Jalel Harchaoui

@JMJalel_H

Research fellow at . Focuses on . Watches the Greater Middle East. There’s no need for me to agree with your worldview. Independence first!

The Hague, The Netherlands
clingendael.org/person/jalel-h…
Joined April 2014
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Apr 26

    My latest, for . Before ’s conflagration, there was no shortage of on . The various dialogues—while they did hold promise—were formatted in a way that always rewarded conquests by 1 faction.

    5 replies 42 retweets 72 likes
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  2. 22 hours ago

    From , a matter-of-fact dispatch describing the situation of the 5,000-plus held in northwestern , some in very poor health.

    Out of sight, out of mind: refugees in Libya's detention centres
    1 reply 5 retweets 10 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    Jul 14

    Though this article was written in 2015, many points about the strength of - security cooperation hold true today, especially as the UAE's stability narrative converges with French policies in Libya and the Sahel.

    UAE People & Politics: UAE and France’s robust cooperation in fighting extremists (2015) via
    1 reply 4 retweets 3 likes
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  4. Jul 13

    outlet is slightly more serious than conspiracy-theory extraordinaire Nicolas Beau. ’s deeply pro- president Mahamadou is alleged to have authorized the to build a military base near . Is it plausible? Yes; it is plausible.

    Talks between the UAE and Niger for an Emirati military base on the border of Libya and Algeria are nearing fruition
    2 replies 13 retweets 22 likes
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  5. Jul 13

    Background on ’s —Darfuri Arab militias had armed to fight non-Arab rebels & civilians. They gained international goodwill when / hired them to fight in & when embraced their help against Now reportedly near

    The country’s strongman is using the region to cement his rule.
    11 retweets 12 likes
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  6. Jul 13

    “’s penchant for authoritarianism was less visible at the start, but soon showed in the decisions he took and intentions he expressed.”

    "a mix of neoliberalism and authoritarianism, projected by means of his own distinctive form of populism” Didier Fassin on Macron is excellent.
    1 reply 2 retweets 11 likes
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  7. Jul 13

    Reports of an imminent closure to both & by the Wrath Movement over worsening living conditions in the south - This unlike previously could trigger violence between local the protesters and pretty -affiliated units. .
    1 reply 3 retweets 1 like
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  8. Jul 13

    A nationwide shutdown of oil prod would be a risky bet by the faction. • It could offer the an opportunity to pressure Kabir & hand the over to ; • It could also irk the & end up helping the . Net-net, the temptation is v high.

    Replying to @arabist
    NARCO prediction: production at 600kbpd by July 2019
    3 replies 6 retweets 12 likes
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  9. Jul 12

    As far as perception management, Jul 2’s air strikes on were a home run for the . The actors who launched the raid—which killed 53 in one fell swoop—failed to be condemned by the international community. The above means a wave of ruthless air strikes is coming soon.

    1 reply 4 retweets 11 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    Jul 12

    Delivery of S-400 SAM system to Turkey.

    0:20
    ⚡️Видео Минобороны: доставка С-400 в Турцию
    7 retweets 22 likes
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  11. Jul 12

    It is worth noting that has played a role in helping funnel clandestine financing from into ´s party. The exact same trio (--) has had an influence on ´s policy over the last year or so, helping make it more friendly.

    Le meilleur ami de pris dans un scandale de financement occulte de son parti par la avec l'aide du géant de l'énergie italien . On voit que reçoit de bons conseils! et , voilà une vraie affaire d'État! …
    2 replies 8 retweets 17 likes
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  12. Jul 12

    The early-2015 idea that the could be ousted in 4 weeks, was always ´ idea. ´s decision to follow in the war was partly a way of securing support in other theaters This means the apparent - harmony of the last 4 yrs may come to an end

    The Emiratis are motivated mostly by their desire to exit a war whose cost has become too high, even if it means angering their Saudi allies
    3 replies 3 retweets 17 likes
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  13. Retweeted
    Jul 11

    : Car bomb blast at a funeral in Hawari cemetery in kills four and wounds 9, according to Aljalaa Hospital Car bomb targeted officials attending the funeral of former Saiqa Commander Gen. Khalifa Al-Mismari, local media confirmed

    2 replies 7 retweets 3 likes
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  14. Jul 11

    “The ´s new operation could transform the civil war in from a shrinking and geographically contained ground offensive into a -led campaign intended to prop up , rendering any local ceasefire or peace talks between ground forces meaningless.”

    Here is my latest article for on why ’s loss in matters on the ground, the ’s foreign led airwar and it’s impact on peace building in …
    2 replies 3 retweets 11 likes
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  15. Jul 11

    “Among the forces now fighting in the greater area, there is a pervasive aversion to .”

    1 reply 6 retweets 15 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    Jul 11

    Reports of an explosion at al-Hawari Cemetery while funeral and burial for ex-special forces commander Khalifa al-Mesmari was taking place. Some key LNA and Special Forces commanders were in attendance. No details on casualties.

    4 replies 40 retweets 27 likes
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  17. Retweeted
    Jul 11

    "The black marketeers reaped gargantuan profits, flaunting their riches with cars and lavish parties. They also brought the jealousy of other brigades outside Tripoli." Great report by on 's economy of plunder

    4 replies 24 retweets 42 likes
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  18. Jul 11

    Must-read for anyone remotely interested in in . Efforts must focus not on short-term operational successes but on in-depth understanding of how the conflict up to now has affected the security sector overall. Networks, perceptions & power dynamics must be studied.

    Reform of ’s security sector must not fail again. ISS Today by
    1 reply 11 retweets 16 likes
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  19. Jul 11

    Lots of speculation about the Brothers allegedly taking advantage of the loss of by the to try & grab more power in . Why the attempt? A harbinger of more such shifts?

    Replying to @SwordOfArab @abduljabbar1612
    معروفه ترهونة مع حفتر اللواء السابع والتاسع والكانيات وكل القوة الموجوده داخل ترهونة بايعت حفتر واهم قوة الكانيات وقائدها محسن الكاني تسلم جبهه طرابلس بعد فرار عبد السلام الحاسي
    3 replies 6 retweets 7 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Jul 10

    force put the base in northern at rest for a re-concentration in - the piece also suggests that by then expected to provide further security in the south of .

    8 retweets 9 likes
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  21. Jul 10

    “In the theater, the military action of is not very important. “If no longer provided military advisers or weapons, there would be no dramatic impact, given that there are countries that violate the embargo more significantly, such as the & .”

    "Salvini ha ragione: la Francia è molto arrogante quando guarda verso la Libia"
    5 replies 12 retweets 25 likes
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