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JulianRoepcke's profile
Julian Röpcke
Julian Röpcke
Julian Röpcke
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@JulianRoepcke

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Julian RöpckeVerified account

@JulianRoepcke

Journalist. Conflict analyst. Verantwortlicher Redakteur im Ressort Politik @BILD. Nur meine Meinung! „Twitter-Feldherr des Tages“ - jW. RTs & Likes ... #hahohe

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Joined December 2011

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    Julian Röpcke‏Verified account @JulianRoepcke 6h6 hours ago

    The 🇹🇷 offensive in northern #Syria is turning into a disaster for Ankara. ➡️Only 15% of the "safe zone" established ➡️Manbij offensive halted due to Russian pressure ➡️YPG now allied with Assad and fighting back ➡️Isolation and EU arms export stop ➡️Heavy US sanctions to comepic.twitter.com/s6FYOERzlT

    4:33 AM - 16 Oct 2019
    • 135 Retweets
    • 192 Likes
    • ConnieMaschera / Deplorable/Trumplican/Patriot Wilhelmus Janus Mirek Szczerba Roger Älmeberg Katriina Arnkil OSINT_Aggregator The Muffin Man RS 201314
    80 replies 135 retweets 192 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Julian Röpcke‏Verified account @JulianRoepcke 6h6 hours ago

        Another big loser are the 🇺🇸. ➡️Lost its only ally in Syria to Assad and Russia ➡️Gambled away leverage over Turkey due its presence ➡️Won't recover the lost trust anywhere in the region ➡️Further enables Iran to build its Tehran-Beirut corridor ➡️Loses bases worth millions of $

        4 replies 39 retweets 74 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Julian Röpcke‏Verified account @JulianRoepcke 5h5 hours ago

        Third loser is the 🇪🇺 of course. ➡️No possibility to influence events on the ground ➡️Threat of new refugees, either from Syria or from Turkey ➡️Fearing Kurdish-Turkish related clashes at home ➡️Seen as a non relevant actor in the whole region ➡️Weaker position in future talks

        4 replies 32 retweets 61 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Julian Röpcke‏Verified account @JulianRoepcke 5h5 hours ago

        Let's talk about winners! 🇷🇺🇷🇺🇷🇺. ➡️Becoming THE respected dealmaker in Syria ➡️Getting in a position where every inch in the north can be traded against an inch (or 500XXX) in Idlib ➡️Eying eastern oil fields under YPG control ➡️Getting closer to NATO's Turkey despite everything

        8 replies 29 retweets 52 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Julian Röpcke‏Verified account @JulianRoepcke 5h5 hours ago

        Last but not least the domestic players Assad, YPG & SNA - wich are ALL puppets of foreign powers right now - might become even less relevant in the future. Their political role, their presence and their advances/withdrawals are decided in Moscow, Ankara (and partially Tehran).

        10 replies 13 retweets 40 likes
        Show this thread
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. ParsKuru‏ @ParsKuru 4h4 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        Please, be serious. The operation began one week ago and 2 cities captured. SNA and Turkish Army reached M4 highway. Remember the other operations of The Coalition and Syrian/Russian/İranian operations and compare with them

        2 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. ugur tutar  🇹🇷‏ @ugurtutar 4h4 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        I don't agree with you. 1)%15 in one week. Faster than plan 2)Already there was no Manbij inside first stage of operation plan. 3)YPG accepted Esad. They will not have power 4)EU arms are not fundamental. Turkish ind. will rise 5)In long term sanctions harm 2 side

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. ugur tutar  🇹🇷‏ @ugurtutar 4h4 hours ago
        Replying to @ugurtutar @JulianRoepcke

        And Turkey's main target was autonomous PKK state. And it crushed. Their dreams finished. Second target is safezone. Most of it will be established also. If necessary they will talk with Esad.

        0 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. DerSchmiedvonKochel‏ @DerKochel 6h6 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        Well, the country is united in a nationalist frenzy again (well, a majority), and that's all what counts. YPG surrenderering to Assad may be a problem for the "FSA", but not so bad for Erdogan.

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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      1. Evert (G.) te Winkel‏ @egtewinkel 6h6 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        The whole affair is a disaster for everyone except Assad and Iran :S

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. MASA‏ @MASAOMORITR 5h5 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        Arms exports from Germany are almost 90% marine equipment.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Groundhog day‏ @DreamescapePs 6h6 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        Hope that all those people who put their faith in Trump and Putin are watching, they have greenlighted Erdogan's invasion and now they are assfucking him while he is trapped in the middle of nowhere, this what happen when you strike a deal with the international sovranism

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. IC 1101‏ @sakarya52614454 6h6 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        😂

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Luca Mazzini‏ @Antioco_IV 6h6 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        @danyalistanbul

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Protest SPb‏ @ProtestSPb 5h5 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        "Arif Tevfic...organized 2010 yacht orgy for ENRC’s Mashkevich. Guests included Kazakh amb. Saudabayev, Telman Ismailov etc. 2005 Birthday guests included crime-linked Kikalishvili, Bure, Shustorovich, Erdogan" https://www.judicialwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/JW-v-DOJ-Ohr-comms-production-6-01854-pgs-300-312.pdf …pic.twitter.com/LKPOvOfiNx

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. KTYG‏ @Missy10013Kathy 5h5 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        Putin wins. Trump doesn’t care as his goal is to keep 2020 , and hope there isn’t a major ISIS attack before election. Eventually America will pay big time for this. Could have been done differently but to many ego before common sense.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Ahmetcan Caglayan‏ @americanturk 5h5 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        The fight in Syria was never about occupation. It was to eliminate the YPG threat. A single, united Syria is the preferred end game.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Bernard REYNAUD‏ @BernardREYNAU11 4h4 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        TRUMP is the shame of the USA !!!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Ramazan Ertugrul‏ @bogazliyan66 2h2 hours ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        c'mon this is not a "Blitzkrieg" :-) 15 % in one week is good.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Mustafa Mustaan‏ @mmmustaan 56m56 minutes ago
        Replying to @JulianRoepcke

        You're missing one point. This whole outcome was the intended consequence of the whole operation

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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