Hassan HassanVerified account

@hxhassan

Contributing writer, . NYT Bestselling Author . Director of nonstate actors program at Center for Global Policy. Fellow

hassan@cgpolicy.org
theatlantic.com/author/hassan-…
Joined March 2009
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    13 Jun 2016

    IS ideology: a product of a slow hybridization between doctrinaire Salafism and Islamist currents my in-depth paper

    44 replies 297 retweets 345 likes
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  2. Retweeted
    27 minutes ago

    Just to be clear, this isn't an argument for the US to indefinitely occupy Syria. It's an argument that the timing of withdrawal can make things better, or can make things infinitely worse. I feel I need to say this because some people seem incapable of arguing in good faith.

    I never understood the argument in favor of the US withdrawing from Syria. I tried, but it sounds irrational. I understand it if made by pro-Assad/Russia/Iran folks or by those who don’t watch Syria closely (those screaming “Iraq” without context.) But never why experts make it.
    2 replies 6 retweets 12 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    22 minutes ago

    The arguments I've seen wildly exaggerate all the worst-case scenarios of staying in & display a remarkable short-termism, as if we leave and after that, literally nothing could matter to the U.S. or its interests in the region.

    I never understood the argument in favor of the US withdrawing from Syria. I tried, but it sounds irrational. I understand it if made by pro-Assad/Russia/Iran folks or by those who don’t watch Syria closely (those screaming “Iraq” without context.) But never why experts make it.
    1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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  4. 38 minutes ago

    I never understood the argument in favor of the US withdrawing from Syria. I tried, but it sounds irrational. I understand it if made by pro-Assad/Russia/Iran folks or by those who don’t watch Syria closely (those screaming “Iraq” without context.) But never why experts make it.

    7 replies 4 retweets 27 likes
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  5. 2 hours ago

    A profile of Abdullah Qardash, who is extremely likely to be the one running ISIS in lieu of Baghdadi, and who could be his successor. Jailed with Baghdadi in Bucca, from Tal Afar (a relative of Abu Ali al-Anbari), known for brutality.

    2 replies 6 retweets 7 likes
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  6. 3 hours ago

    By al-Qaeda, I mean the central leadership

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  7. 3 hours ago

    Good piece here by (Ar). Worth reiterating: Al-Qaeda today is an almost exclusively Egyptian clique, with no active presence in Egypt. Don’t underestimate that dynamic for both the group’s future & its current influence within local affiliates across the region.

    "What’s next for after the death of ?" - My recent [Ar.] article, translated…
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    2 replies 13 retweets 27 likes
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  8. 3 hours ago

    Again it’s not confirmed, but the news is most likely based on real moves by ISIS. The name is big within ISIS, and is extremely likely that he’s running ISIS (ISIS does that, to appoint a leader to run all affairs instead of Baghdadi, and he’s probably the one doing that.)

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  9. 3 hours ago

    Have to note reports that the news is not conclusive, or confirmed. But most likely this would be the successor after Baghdadi. He was a close associate of Anbari. If he becomes the next leader, it’s because of his alleged lineage to the prophet family.

    1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
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  10. 3 hours ago

    This was never reported or even discussed by ISIS watchers before. But after I read Anbari’s bio, intended initially to prepare him for the position of a caliph before he was killed, I noticed a pattern. I concluded that one name that kept coming up then would be the one.

    1 reply 2 likes
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  11. 3 hours ago

    Wow, really: the ISIS leader I predicted would succeed Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi (see the tweet below from November) has reportedly been deputized by Baghdadi to run all ISIS, a grooming step. His name is Abdullah Qardash (same clan of Abu Ali al-Anbari/Qaduli, from Tal Afar again).

    Another (important) point is that Baghadi’s successor now is likely to be from the Qaduli family, his name is known and was floated recently. Will elaborate on this later. Like Baghdad, the family traces its origins to the Prophet’s grandson Hussain.
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    5 replies 30 retweets 51 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    22 hours ago

    We are publishing an important policy brief from Prof Asaad Alsaleh, making the case for disrupting the cycle of radicalization through thousands of children linked to ISIS in Syria. A bridge between ISIS & future generations that needs to be demolished!

    4 replies 35 retweets 69 likes
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  13. 15 hours ago

    This defensive theme has been heavily featured in Gulf media lately, which doesn’t make it less curious: “They are now doing their utmost to dismantle the alliance ... by creating a rift between the UAE and Saudi Arabia.“

    1 reply 7 retweets 16 likes
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  14. 21 hours ago

    We have plenty of theories like this in the Middle East. You see, we’re not so different. Pepsi: pay every penny to save Israel Coca Cola, if read inversed: No Mohammed No Mecca.

    12 replies 24 retweets 60 likes
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  15. 21 hours ago

    Fresh remarks from jailed PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan, amid threats of a Turkey offensive in Syria/Iraq: "Let’s resolve the Kurdish issue. I say I will remove the possibility of war within a week. I can resolve it. I trust myself. I am ready for a solution"

    2 replies 16 retweets 22 likes
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  16. Aug 8

    Good thread too:

    In the past few days, several contacts from areas controlled by the SDF in Deir Ezzor asked me, with great concern, whether Turkey is going to invade NE Syria. Their concern stemmed from several reasons:
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    3 retweets 5 likes
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  17. Aug 8

    . has been doing lots of distinguished work on Syria, wt reporting from the ground: A rare deep-dive into how the Alawites have suffered in the war they helped spearhead The progressive case for staying in Syria, for now

    1 reply 6 retweets 22 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Aug 7

    My new essay with looking at a largely consistent US military posture in the Middle East alongside the decline of diplomacy and civilian tools: The Enduring American Presence in the Middle East via

    2 replies 15 retweets 31 likes
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  19. Aug 8

    "Syria calls on international community, UN to condemn US-Turkish flagrant aggression which constitutes a dangerous escalation & poses a threat to peace and security in the region and the world and hinders all positive efforts for solving crisis in Syria"

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  20. Aug 8

    Between April and June 2019, the Islamic State terror group "solidified its insurgent capabilities in Iraq and was resurging in Syria," the Department of Defense Inspector General Quarterly Report says.

    3 retweets 4 likes
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