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I worked all winter and spring to ruin your summer holiday: • A comprehensive report on the Syrian war https://www.foi.se/rest-api/report/FOI-R--4640--SE … • Russian Middle East policy https://www.ui.se/globalassets/ui.se-eng/publications/ui-publications/2019/ui-paper-no.-2-2019.pdf … • 75 years of Russian-Syrian relations https://www.ui.se/globalassets/ui.se-eng/publications/ui-publications/2019/ui-paper-no.-7-2019.pdf … For
@UISweden/@FOIresearch. Read!pic.twitter.com/pHFqiWQayAShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Aron Lund Retweeted
...This comes after we asked the SDF to dismantle all obstacles and pull back from the border, in the promise that this would stop a Turkish intervention. In fact, it appears to have enabled one....
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SDF reaction in full. https://anfenglishmobile.com/rojava-syria/sdf-we-are-determined-to-defend-our-land-38125 …pic.twitter.com/Jkk3FM2CQM
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Whatever the thinking – or lack of thinking – on the U.S. side, the SDF certainly seems to feel it's been thrown to the wolves.https://twitter.com/mustefabali/status/1181101259358642176 …
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Aron Lund Retweeted
Of all the raining
#HotCakes right now, I'm surprised that not more of a fuss is being made about the fact that the Turkish read out of the call mentions a Erdoğan-Trump meeting for November and the White House read out mentions no such thing.Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Oops, this piece was not just
@MaggieHaberman, credit also to@EWong and@EricSchmittNYT.https://twitter.com/aronlund/status/1181106191063224320 …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
If it doesn't seem to make sense, one reason might be it doesn't: part of this could be Trump lashing out in anger or even counter-bluffing, telling Erdogan that if you want Syria, okay, fine, have fun with al-Hol. Similar signaling in WSJ a few days ago:https://twitter.com/aronlund/status/1179834922908958720 …
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So a limited incursion in the border region between Tell Abiad and Ras al-Ain, which is what Turkey has been toying with for a long time, is likely what's happening? But the US also spoke about handing over al-Hol, which is over on the other side of everything, near Iraq.pic.twitter.com/gbju1cjNFZ
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Typically muddled U.S. statement: how large of an area? Officials tell
@MaggieHaberman 100-150 troops will pull back but not exit Syria altogether. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/07/us/politics/trump-turkey-syria.html … Hawar: forces have started moving out of the Tell Abiad/Ras al-Ain border region.https://www.hawarnews.com/en//haber/coalition-forces-withdraw-from-border-areas-with-turkey-h11835.html …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
The White House says U.S. forces will pull out of northern Syria and let Turkey take over.pic.twitter.com/dIZgJkXQfb
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"Source close to decision-making circles in Damascus" lays out the government's understanding of how the Constitutional Committee will work to Russia Today, in Arabic: https://ar.rt.com/mgte . Slightly abridged English translation by
@observesyria:https://syrianobserver.com/EN/news/53283/damascus-visions-for-the-constitutional-committee-and-its-working-mechanism.html …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Iraqi PM pledges reforms to calm angry protestshttps://www.afp.com/en/news/15/iraqi-pm-pledges-reforms-calm-angry-protests-doc-1l60953 …
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Upbeat comments from Syria's state fuel company, which says cooking gas is now widely available as domestic production covers about a third of needs, the privatization of imports helped end shortages, and the new smart card system has curtailed corruption.http://alwatan.sy/archives/214832
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After losing EU funding, Syrian opposition authorities in the North Aleppo region have informed teachers that they will henceforth have to work on a voluntary basis, no pay. https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/331783 EU aid to the education sector in Idlib has also been cut. https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/329399 pic.twitter.com/7RwZG0HKIi
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Saudi Arabia's best option is to deescalate and seek a nonaggression arrangement with Iran, argues
@YasFarouk. https://carnegieendowment.org/2019/10/04/saudi-arabia-has-room-to-maneuver-after-oil-attack-pub-79994 … Relatedly,@FarnazFassihi and@NYTben report on discreet, indirect Saudi-Iranian feelers via Iraq and Pakistan.https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/04/world/middleeast/saudi-arabia-iran-talks.html …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
“What are you going to do, subpoena Hezbollah? Walk into Syria and bring down the regime, or compel senior officers to show up?”
@victoriajyan on the collective shrug that greeted yet another Special Tribunal for Lebanon indictment:https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/28222/why-new-charges-from-the-special-tribunal-for-lebanon-won-t-rattle-hezbollah …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
And, in another example of how Turkish-controlled northern Syria is being integrated with Turkey, Erdogan just approved the opening of Gaziantep University branches in Azaz, al-Bab, and Efrin. https://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/syria/05102019 … via
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Short report on Turkish policy in northern Syria, by
@ErwinVeen and Jan van Leeuwen.https://www.clingendael.org/publication/turkey-northwestern-syria …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Syria Study Group member and former special envoy
@FredericHof makes his case for more expansive U.S. engagement in Syria, insisting that Assad's removal must be the long-term goal.https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/issue-brief/the-united-states-in-syria-why-it-still-matters …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
The NLF and SNA merger will give SNA a structure of 7 corps [فيلق], incl. 3 in North Aleppo/Efrin—presumably the existing SNA. Led by Interim Government Defense Minister Salim Idriss as SNA chief of staff, with Adnan al-Ahmed as deputy for N. Aleppo/Efrin.https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/332601
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Great two-part report from Iraqi Kurdistan and Kirkuk, two years after the independence referendum, by
@WestcottTom. https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/special-report/2019/09/26/Iraq-Kurdistan-independence-Peshmerga … https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/special-report/2019/09/26/Iraq-Kirkuk-Oil-ethnic-divides-Kurdish-grievances …pic.twitter.com/0fjiCPC5DhThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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