Alexey Khlebnikov

@AleksKhlebnikov

Consulting on Russia-MidEast | خبير في شؤون الشرق الاوسط | MENA | US/EU MENA policy | Expert | Views mine | gmail aleksei.khlebnikov

Moscow
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Joined February 2015
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  1. 41 minutes ago

    |n reports that entered Tabqa, incl its military airport, Ayn Issa, several settlements around Raqqa & Tel Tamer in northern Hasake.

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  2. 47 minutes ago

    -brokered deal btw Damascus & |n envisages entering of to border territories from the Manbij to Kobane, from Derik up to Sere Kaniye (including Qamishli) & from Tel Abyad up to Qamishli. Political topics will be discussed later.

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  3. 2 hours ago

    landed in . His Gulf tour kicks off today. Important talks with especially given developments ib .

    0:33
    Владимир Путин прилетел в Эр-Рияд: Начался визит президента России в Саудовскую Аравию
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  4. 4 hours ago

    is strategically important as control of Tabqa dam gives control over a major water source in . Control of , Ayn Issa & help to protect oil & gas fields/facilities+agricultural lands.

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  5. 4 hours ago

    Reportedly, |n Arab Army passed into , Tabqa & moving towards Ayn Issa. On this note: the risk of clash btw & Syr forces remains, although neither Ankara, nor Damascus & Moscow are interested in military clash. We should expect increasing diplo efforts

    Eyewitnesses in Raqqa confirm to us that regime has passed into Raqqa and Tabqa, on its way to Ayn Issa and the border, regime has also moved from the holds in Hasekeh per eyewitnesses
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  6. 14 hours ago

    In the very end reiterated a lot of times - "|n territorial integrity must be restored." It means must leave Syria anyways. It creates a risk for additional Rus-Turk frictions & creates a path for a diplo talks btw Damascus and Ankara.

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  7. 14 hours ago

    At the same time it is hard to believe goes "all in" in NE without US blessing OR at least some sort of deal. In such situation -US talks on Syria are quite realistic as Trump needs to safe face in such situation. security guarantees unite both.

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  8. 14 hours ago

    Today arrives to where he will surely discuss & offensive. I imagine that -/ deal (which is almost done) will be a huge factor in the talks & recognition of Assad government by Riyadh.

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  9. 14 hours ago

    - is worried about 1000s of fighters who can escape while are busy with - Inevitably will deploy its units together with to guarantee deterrent from Tur & make sure ISIS is under control

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  10. 14 hours ago

    What do we have now in ? - if US indeed withdraws from NE Syria gets an upper hand in dealings w/Kurds & - 1998 Adana agreement becomes the reality for Rus-Tur-Syr talks - Potentially more Ru-Tur frictions on the way - Rus troops will be deployed with SAA

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  11. 14 hours ago

    THREAD-update: moves its forces to the -held areas confirming Damscus-Kurds deal is almost done + The US announces the final withdrawal of the 1,000 troops from NE

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  12. 20 hours ago

    : |n army started to move towards northern -held territories to counter ’s offensive.

    1 reply 8 retweets 5 likes
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  13. Oct 12

    Important statement. Confirms that 1998 Adana agreement will be pushed by and as a basis to bring , |n government & together and strike a new deal.

    1:31
    The Adana Agreement between Turkey and Syria—still valid—can be the better path to achieve security. can help bring together the Syrian Kurds, the Syrian Govt, and Turkey so that the Syrian Army together with…
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  14. Oct 11

    Oct. 14 will visit . A big delegation of Russian government officials & businessmen will accompany him. Agenda: - econ ties & investments 30+ deals expected - production/+ deal - , & other regional issues - military-tech coop Stay tuned!

    5 replies 25 retweets 26 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    Oct 10

    על רקע מהלכי טראמפ וארדואן, לרוסיה, כרגיל, תהיה השפעה מכרעת על המשך ההתפתחויות בסוריה. כיוון שהתקשתי להעריך איך רוסיה תפעל במצב שנוצר, הלכתי לקרא את פרשן מעולה לרוסיה, שהשתתף אצלנו בכנס הרצליה, ואת . להלן מה שלמדתי.

    2 replies 4 retweets 8 likes
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  16. Oct 10

    Instead of throwing everything into one pod and comparing apples & oranges one should assess previous US MidEast policies and their consequences for the wider region. ???

    1. Israelis are deeply unnerved by Trump's decision to abandon our Syrian Kurdish partners to a Turkish invasion, as  ably documents in this  piece. But it's worse than that. 
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  17. Oct 9

    : yesterday reps of Damascus and confirmed their readiness to start a dialog. will do everything it can to support the talks and we hope all external actors will do the same.

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  18. Oct 9

    : after & US statements on and NE we contacted both Syrian Kurds & Damascus calling them to start dialog to settle down existing issues, including organizing security of the Syr-Turk border.

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  19. Oct 9

    If this is indeed so, it is a promising step which might eventually lead to the future -Damascus talks. 1998 Adana agreement has been repeatedly promoted by and as a basis to resume talks btw Turkey & .

    Turkey informed Syria about its military operation via diplomatic note sent to regime’s consul general in Istanbul: Turkey’s top diplomat ()
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  20. Oct 9

    has its own concerns about 's in NE :

    1 reply 2 retweets 3 likes
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