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GregoryPWaters's profile
Gregory Waters
Gregory Waters
Gregory Waters
@GregoryPWaters

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Gregory Waters

@GregoryPWaters

Researching Syrian regime and #ISIS via Facebook. Writer and Managing Editor at @reviewintl Bylines in @MiddleEastInst @bellingcat @openDemocracy

international-review.org
Joined February 2016

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    Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 10h10 hours ago

    My big report is finally out: examining the collapse of the #SAA &, more interestingly, the attempts at rebuilding. The last half of the report has detailed unit structures for EVERY SAA CORPS as its stands in 2019https://www.mei.edu/publications/lion-and-eagle-syrian-arab-armys-destruction-and-rebirth …

    1:26 PM - 18 Jul 2019
    • 157 Retweets
    • 316 Likes
    • Brody Czorniuk McDonald Alex Rodriguez Kaan Özgüney St. Jawn the Baptist Kyle Orton Filipe Soeiro Red-Green Alliance Henry Fulmer Jamie wood
    10 replies 157 retweets 316 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 10h10 hours ago

        I made infographs based on pro-regime social media posts linking various units to each other w/ blanks filled in through a year long interview of a great Syrian source. These structures & affiliations should be viewed as working guides, as the #SAA is still in a transitory period

        1 reply 5 retweets 21 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 10h10 hours ago

        So, if anyone has additional information please share. That being said, here is the #SAA as of 2019, including all units w/ #Russia|n training (so far)pic.twitter.com/IbXFU95q7b

        1 reply 15 retweets 31 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 10h10 hours ago

        I also have a (somewhat rough) deployment history of most original #SAA brigades from 2016-2019. It takes a minute to read the charts but you really get a feel for why certain units have been switched around & you can see the changing geographic focus of the regime each year.pic.twitter.com/PQnM7Q7WBA

        2 replies 10 retweets 23 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 10h10 hours ago

        I noted 4 distinct phases of (attempted) rebuilding: 2015 - 4th Corps (#Russia|n) 2016 - 5th Corps (#Russia|n) 2017 - 30th Division (Republican Guard) 2018 - Integrate ex-Rebels & replenish old brigades This last phase is still ongoing.

        1 reply 8 retweets 17 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 10h10 hours ago

        The report ends w/ profiles of each Division + their structure, including battalions when I could find them. Many battalions have unknown brigade associations unfortunately, but hopefully others can update this in the future.pic.twitter.com/dN9JWY5EtZ

        1 reply 4 retweets 14 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 10h10 hours ago

        I want to thank @delfoo for spending countless hours helping me make sense of this and assisting in the research, as well as @hrcberkeley for hosting me while I worked on this. And of course, Joseph Holliday whose 2013 @TheStudyofWar reports were incredibly important.

        1 reply 4 retweets 16 likes
        Show this thread
      8. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Morant Mathieu‏ @MathieuMorant 8h8 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters

        Incredible work...

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 7h7 hours ago
        Replying to @MathieuMorant

        Thank you Mathieu, please let me know if you have more to add!

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Morant Mathieu‏ @MathieuMorant 7h7 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters

        Yes. Stupid question : do you speak French ?

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 7h7 hours ago
        Replying to @MathieuMorant

        No, sorry. Can try google translate though.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Ethandaethan‏ @Ethandaethan1 9h9 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters

        How to you find out the units structure? Do you use like OSINT or twitter?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Gregory Waters‏ @GregoryPWaters 8h8 hours ago
        Replying to @Ethandaethan1

        All through Facebook. Things like martyrdom reports where they might say "the martyr is from the salaries of the 5th Division / 112th Brigade".

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. elibue‏ @elibue1 10h10 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters

        Couldn't you have waited to publish until after my University exam? Now I'll just HAVE to read this instead!!

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Rex Brynen‏ @RexBrynen 10h10 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters

        Excellent!

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Bob Bowker‏ @BobBowker 7h7 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters

        Fascinating report. It confirms impressions of degraded SAA capability as demonstrated in the shortcomings of the recent offensive around Hama and Idlib, but provides important explanation and context. Many thanks.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Erik Ruiz‏ @ErikRuiz91 4h4 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters

        You are a god. 🙌🏽🙌🏽🙌🏽

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. michaelsullivan‏ @spikeuberss 8h8 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters

        Oh yeah everyone has been waiting on pins n needles for this report from such an esteemed expert as yourself.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Kanan‏ @Kanan82300148 9h9 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters @oryxspioenkop

        This guy said the collapse of the SAA man it’s been eight years of war fighting thousands of jihad assume all over the world if they did collapse know wouldn’t be bad after eight years I don’t need to Germany three years

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Anthos Helpa‏ @AnthosHelpa 8h8 hours ago
        Replying to @Kanan82300148 @GregoryPWaters @oryxspioenkop

        Another foreigner making money off Syria. Books, conferences, tv punditry...u name it. Shameless.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Kanan‏ @Kanan82300148 9h9 hours ago
        Replying to @GregoryPWaters @oryxspioenkop

        Hahahaha 😅😂🤣😅What is this a middle is production who is the star of this fucking story because you know you got a lot of time to write shit

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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