Turkey the middle finger when they expressed concerns about their security.

    Show this thread
  36. Retweeted

    This is rich, coming from one of the most dishonest US officials I have ever engaged with. McGurk is the US official most responsible for disinformation about Syria, and almost completely to blame for this mess we face today.

    Show this thread