Кirill Semenov

@IbnRasibi

Independent analyst

Moscow, Russia
facebook.com/saqaliba
Joined November 2017
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    8 hours ago

    I wrote the text before the battle for Gharyan. But GNA’s victory in Gharyan only confirms the indicated trends. My latest:

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  2. Retweeted
    22 hours ago

    Because research in eastern Libya is so difficult, work on Libya’s economy of predation has long focused on Tripoli/western Libya. This excellent report by now shines a much-needed light on the activities of Haftar‘s forces. Must-read!

    3 replies 43 retweets 89 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    Jun 26

    But Haftar doesn't benefit from the element of surprise, nor can Daab hold out without extra support from outside (Asabaa, ...). Anti-LNA forces already mobilized in order to intercept forces that may attempt to support him. In short: hard to see LNA retake Gheryan now.

    7 retweets 18 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    Jun 26

    Rooting out Haftar's forces from Gharyan wouldn't have been possible without an element of surprise (misdirection w/ 's Int. Airport which was where consolidated defenses) & coordination with local Gheriani forces on standby in Gwasem that acted as support forces.

    1 reply 10 retweets 13 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    Jun 26

    Expect a counter-offensive from to retake Gheryan in coming hours. Without controlling it, the entire offensive is significantly hampered... One of the main problems Haftar will face is the exact same one anti-"" forces faced retaking the city: geography...

    1 reply 22 retweets 36 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    Jun 26
    Replying to

    Now clashes outside of the city to the south. The entire city is under the GNA now.

    2 replies 3 retweets 7 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    Jun 26

    forces have made it to the plains just north of , the mountain city used by as a central platform since Apr 3. Inside , clashes erupted & the added air strikes on top. Event is being distorted in various ways. 1 thing’s certain: not good for

    6 replies 24 retweets 51 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    Jun 26

    's decision to lead the Arab world in opening an embassy in is well-timed. If the Kushner Plan unravels as expected, Muscat can assume the role of de-escalating tensions between Israel and the Palestinian Authority, and showcase its rising status in .

    1 reply 14 retweets 22 likes
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  9. Jun 24

    Turkish military convoy includes a rocket launcher to the observation point in "Shir al-Maghar" west of Hama, Syria Call correspondent reports

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  10. Retweeted
    Jun 22

    Fighting rages inside International Airport between GNA forces and Haftar’s militia groups

    12 retweets 10 likes
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  11. Retweeted
    Jun 20

    's announcement that Turkey has supplied arms to the demonstrates its willingness to flex its military muscle in Libya to contain the 's support for Haftar's LNA Also, as Turkey's hopes for leverage in have faded, Libya has taken on renewed importance.

    2 replies 13 retweets 34 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    Jun 19

    ile arasında ordusu çekişmesi -

    2 retweets 7 likes
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  13. Retweeted
    Jun 19

    According to this image below, the may be sending Pantsir S-1 surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems to , where proxies fight an enemy with minimal air capabilities. Interesting to see how easy this is, after 8yrs of ignoring 's massacres from the air.

    photo for Pantsir S-1 mobile air defense system (Emirati supplied) with
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    13 replies 75 retweets 89 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    Jun 18

    Photos circulating on Libyan FB Pages claimed to be for the New Pantisr S-1 mobile air defense system upon its arrival in Gufra air base through UAE Military Transport aircraft.

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    9 replies 55 retweets 94 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    Jun 18

    medium-range Pantiser S-1 mobile air defense batteries appeared with preparing to participate in battle. This air defense system is being used with the same camouflage & vehicle by the

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    20 replies 137 retweets 183 likes
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  16. Jun 17

    إِن يَمْسَسْكُمْ قَرْحٌ فَقَدْ مَسَّ الْقَوْمَ قَرْحٌ مِّثْلُهُ ۚ وَتِلْكَ الْأَيَّامُ نُدَاوِلُهَا بَيْنَ النَّاسِ وَلِيَعْلَمَ اللَّهُ الَّذِينَ آمَنُوا وَيَتَّخِذَ مِنكُمْ شُهَدَاءَ ۗ وَاللَّهُ لَا يُحِبُّ الظَّالِمِينَ

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  17. Retweeted
    Jun 16

    "Even war has rules – but in Syria, there are none." Two op-eds by on the attacks on hospitals in Syria:

    2 replies 6 retweets 9 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Jun 15

    New update on the Idlib crisis. On healthcare, it says 49 clinics have ended/suspended work since fighting began, with 15 later resuming their services. No recently updated figure on displacement: notes ~300,000 fleeing from April 1 to May 22.

    1 reply 5 retweets 8 likes
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  19. Jun 16

    فرقة تابعة لجيش النظام تأوي قوات موالية لطهران.. تعرف عليها | SY24

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  20. Retweeted
    Jun 15

    Samer al-Sayasne was among the kids who wrote anti-Assad slogans in in 2011,he was displaced to last year but arrested in March 2019 when he tried to come back to Daraa, he was released yesterday with 20 other detainees

    1 reply 24 retweets 42 likes
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