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han_Warai's profile
半笑い
半笑い
半笑い
@han_Warai

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半笑い

@han_Warai

パンとアイスばかり食ってます◆Love:ベイビーレイズJAPAN(高見奈央推し)生涯虎ガー🐯／BiSH(アイナ推し)／ブラマヨ(吉田推し)／De(今永推し)／競輪(荒川ひかり推し)◆一橋大→日本テレビ→フリーライター(競馬著書9冊@hanwarai_keiba)／大阪谷町雀荘「雀グルポケット」@janpoke_4店長

人生の南2局1本場あたり
Joined March 2010

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    半笑い‏ @han_Warai 20m20 minutes ago

    半笑い Retweeted たきれい

    この図のように都合良く接戦になるのはちょっと無理があるけど、現在無投票の部分が5人に均等に振り分けられるだけで確実に趨勢は変わりますもんね。https://twitter.com/takirei2/status/1142733175505879040 …

    半笑い added,

    たきれい @takirei2
    選挙についてぼやきます。 pic.twitter.com/5psSrAh6Hx
    Show this thread
    3:15 PM - 28 Jun 2019
    1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      1. New conversation
      1. ちじん‏ @chijine 16m16 minutes ago
        Replying to @han_Warai

        出口調査でテキトーに投票したという回答が増えても集票対策できないから何も変わらんと思うけど。

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      2. 半笑い‏ @han_Warai 13m13 minutes ago
        Replying to @chijine

        いやあれでしょ 単純に現職が6割取る票読みの選挙区で、同じ当選でも4割でした、ってだけで意味があるよって話だから 実際それが政策に反映さレルには結局1世代ぐらいの時間が必要だろうけどねえ…

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. ちじん‏ @chijine 7m7 minutes ago
        Replying to @han_Warai

        そこなんだけど、現在の与党においては小選挙で勝つか否かは大きな意味あるけど得票率って特に重要視されてない。（比例復活はびっくりするほど人権ないｗ）なので均等に票が積みあがるような方法じゃ焦らないよねって思う。どうせやるなら「現職」以外でテキトーに投票しろじゃないかな。

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. 半笑い‏ @han_Warai 5m5 minutes ago
        Replying to @chijine

        確かに。それが本音なんだろね… それを明言しちゃうと拡散されにくいっていう元ツイの人の意図もあるかしらね

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. ちじん‏ @chijine 3m3 minutes ago
        Replying to @han_Warai

        これ、そのとおりにやると焦るのは比例復活が現実的な野党議員だったりして。ボロ負け野党候補の惜敗率まで上がっちゃうから。

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        6. End of conversation

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