Sam Heller

@AbuJamajem

Senior Analyst, Non-State Armed Groups, . Looking at jihadism, one eye still on Syria. Jamajem means 🏴‍☠️. Contact:

Beirut, Lebanon
crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/peo…
Joined September 2011
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Oct 11

    New from : Our report on what‘s left of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, and the risk of the group's resurgence – a risk that is newly acute as Turkey launches a military intervention into northeast Syria that could shake both countries:

    1 reply 57 retweets 76 likes
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  2. Retweeted
    1 hour ago

    Six years after we saw the first horrific escape by Kurdish refugees from war in Syria to Iraq there is yet another enforced displacement. Another collapse for diplomacy and protection of civilians

    UPDATE as of 20/10: 992 refugees to arrive at Bardarash camp today in region of . That would mean 3,941 total refugees in Bardarash camp as of tonight.
    15 retweets 16 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    54 minutes ago

    So basically this seems to be where N/E Syria is headed on the current trajectory. Blue bits will be like Manbij but with Russians, or Bizarro Idleb. Stumbling blocks: Russian responsibility-averseness; Turkish maximalism; YPG intransigence; SAA capability; Trump; general chaos.

    9 replies 26 retweets 20 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    .: U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper said on Saturday that all of the nearly 1,000 troops withdrawing from northern Syria are expected to move to western Iraq to continue the campaign against Islamic State militants and “to help defend Iraq.”

    11 retweets 8 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    7 hours ago

    [Important signal as Trump neglects Hashemite Jordan] U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi heading bi-partisan Congress delegation holds talks in Jordan with King Abdullah

    2 retweets
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  6. 20 hours ago

    Kirkuk governor tells that small ISIS units continue to attack in the province's southwest, but “generally, the security situation is not bad": For more on ISIS's insurgency in Iraq, including Kirkuk, see our report:

    1 reply 1 like
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  7. 21 hours ago

    .: Pentagon worries about being shut out of counter-ISIS in Syria. | But this seems weirdly solipsistic. It's not as if the forces now vying for the northeast will leave ISIS unmolested, even if they lack the U.S.'s technical capabilities.

    6 retweets 6 likes
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  8. Oct 18

    .’s , and on the U.S.’s Saigon moment in Syria:

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  9. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    . HAS SOME IDEAS ABOUT THAT:

    DEFEAT TERRORISM!
    1 reply 4 retweets 9 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    The Coalition continues our deliberate withdrawal from NE Syria. Force protection of our troops remains our top priority. No ground forces will participate in the enforcement of the safe zone, however, we will remain in communication with both Turkey and the SDF.

    114 replies 190 retweets 239 likes
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  11. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    U.S. Defense Secretary Esper says no U.S. ground troops will take part in enforcement of the safe zone in northeastern Syria and the United States military is continuing it's withdrawal.

    3 replies 30 retweets 18 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    Doesnt take much guesswork when SRS openly told RTE back in late 2018 that if they came across the US would withdraw.

    Replying to @AlexWardVox @BH_Friedman @DanDePetris
    YPG knew we were not staying forever & were already granting concessions in pursuit of a negotiated outcome, including withdrawing from parts of the border.…
    1 reply 3 retweets 10 likes
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  13. Oct 18

    Good thread on U.S.’s slow-building policy failure in Syria from former Senate Armed Services staffer :

    Agreed. Based on my time conducting oversight and working on legislation for SASC, I'd break the anatomy of the most recent policy failure in into three components -- perhaps the least surprising (but most dramatic of which) was the call. 1/x
    Show this thread
    10 retweets 14 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    Really fun conversation. I can't wait for you all to hear it!

    0:29
    New Episode Out this Monday! joins and next week on War & Peace.…
    1 retweet 4 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    Follow for updates on the escalating protests in Beirut ⬇️

    Beirut right now. Major intersections blocked by youth burning tires over the proposed new taxes, in particular the whatsapp tax. All roads to the south closed.
    5 retweets 5 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    Latest: braces for fallout from . Refugees are crossing the border and Iraqi security forces are contingency planning for a revived insurgency. “There is a security plan," a senior officer in Jazeera and Badiya Operations Command told us.

    1 reply 8 retweets 12 likes
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  17. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    My two cents to the regarding Israel's position in light of the growing Russian influence after the US's northern Syria withdrawal. 1/ As US withdraws, Jerusalem spooked by Moscow’s growing control over Middle East

    1 reply 23 retweets 28 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    It’s enough for Syrian government and to establish control over formerly territories within 5 days and freeze the current situation. Other options depends on the - talks. Disarmament of could be one thing that Moscow to propose to

    I just realized something. The ceasefire will last 120 hours = 5 days. Erdogan will be meeting Putin in Sochi on October 22nd = 5 days from…
    3 retweets 6 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    Oct 17

    Told ⁦⁦⁩ that the deal reached with Turkey was “a [US] capitulation dressed up as a win », a validation of what is happening on the ground and then «claiming it was a deal reached through negotiations.”

    19 replies 104 retweets 181 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Oct 17

    The Syrian army took over the border at Kobane, boxing in Turkish forces. If uncontested, this syncs with Erdogan's past comments () and strengthens the case for deeper, earlier Ankara-Moscow understandings than they want to let on.

    3 replies 15 retweets 16 likes
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  21. Retweeted
    Oct 17

    ISIS-linked 'Amaq news agency claims that ISIS militants attacked an SDF base in Mahmudli y'day, killing SDF fighters. "Muslim women" detained in the base were released and "secured."

    4 replies 23 retweets 14 likes
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