Ömer Özkizilcik
@OmerOzkizilcik
Work at the Security Department of @setavakfi in Ankara, columnist at @TheNewTurkey and as the editor in chief of @suriyegundemi_ E-Mail: hozkizilcik@setav.org
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My new work about the factions belonging to the National Army
@suriyegundemiEN Were they formed before ES? Did they receive US support via MoM or Pentagon? Have they fought ISIS, Assad or YPG? Compose they of Arabs, Turkmens & Kurds? For high quality http://en.suriyegundemi.com/factions-of-the-national-army/ …pic.twitter.com/R8Cv1qR2As
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SETA Savunma Politikaları ve Teknolojileri Yaz Okulu Başlıyor! Ayrıntılı bilgi edinmek ve başvuruda bulunmak için: https://www.setav.org/seta-savunma-politikalari-ve-teknolojileri-yaz-okulu-basliyor/ …pic.twitter.com/aLSaJRYR4J
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“It has nothing to do with the amount of American soldiers on the ground, but with the overall US strategy. Instead of short-term, ad hoc maneuvers, [Washington] needs a broader approach to the region. The US should listen to its partners that know the local people best.”
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Özkizilcik argued that the US needs to “align its efforts with regional Sunni actors like Turkey which enjoy close ties with the Sunni populations in Iraq and Syria.” Moreover, he disagreed that the drawdown of American troops is responsible for the current predicament.
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The main reason for this, he contended, "is that [ISIS'] extremist ideology wasn't defeated. In order to do so, the Islamic State needs to be fought by Sunni Arabs, but the US instead has worked with Shiite Arabs in Iraq and with a Marxist Kurdish terror group in Syria.”
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In an interview with The Media Line, Ömer Özkizilcik, an expert on Syria at the SETA Foundation, said that “ISIS will focus on destabilization for a long period of time before they revert back to territorial control."
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With my comments for
@TheMediaLine about the probality of an ISIS resurgency in Syria and the reasons behind it:https://themedialine.org/top-stories/isis-resurging-in-syria-and-consolidating-in-iraq/ …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Now the US side published the exactly same statement in English. The details of the agreement about control of the safe-zone, the local forces & the depth of the zone are unknown yet. Until now, this reminds of the Manbij Roadmap but it may change as we do not know the detailspic.twitter.com/ysAmJIV26D
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The US will need to redraw its Syria policy or they risk pushing Turkey into another operation in Syria Opinion |
@OmerOzkizilcikhttps://www.trtworld.com/opinion/us-policy-in-syria-a-house-of-cards-28831 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
TR and US agreed on - Implementing of measures to adress TR's security concerns - Formation of a joint operation base for the safe-zone - Safe-zone will become a peace corridor to which Syrian refugees will return Is the US deceiving Turky again as I elaborated in my article?
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Simultanously with the publication of my article that the US will need to redraw its Syria policy or risk pushing Turkey into another operation in Syria, the Turkey announced that an agreement over the safe-zone in norhtern Syria was reached: https://twitter.com/trtworld/status/1159096194855055361 …pic.twitter.com/IMfb670pba
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Here is my take on regarding the repercussions of Turkish operation towards eastern
#Syria on#Turkish -#Russian relations, published by@Russian_Council#Turkey#Operationhttps://russiancouncil.ru/en/analytics-and-comments/columns/middle-east-policy/operation-towards-eastern-syria-repercussions-on-turkey-russia-relations/ …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Today
@CJTFOIR released its quarterly report about its engagement in which it numbers the SDF to a total of 100 thousand. But the justification for Counter Islamic State of#Iraq and#Syria Train and Equip Fund (CTEF) numbers the SDF and the Tanf pocket to a total of 61 thousandpic.twitter.com/7c9qfpTPyg
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This weeks column for
@TheNewTurkey: "Why the YPG Can’t Fight Against Turkey" in which I look into the dynamics east of the#Euphrates which will hinder the#YPG to put up a significant resistance against a joint#Turkish-#Syrian military operation:https://thenewturkey.org/why-the-ypg-cant-fight-against-turkey …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Turkey is ready to pay the price of an unilateral military operation as the long term costs of a PKK state along TR's border will be much higher. On the American side, except for CENTCOM & some of the Washington establishment, no one is ready to pay the price to protect the YPG.
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Obama administration's Syrian policy to fight against ISIS premise was to avoid siding in the regime-opposition war. Thanks to the ideological affinity of some CENTCOM officials, the US may risk being against Turkey's anti-terrorism war & an opponent to the Syrian opposition.
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Last time both
#HTS & the#Assad regime managed to torpedo the ceasefire in#Idlib and now again just with a press briefing in which Jolani announces not to abide by the#Astana deal, HTS gave the regime a pretext to conduct airstrikes in Idlib again. Hand in hand to destructionpic.twitter.com/h2Xpe6ZcO3
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This weeks column for
@TheNewTurkey: "The US has to withdraw south from & left the YPG face the same fate they did in Afrin. The defeat of the YPG by Turkey would allow the US to form a new SDF with only non-YPG elements & join forces with Turkey."https://thenewturkey.org/a-turkish-american-confrontation-in-northeast-syria-is-avoidable …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Very unlikely that any proposal without Turkish control over the safe-zone will be accepted. The Americans haven't kept too many of their promises and deals in Syria, so that the Turks just don't trust them if they can't control it 7/24 by themselves.https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1158119719737516032?s=19 …
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