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Last I spoke to US officials about this they were pretty clear that, looking at the forces positioned across the border, the Coalition was not going to be able to halt a concerted Turkish push. US might try and position handfuls of soldiers as tripwires near the border - risky.https://twitter.com/idreesali114/status/1158655649879904258 …
Do we really want this? Turkish incursion will likely be small-scale at first, designed to put pressure on the US negotiating position/get Trump's attention (apparently there's a call scheduled). Is deterring the disruption worth risking a shooting confrontation with the Turks?
As European officials have privately pointed out, our interests in the Northeast are limited and geographically not where Turkey prioritizes. C-ISIS mission was designed to avoid becoming active party in Syrian civil war, officials loath to be drawn into Turkey-PKK fight instead.
There is no obvious answer here. It's a strategy built on contradictions. There are huge humanitarian and security risks involved in seeing the AANS falter, but at the same time, we need a path to disentangle ourselves from the SDF/YPG sooner rather than later.
Addendum: That path obviously at a minimum requires us finding a solution to the foreigner annex of Al-Hol.
Nothing to worry about... John Bolton is in charge
Why does this feel like Russia’s hand on both sides? A gambit, if you will, to break up NATO Or test Article 5?
Sdf deserves support because they defeated ISIS with coalition. What is unethical is allowing Turkey to practice ethnic cleansing in NE Syria and continued support for extremist groups in Syria.
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