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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Jul 12

    " Hasn't Won Anything" - My latest in underlines that 8yrs of brutal war has left with nothing but a chronically violent and chaotic failed state. Read here:

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  2. NEW - UK Foreign Sec : - A -led maritime protection mission is being established to patrol . - It will focus on free navigation & will not be part of 's maximum pressure policy on . - HMS Duncan, a Type 45 destroyer, will arrive on 29 July.

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  3. Retweeted
    Jul 17

    “The Assad regime has not “won” anything. It has merely survived at the cost of Syrians’ blood and fear; stability remains far out of reach” - excellent comprehensive piece by ⁦

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  4. Retweeted
    Jul 12

    This is a really rich piece by : central thesis is unassailable with lots of important details along the way: Assad Hasn’t Won Anything

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  5. Between Regime & Rebels: A Survey of ’s Sect - Great research by , into the "immense cost" of "victory" in :

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  6. “It’s the best evidence against a regime since ... much, much better [than against ]." - William Wiley & CIJA have 800,000+ pages of evidence against , collected from inside :

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  7. "There are few indications that can again control large amounts of territory or win significant support. But experts warn a low-level insurgency can terrorize communities into turning a blind eye to the militants’ activity as they dig in, preparing for a long-term struggle"

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  8. - Hundreds of militants are slipping back into . Their fight isn’t over. "Look at where they’re hiding. It’s deserts. It’s caves. It’s places no one can ever fully control,” an Colonel told .

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  9. The Church never disappoints, does it? All smiles in , visiting today.

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  10. "This is the result of your [] apathy to the situation... we're getting killed every day, Mr , please! Please stop this." This is - activist, Dr. Rania Kisar, at the scene of today's strikes in .

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  11. A terrible day in 's Marat al-Numan, as 27+ people killed & 100+ wounded in a series of targeted airstrikes that hit a vegetable market this morning. Scenes of total carnage. Activists who monitor jet take-offs & movements say was responsible.

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  12. Jul 19

    So the "Mesdar" was seized by the , but has since been released by after a "warning" relating to "environmental regulations." [Lol] Its transponder is back on & it's moving back on course.

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  13. Jul 19

    NEW - The has just confirmed seizing a 2nd -owned oil tanker in , now bound for .

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  14. Jul 19

    The "Mesdar" *is* -owned. If it's confirmed the "Mesdar" has also been intercepted & taken in by the , then we're in very dangerous territory. That'd be x2 tankers seized by within hours of each other. Hard not to see this forcing a response.

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  15. Jul 19

    Uh oh. According to shipping tracking info, another oil tanker, the [possibly -owned] "Mesdar" has suddenly veered off course & is heading directly north towards (despite being intended for ).

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  16. Jul 19

    This is a dangerous development. Watch closely for the nationality of the "Stena Impero's" crew. Security of international shipping in is a genuine red line. Shadowy limpet mines are one thing, but a naval & airborne interception of a tanker is another thing altogether.

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  17. Jul 19

    NEW: A -flagged oil tanker, the "Stena Impero," has 'gone dark' after diverting towards waters amid a "hostile action" by elements. Sources say the vessel now appears to be headed towards an facility in Qeshm, . Emergency security meeting underway.

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  18. Retweeted
    Jul 17

    Vitally important article for anyone wanting to understand the current state of - written by the always insightful - the same message reminds everyone at every Q&A has won nothing

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  19. Retweeted
    Jul 15

    Very sobering from about the sheer scale of challenges across different parts of Syria. A useful overview of the current state of play.

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  20. Retweeted

    "The Assad regime has not “won” anything. It has merely survived at the cost of Syrians’ blood and fear...there are plentiful signs of future instability. Syria is no longer in open civil war, but the country’s political crisis is intensifying."

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  21. Jul 19
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