Simon Engelkes

@englks

Project Coordinator Political Dialogue South Med | tweets: state fragility, rebel governance, Libya | & | hier privat

Tunis, Tunisia
Joined December 2013
528 Photos and videos Photos and videos

You may also like

·

Tweets

You blocked @englks

Are you sure you want to view these Tweets? Viewing Tweets won't unblock @englks

  1. Retweeted
    3 hours ago

    This was a challenging and stimulating exercise with a brilliant group of pundits. This report is worth a read! If you couldn't be bothered to study the paper does it for you in GIFs in the thread

    The new Med Dialogue report on MENA 2030 is out - based on a strategic foresight exercise of our Mediterranean Advisory Group, including 8 scenarios for peace and security in the region: …
    Show this thread
    2 retweets 1 like
    Undo
  2. 4 hours ago

    Many thanks to , , , , , , , , , , and , among others, who participated in the MAG exercise.

    5 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  3. 4 hours ago

    Trend #7: On a positive note, there are opportunities for common approaches with regards to long-term challenges that similarly affect all states of the region such as fight vs. terrorism/OC, need for political reform and economic diversification, combatting water scarcity, etc.

    1 reply 1 retweet
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  4. 4 hours ago

    Trend #6: Despite the fact that the set-up of a region-spanning security architecture is not deemed likely, experts noted that MENA will still see the opening of pockets of cooperation and interest-based ad-hoc alliances between states that share similar risks.

    1 reply 1 retweet
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  5. 4 hours ago

    Trend #5: The region will witness a shift towards authoritarian structures, heightened nationalism and identity politics. Due to domestic pressures, national GOVs will reach limits of their capacities & MENA might see already looming emergence of fragile authoritarian alliances

    1 reply 1 retweet
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  6. 4 hours ago

    Trend #4: While the US is withdrawing its presence from the region and challenging NATO which, in turn, is likely to lose touch with its direct contact point to MENA, the EU appears heavily fragmented over MS' foreign policies. International institutions are crumbling by 2030.

    1 reply 1 retweet
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  7. 4 hours ago

    Trend #3: The MENA region will further disintegrate; regional institutions not been successful in bridging rivalries; multilateral negotiations and regional cooperation initiatives have reached a gridlock; re-nationalization of strategic priorities driven countries further apart.

    1 reply 1 retweet
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  8. 4 hours ago

    Trend #2: Due to ongoing antagonism, states such as Israel, Turkey and Iran feel pushed back into strategic culture of self-reliance / "strategic loneliness" which might encourage them to overestimate their own capabilities and take things into their own hands.

    1 reply 1 retweet
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  9. 4 hours ago

    Trend #1: States are currently negotiating their alignments within the dynamic competition between global and regional powers. No-one wants to draw the short straw in regional power politics, yet the odds are not clear enough to know how to best save national interests.

    1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  10. 4 hours ago

    In addition to already prolonged conflicts, the next ten years might see an increased risk for growing militarization in and around MENA; the disorder caused by the disintegration of traditional structures can lead to significant changes in the regional security setup.

    1 reply 1 retweet
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  11. 4 hours ago

    The scenarios suggest that the MENA will see the dissolution of traditional arrangements and the emergence of new forms of cross-regional cooperation vis-a-vis increasing domestic pressures such as population growth, climate change, political fragmentation and economic hardship.

    1 reply 1 retweet
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  12. 4 hours ago

    The new Med Dialogue report on MENA 2030 is out - based on a strategic foresight exercise of our Mediterranean Advisory Group, including 8 scenarios for peace and security in the region: Key take-aways in this thread (incl my personal GIF interpretations)

    1 reply 3 retweets 9 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  13. Retweeted
    7 hours ago

    More than 80 migrants, among them women and children are believed to have drowned off Tunisia’s Mediterranean coast this week:

    , and
    2 replies 20 retweets 20 likes
    Undo
  14. Retweeted
    Jul 3

    The Federal Government condemns the airstrike on the camp for refugees and migrants in Tripoli in the strongest possible terms. It must be ascertained as soon as possible who is responsible for this attack. The perpetrators must be brought to justice.

    7 replies 23 retweets 39 likes
    Undo
  15. Retweeted
    Jul 3

    Our doctors and nurses who were in Tajoura last night describe the situation as catastrophic. The targeting of civilian lives is a crime and immediate action is needed. This is another example of the suffering of migrants living in countries of crises.

    3 replies 59 retweets 74 likes
    Undo
  16. Retweeted
    Jul 2

    Carnage in as the Tajoura detention centre takes a direct hit. Dozens of innocent reported dead. This is not the first time this centre was in the line of fire since April 4 as its right next to barracks of the anti-LNA Daman militia.

    1 reply 29 retweets 13 likes
    Undo
  17. Jul 2

    "Grievances in highlight the need for managing the natural resources distribution and for a wider local governance that is including legislative and executive powers," said during our recent meeting. More interviews:

    1 reply 2 retweets 5 likes
    Undo
  18. Retweeted
    Jul 1

    The 's leadership has often changed throughout the course of the years, as emirs and commanders were killed or arrested. provides a "who's who" of the current high-ranking members of the Islamic State.

    21 retweets 24 likes
    Undo
  19. Jul 2

    "The narrative in Eastern is about neglected hopes for a decentralized and inclusive form of governance and re-distribution of wealth," said during our recent meeting. More interviews:

    2 replies 3 retweets 12 likes
    Undo
  20. Jul 2

    "The transformation of the economy of has to be designed based on a completely new model," said during the recent meeting of our . More interviews:

    3 likes
    Undo

@englks hasn't Tweeted yet.

Loading seems to be taking a while.

Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.