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Description of my 2015 book on ISIS, which made an accidental and unfortunate blockbuster in Japan, caught in the middle of the political controversy surrounding the hostage crisis in Syria.https://www.u-tokyo.ac.jp/biblioplaza/en/D_00222.html …
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トランプは中東の安定化の解決策はシリアにトルコの勢力圏を広げてもらうこと、と考えているのでしょう。米国の責任を度外視すれば、そんなに変な政策ではない。トルコはある程度勢力範囲を抑えてアサド政権と均衡したら交渉するんでしょう。中東政治の通常運転。https://twitter.com/KS_1013/status/1183796349914898432 …
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- Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
#BREAKING#France considering withdrawing its troops from the#Coalition after#US withdrawal from northern#Syria - AFPThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
ノーベル賞がノーベル平和賞に収斂していっている気配。
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
A U.S. pullback from Syria has cost Kurdish leaders bargaining power with Damascus in their bid to secure their autonomy and left their fate hinging on its ally Russia.https://reut.rs/2INWRRh
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中東情勢を刑事ドラマにすると、事件が同時にいっぱい起こっていて、全員が一つずつ罪を犯していて、刑事も嘘ついていて、早く帰りたがっているので毎回尻切れトンボで終わってしかも次回リセットされてない
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
"Removing the modest contingent of US forces from Syria would create ideal conditions for the resurgence of ISIS and for Iran to quietly consolidate its “land bridge” to Lebanon and the Mediterranean." writes
@Ibishblog in his latesthttps://www.thenational.ae/uae/comment/donald-trump-has-handed-his-enemies-their-biggest-strategic-win-1.923495 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
↓この人の陰鬱な分析はいつも大体同じで大体当たっていますね。陰鬱な中東について陰鬱なこと言うのが芸みたいになっている人。
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
Nobody’s got clean hands here. The SDF ethnically cleansed some areas of Syrian Arabs; the Turks kill civilians; Assad is a mass murder; the Russians willfully bombed hospitals; and the US made promises it wouldn’t or couldn’t keep. This really isn’t a great neighborhood.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
Here are some thoughts from me about the last tumultuous week in Syria.https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-50039856 …
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Finally there’s risk of ISIS resurgence following weekend events. Assad is responsible for over 90 percent of civilian deaths in Syria. His brutalization of country’s Sunni Arab majority helped germinate seeds of ISIS. Assad come back into eastern Syria risk triggering ISIS 2.0
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
US & Turkey are net losers of weekend events. Although Turkey got rid off YPG for now, Assad will sweep it under carpet to use against Ankara on a rainy day as did his father the PKK in 1990s, while US loses credibility with both Turkey and Kurds, and Syria to Moscow and Tehran
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The YPG and Assad regime have been co-belligerents in Syrian war. Rather than accept Turkish control, the YPG will fold under Damascus after US pullback. Of course, Assad won’t destroy the YPG. He will sweep it under the carpet to use it against Turkey one day, as did his father
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Russia is playing Syria like a chess board: Moscow gave Ankara green light to target YPG, a move that helped fold the group under Assad. Next Putin will ask Ankara to vacate Syria in return for Assad crushing the YPG. Moscow, Tehran, and Assad will consolidate power across Syria
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
If we look at other revolutionary regimes that survived a testing youth, that process typically takes two to three full generations. As the Islamic Republic was born only in 1979, it is likely to last at least until mid-century or longer, writes
@jgoldsto.http://bit.ly/33pIj1UThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
Turkey's relationship with NATO tested over Syria operation https://aje.io/ppt5b pic.twitter.com/N11gER1WEJ
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
UPDATE: 160,000 displaced as Turkey-backed forces launch Manbij push. For further updates, follow our LIVE blog:https://aje.io/gf5yx
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 Retweeted
Turkey's military push into northeastern Syria is now in its sixth day. For all the latest updates, click here:https://aje.io/whl4a
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10月10日の段階で書いておいたものですが、基本的にこうなるしかないと誰もが知っているはずなんだが....
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Turkey may use the destiny of Kurds as a bargaining chip in its negotiation with the Assad regime. In the long run, Turkish offensive may help Assad regime to reclaim larger part of its territory with Turkish collusion.
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