Abdulla HawezVerified account

@abdullahawez

Mostly Kurdish and regional politics.

London
Joined June 2009
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  1. 12 minutes ago

    Turkish invasion of N. Syria will have multi-dimensional consequences on the future of Turkey, Erdogan's personal future, Kurdish movement in general and PKK insurgency in particular, Iran's involvement and demographic re-engineering in Syria. Let's dive in:

    Trump might not be so loved in the US, but he may go down in history as the most loved US president in Turkey and the saviour of the country. His endorsement for the expected Turkish military operations in Northe…
    5 retweets 7 likes
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  2. 1 hour ago

    Trump might not be so loved in the US, but he may go down in history as the most loved US president in Turkey and the saviour of the country. His endorsement for the expected Turkish military operations in Northern Syria is way more important for Turkey than many think.

    2 replies 8 retweets 12 likes
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  3. 3 hours ago

    Few points: - will the YPG allow other Kurds such as Roj Peshmarga now? - YPG will reach out to Assad regime but I expect a scenario like Afrin, Assad won’t do much as Erdogan likely has an agreement with Putin. - whether Arabs in SDF territory fight with YPG or easily defect.

    Two things are clear: 1- Turkish invasion of NE Syria is inevitable; 2- US (especially Trump) isn't going to protect SDF…
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    4 replies 13 retweets 15 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    President Trump is about to make major, consequential mistake in Syria. Sources say US is tonight informing its Syrian Kurdish allies that US is withdrawing from positions on Turkish border, abandoning so-called “security mechanism,” to allow an invasion by Turkish forces...

    481 replies 2,968 retweets 3,560 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    Oct 5

    Turkish invasion of NE Syria is inevitable (resettling Syrian refugees to Rojava has become a matter of survival for Erdogan and such invasion has the backing of all Turkish opposition minus HDP), the Q is: what are SDF's options and how prepared they are for such an attack?

    US is warning Turkey that it could pull all American troops out of Syria if Ankara launches threatened invasion in NE Syria against US-backed Kurdish fighters who were instrumental in defeating ISIS. Turkey says it's posturing. via
    11 replies 31 retweets 55 likes
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  6. Oct 5

    Iraq's problems are way deeper than just political corruption; it's a religious country except in name. Judges don't enforce laws that prevent minor marriage; this judge is oking (an illegal) minor marriage on camera Only one employee processed 126 minor marriages in 6 weeks.

    1 reply 35 retweets 38 likes
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  7. Oct 5

    In another example, a senior cleric runs a prostitution ring under the name of 'pleasure marriage'. A woman says one night three different men slept with her: 'I felt abused. I was forced, raped'.

    4 replies 38 retweets 37 likes
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  8. Oct 5

    From BBC doc on pleasure marriage in Iraq (AKA 'halal' prostitution): A Shia cleric who is also a member of a PMU militia says you can 'temporarily' marry any girl older than nine for an hour to few days - if she is virgin, just don't enter - but you are allowed to do anal sex.

    27 replies 174 retweets 164 likes
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  9. Oct 5

    - removing Rojava (is a matter of political survival); - removing Syrian refugees (as a matter of economic but more importantly cultural survival - many AKP voters see it this way too.)

    6 retweets 8 likes
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  10. Oct 5

    Anyone familiar with Turkey knows invading NE Syria (most people won’t trust US) and settling Syrian refugees there is wildly popular among Turks across party affiliations (again minus HDP). Most Turks see Rojava invasion as a matter of survival:

    1 reply 10 retweets 11 likes
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  11. Oct 5

    I would go as far as saying the Syrian issue (refugees + Rojava) is a bigger factor than economy for Erdogan’s future given that economy may lead to AKP vote decline to an extent but tackling Syrian issue can rebound the votes and move parties such as Iyi to Erdogan’s coalition.

    2 replies 11 retweets 11 likes
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  12. Oct 5

    Syrian refugees and Rojava have become major factors in Turkish internal politics; you can’t look at the issue of NE Syria as separate from what is going on inside Turkey. There’re credible reports of nationalist anti-refugee Iyi party joining Erdogan’s coalition as soon as Jan.

    4 replies 16 retweets 12 likes
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  13. Oct 5

    Two things are clear: 1- Turkish invasion of NE Syria is inevitable; 2- US (especially Trump) isn't going to protect SDF SDF needs to get creative about ways to protect their territory and they need to act fast; I hope they have learnt from Afrin attack and get more flexible.

    9 replies 14 retweets 22 likes
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  14. Oct 5

    2003*

    1 reply
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  15. Oct 5

    Bloodbath it is. I hope the blood of these brave protesters lead to real change. Iraq is one of the richest countries in the world but massive corruption - $1 trillion estimated to have been stolen since 2013. Iraqi people, which have a rich and proud history, deserve better.

    Iraq protest death toll nears 100, almost 4,000 injured: rights panel
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    3 replies 29 retweets 53 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    Oct 4

    Jibo ew xortên diçin bi pelînsûyan re dizewicin û navê dayika wan sefûra ye sgdjdkfkshdj🤪🤪🤪

    190 replies 648 retweets 5,839 likes
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  17. Oct 4

    53 dead and 1940 injured in four days of protest in Baghdad and south ; in addition to live ammunition, snipers have been stationed in Baghdad that target protesters. This is the bloodiest round of protest from the string of protests that hit Iraq every year since 2015.

    1 reply 114 retweets 134 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Oct 4

    Journalists and reporters are being threatened with death for disseminating news about the protests. Unknown insurgents have burned the offices of TV networks that have provided media coverage of the demonstrations.

    29 replies 250 retweets 768 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    Oct 4

    What is Iranian nationalism?

    13 retweets 28 likes
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