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My latest, for
@WarOnTheRocks: What global threat does a "de-territorialized" Islamic State pose, post-"caliphate"? A detailed look at planned attacks in Lebanon last year can help demystify the group's non-territorial external operations capability:https://warontherocks.com/2019/05/a-glimpse-into-the-islamic-states-external-operations-post-caliphate/ …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
In
@CrisisGroup's March report on Idlib's armed factions, we noted that Hayat Tahrir al-Sham's leadership has seemingly gotten the whole group to zig, while marginalizing more doctrinaire individuals who insisted on zagging: https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/eastern-mediterranean/syria/197-best-bad-options-syrias-idlib …pic.twitter.com/npu5XGMgLpShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Abu Talha originally joined Hayat Tahrir al-Sham alongside controversial fellow Egyptian Abu al-Yaqadhan al-Masri, who, despite his outsized media profile, was edged out of HTS earlier this year with few evident implications for the group's integrity:https://twitter.com/AbuJamajem/status/1098213341095436288 …
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HTS expels Egyptian cleric Abu Talha al-Masir (https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/315049 ) for “repeated failure to adhere to group policy”; comes after he sharply criticizes Salvation Government for publicly reuniting kidnapped boy with Yezidi family he calls “apostates” (https://nas.news/?p=5254 ).pic.twitter.com/bumF5eqEJ0
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
The Stockholm agreement in
#Yemen is faltering while Huthi/Saudi cross border attacks risk triggering a regional conflict Our new report on what to do about bothhttps://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/yemen/203-saving-stockholm-agreement-and-averting-regional-conflagration-yemen …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
The latest issue of Global Policy
@durham_uni has a collection of free-access essays, "New Diplomacy for New Conflicts," edited by Bill Zartman and Siniša Vuković. It includes my paper, "The MENA Region's Intersecting Crises: What Next?" Happy reading! https://bit.ly/30ER4UEThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
Here is our new
@CrisisGroup EU#WatchList2019. With entries on#Libya and#Iran vs U.S.https://twitter.com/CrisisGroup/status/1151450240479879169 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
It is a last year article of general Alexander Dvornikov who led Russian operation in
#Syria in the very beginning in 2015.He stressed importance of informational influence and eliminating economic resources of the enemy.His team uncompromisingly bombed#ISIS oil sales channelshttps://twitter.com/bkaghadou/status/1151359588479971328 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
Iraq has "deported" 33 Russian children whose parents came to Iraq to join Isis, foreign affairs ministry says. Nearly 500 foreign children have been repatriated, the ministry adds. I hope "terrorist children" is bad translation... https://www.mofa.gov.iq/2019/07/?p=2491 pic.twitter.com/iFzUVQqYLa
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After Pres. Erdogan says Turkey is “following closely” events in Israel, Egypt, Libya, Algeria and Tunisia (https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/turkiye/cumhurbaskani-erdogan-s-400leri-alarak-barisi-ve-milli-guvenligimizi-garantiye-almaya-calisiyoruz/1531456 …), official in Algerian foreign ministry reiterates solidarity with Syria, condemns Turkish intervention in Idlib: http://www.aps.dz/ar/algerie/73931-2019-07-16-10-20-52 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller RetweetedThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Smart notes from
@DanieleRaineri on the Islamic State's prospects in Iraq, speaking to@JoelWing2: https://musingsoniraq.blogspot.com/2019/07/can-islamic-state-make-comeback-in-iraq_16.html …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
It’s rare for
@CrisisGroup to sign open letters But w/the risk of war w/Iran as great & stakes so high, we decided to add our name to this one, asking that language enjoying bipartisan support & prohibiting such a war w/out Congressional approval be included in the NDAApic.twitter.com/Ya0OPcKlghThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Huh, an Egyptian action take on “Seven Samurai” featuring Mike Tyson and Hafþór Júlíus Björnsson (“The Mountain”):https://youtu.be/ogTdB5cLJuQ
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.
@ajaltamimi interviews a German Hurras al-Din fighter, who describes operating under the thumb of a more powerful, resourced Hayat Tahrir al-Sham:http://www.aymennjawad.org/2019/07/hurras-al-din-interview-ii …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
The failed coup “marked a turn in relations with Russia” because many Turks believe “that the West turned a blind eye during the coup (attempt) but that Moscow was more supportive.”
@CrisisGrouphttps://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/12/world/europe/turkey-russia-missiles.html …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
The Syrian military’s victory in
#Idlib depends on politics that are bigger than just#Syria, says Sam Heller (@AbuJamajem).https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2019/07/15/syrians-are-trapped-ever-world-looks-away/ …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
“Idlib’s armed opposition may not be able to win an open battle for the northwest, but they can make a Syrian military victory terribly costly, maybe intolerably so.”
@AbuJamajem http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Middle-East/2019/Jul-15/487547-regime-risks-terribly-costly-victory-in-idlib.ashx …pic.twitter.com/2iLbAP68UqThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Sam Heller Retweeted
Stability of EU’s neighborhood is EU own stability. Pleased to see EU stepped up support for Iraqi leadeship “active neutrality” = diplomatic engagement to effectively create the conditions for neutralityhttps://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2019/07/13/world/middleeast/ap-ml-iraq-eu.html …
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Even without territory
#IslamicState /#ISIS can and has pursued international attacks. We knew that already and other groups do it too, but this#Syria -#Lebanon case gives useful insight into some operational aspects - by@AbuJamajem - https://warontherocks.com/2019/05/a-glimpse-into-the-islamic-states-external-operations-post-caliphate/ …pic.twitter.com/dNxgrcjnB0Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Profile says 2005 Naivasha Agreement was the moment that made clear the falseness of the Sudanese government's claims of Islamic legitimacy and the key inflection point in modern Sudanese history, implies it prompted Abu Asem to translate his radicalism into active militancy.pic.twitter.com/tSDLsazyTG
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