Joshua LandisVerified account

@joshua_landis

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Norman OK USA
joshualandis.com/blog/
Joined May 2012
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  1. 2 hours ago

    Should Russian military police get Nobel Peace Prize? They have been key to conflict management in SYR. “In any awkward situation, deploy military police,” one could joke, if it were not such an effective tool. Used b/n ISR-IRAN, Sunni opp & YPG-Turks

    7 replies 28 retweets 49 likes
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  2. 2 hours ago

    Assad's statement on the RU-TR deal. He condemns separatism and underscores the need for territorial integrity at the end of the day.

    2 retweets 8 likes
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  3. 2 hours ago

    “We do not trust Russia,” said Hisham al-Skeif, a spokesman for the Turkish-backed Arab factions. "I am happy the dream of an autonomous Kurdish region is over. This is a great pleasure for us even if we have not achieved everything we want,”

    1 reply 7 likes
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  4. 2 hours ago

    the Turkish defense ministry said it would not advance beyond an area of 900 square miles that Turkish-led forces have seized from Kurdish control since invading 2 weeks ago. “At this stage, there is no further need to conduct a new operation outside the present operation area,”

    1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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  5. 2 hours ago

    Russia avoided labeling the YPG as terrorists. Point two vaguely addresses the mutual commitment of Russia and Turkey to “fighting terrorism in all of its forms and manifestations.” In its version, RU used the acronym KOS, or “Kurdish Self-Defense Units.”

    2 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
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  6. 2 hours ago

    Kurdish fighters must retreat 20 miles from TR border. TR troops will be allowed 6 miles inside Syr to conduct joint patrols w RU forces along the length of the border region, & TR will be allowed oversight of a deeper pocket of land 20miles around Tal-Abiad & Ras al-Ain

    1 reply 2 retweets 6 likes
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  7. 2 hours ago

    The Syria deal - by Russian police & the Syrian border guard will deploy to the Syrian side of the Turkey-Syria border to facilitate the withdrawal of YPG forces up to 30K deep into Syria. Here is a map via

    2 replies 14 retweets 16 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    18 hours ago

    Good sleuthing by and about how the latest mystery mindworm crept into the presidential ear: a week ago, Lindsey Graham and Jack Keane apparently went to show Trump a map of Syria's oil fields and told him Iran wants steal them.

    8 retweets 4 likes
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  9. 3 hours ago

    Blunder number 243

    It’s unfortunate that US officials apparently never asked or coordinated with Iraq before announcing that our troops withdrawing from Syria would remain in Iraq. Losing these forces altogether removes a significant capability against ISIS. Major loss.
    7 replies 18 retweets 28 likes
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  10. 11 hours ago

    US official warned Kurdish leader not to talk to Assad in heated meeting - by SDF commander Abdi pleaded w Jeffrey’s deputy, William Roebuck, to allow the SDF to negotiate w Russia for protection as Turkish artillery pounded towns in October.

    14 replies 91 retweets 110 likes
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  11. Retweeted
    Oct 20

    So basically this seems to be where N/E Syria is headed on the current trajectory. Blue bits will be like Manbij but with Russians, or Bizarro Idleb. Stumbling blocks: Russian responsibility-averseness; Turkish maximalism; YPG intransigence; SAA capability; Trump; general chaos.

    22 replies 86 retweets 79 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    20 hours ago

    What this deal will do, if it works, is to return all remaining Kurdish-majority regions in Syria to Assad's control. On the up side for civilians, that will likely prevent new Efrin-type ethnic purges. On the down side, being Kurdish under the Baath isn't much fun either.

    2 replies 26 retweets 23 likes
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  13. Retweeted
    20 hours ago

    Erdogan got half of what he wanted from Putin today. He secured a 30 km deep zone that is off limits to the YPG- But he wanted to stretch for the entire border from Euphrates to the Iraqi border to be able to send back millions of refugees- he did not get that.

    7 replies 44 retweets 55 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    19 hours ago

    Are you serious James Jeffrey??? Turkey brought in the Russians and the regime???

    US envoy Jeffrey: "Turkey has not really gained all that much from this as I said, but in the process has scrambled the entire northeast, undercut our efforts against ISIS & brought in the Russians & the Syrian regime forces in a way that is really tragic for everybody involved" …
    4 retweets 21 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    Oct 17

    Trump vs. Trump: Kurds Edition

    Trump Takes On His Biggest Critic: Himself
    2,567 replies 47,611 retweets 98,159 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    20 hours ago

    Putin-Erdogan: Assad Regime takes entire border region outside area given away in US-TR “ceasefire” last week. Turkey patrols to 10km. No outposts. Putin stood up to Erdogan more than Trump. Bottom line: Fate of historic Kurd areas (Kobani) now entirely in hands of Assad/Russia.

    342 replies 1,740 retweets 2,775 likes
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  17. 17 hours ago

    The Turkey-Russia deal for northern Syria. Russia stands up to Turkey, containing its expansionist momentum. Joint patrols RU/TR, much like the US/TR patrols. Turkey kept to 10K. Syria will have Kobani area, protecting Kurds in area from worst fate.

    16 replies 54 retweets 93 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    23 hours ago

    Note nylon sheeting to protect people from Turkish drone strikes

    Til Temir town center, where some shop keepers are packing up their supplies and leaving town ahead of Turkey's expected offensive as the ceasefire deadline draws near.…
    50 retweets 74 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    Oct 22

    Iraq's military says U.S. troops leaving Syria and heading to neighboring Iraq do not have permission to stay in the country.

    94 replies 470 retweets 496 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Oct 22

    SAA units expanded deployment in Hasaka countryside as they entered a number of new villages in the surroundings of Tal Tamer town , northwest of Hasaka city (SANA)

    27 retweets 30 likes
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