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Incredible how Washington wakes up from its long strategic slumber only after the acquisition of the S400s. Five years too late, I'm afraid.https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-usa-turkey-security-deal/u-s-officials-wonder-did-turkish-leaders-coup-memories-drive-russia-arms-deal-idUKKCN1UD0ER …
Most sub-par analyses of 'Turkey turning to Russia' almost purposefully omit systemic power shifts and the rise of alternative nodes of power that exert contextual relevance in key foreign policy processes everywhere in the world.https://www.foreignaffairs.com/reviews/capsule-review/2016-04-14/unquiet-frontier-rising-rivals-vulnerable-allies-and-crisis …
Turkey, or any other X buffer country isn't 'turning to' anywhere. Both the US and NATO are becoming too confused and weak in balancing critical security policy areas in too many places. Blaming buffer countries is just a cheap shot that doesn't address the core problem.
Fixing the current predicament necessitates addressing the core problem beyond futile and marginally relevant distractions such as CAATSA S400, or F35. If you need to trace back to something, 2014 is a good start. 1) https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/russian-federation/2014-05-12/ankara-black-sea … 2)https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/turkey/2015-11-29/clash-empires …
Back in 2014, I was worried that my first article would sound too alarmist. Not only that it did not, but NATO is even more all over the place, with internal divisions and confusions impacting its ability to counterbalance against anything. But sure, 'Turkey is turning to Russia'
In the face of weak alliance behavior, buffer states waver. Not sure how any of this is surprising, or new, but just in case you are so shocked, Walt has some bad news for you - https://www.jstor.org/stable/2538540?casa_token=L1LsjGNiqtMAAAAA:hkKdtMCRahxU0_hTHGZdl_M3CMFqXkhOqAR0YiMJdlLiL9toaignVmfJoCTCYazMxC0oMsA6XXuStNuGQ4rCVyVfJ8OymOKYiQZn0DJu429gFHoEnN_u&seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents …
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