I think the current crisis is a realistic example. Also, the original blogpost emphasises two key qualifications: 'probable' effect and 'effective' irreversibility. Judges make this kind of speculation all the time in indirect discrimination law.
I'm asking for examples where a court could be certain there will be no irreversible effects from an "unusual" prorogation. A week is a long time in politics! Isn't speculating on probable effects from loss of legislation and scrutiny very different from discrimination cases?
Or at least, where a court could be certain there will be no *serious* irreversible effects. If individuals are affected by legislation not passed at the expected time, how would a court assess seriousness of effect? We can't even assume the legislation would have been passed.
Parliamentary scrutiny includes written questions as well as committees. A government might escape both existing and potential future questions by proroguing. It may not be clear how a court could decide which would be time-sensitive, time-critical, significant or important.
A fundamental problem? How could courts have the power to assess real-world effects of prorogation (assessing significance, importance, time-criticality, and irreversibility) without risk of involving personal values or political judgement?
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Matt Berkley
@mattberkley
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Replying to @mattberkley @tarunkhaitan and 11 others
...it's perhaps not clear that a real-world-effects test is practical, compared to a "constitutional principles" test aiming to ensure Parliament's ability to pass the legislation it thinks fit, and scrutinise acts and statements which may occur after the decision to prorogue.
In a prorogation case, a court may not need to look at specific political effects if it emphasises a perhaps uncontroversial principle: Parliament should be free, unless there is good reason, to scrutinise and act on both what is, and whatever may arise.
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Matt Berkley
@mattberkley
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Replying to @mattberkley @tarunkhaitan and 11 others
...it's perhaps not clear that a real-world-effects test is practical, compared to a "constitutional principles" test aiming to ensure Parliament's ability to pass the legislation it thinks fit, and scrutinise acts and statements which may occur after the decision to prorogue.
Is the Supreme Court's effects test in paragraphs 50 and 51 adequate as a guide to whether future prorogations are lawful? Hopefully it won't matter, if governments stick to prorogations that are clearly justified. A thread:
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Matt Berkley
@mattberkley
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Replying to @AileenMcHarg @StevePeers and 2 others
It is a fact - and foreseeable - that Parl is prevented from scrutinising whatever may arise during the period. Perhaps the judgement's not requiring "reasonableness" to include the unpredictability of politics is a significant defect. https://twitter.com/mattberkley/status/1176416640432574464…@adamwagner1