Emile Hokayem اميل الحكيّمVerified account

@emile_hokayem

Middle East analyst (but not Islamism/jihadism). Not a PhD. I make a lot of typos. Twitter grouch but I am told I am nicer in person.

London, England
iiss.org/people/middle-…
Joined January 2011
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    May 27

    Best music to listen to while on a long writing spree... Vote and discuss:

    13 replies 5 likes
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  2. 8 minutes ago

    Add this in the UK re: arms sales to Saudi

    Big news...I'm not quite sure how this affects export licensing to KSA now, I suspect current systems already purchased and in the pipeline still continue, but obviously this will be a thorny issue for some time to come, and affect future sales.
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  3. 35 minutes ago

    Dizzying regional agenda and coincidences: Senate opposition to arms deals to Saudi; UN rapporteur’s report on Khashoggi assassination; Shanahan leaving; regular attacks on Saudi from Yemen; tension in the Gulf; Bahrain ‘peace’ conference and more

    1 reply 2 retweets 2 likes
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  4. 40 minutes ago

    Iran says over its territory, US in international airspace. Will someone show the debris? More importantly: crowded battle-space, actors on edge, everyone liable to making worse-case assumption etc.

    JUST IN: U.S. military drone shot down in international airspace over Strait of Hormuz by Iranian surface-to-air missile - U.S. official
    1 reply 2 retweets 2 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    Jun 18

    Mohammed Morsi's death takes us back to Egypt's revolutionary moment -- as writes, the country's only democratically-elected leader helped kill off Egypt's hopes for democracy

    5 replies 31 retweets 39 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    Jun 18

    Debate on last week’s attacks has so far focused on whether Iran was involved or not. I think that misses the more important question: if Iran did it, what is it trying to achieve? My latest (and not my title, btw)

    13 replies 108 retweets 150 likes
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  7. 20 hours ago

    A truly grim read about an awful act with lasting political and reputational repercussions.

    Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi was victim of "deliberate, premeditated execution," UN expert says in first independent report
    1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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  8. 22 hours ago

    All-star ⁦⁩ panel on India’s foreign and security policy. Our South Asia program has amazing breadth and depth, and great relevance to the Middle East. Fun fact: ⁦⁩ can also sing Fleetwood Mac’s “Go your own way” a cappella!

    1 reply 5 likes
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  9. Jun 18

    Aside from being our brilliant Aerospace specialist, Doug's other mission at the IISS is to fix my accent in English and, when that's done, to teach me the Scottish one...

    2:18
    Turkey's plans to purchase Russia's SA-21 is causing controversy. Our Senior Fellow for Military Aerospace, Douglas Barrie, explains why Turkey's decision is a problem for the US, who will revoke Turkey's access…
    1 reply 2 retweets 6 likes
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  10. Jun 18

    To my "What’s the protocol when the person ahead of you is walking erratically because he/she is busy reading/writing on his/her phone?", provides helpful location-specific advice:

    Replying to @emile_hokayem
    In Paris: sigh loudly ‘rhoooo’ and overtake In London: bump into person because on phone yourself In Berlin: start loud monologue on appropriate public behavior In Beirut: don’t care
    3 likes
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  11. Jun 18

    *walking

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  12. Jun 18

    What’s the protocol when the person ahead of you is walk erratically because he/she is busy reading/writing on his/her phone?

    6 replies
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  13. Retweeted
    Jun 17

    Mohamed ’s legacy is a complex one &we should not forget the grey shades. Democratically elected,ousted by a coup,disappeared,treated so badly in jail it likely amounted to torture. But his year in power was also a tricky &sometimes dark chapter in ’s history (thread)

    18 replies 151 retweets 202 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    Jun 18

    Again, shocking not surprising. State trying to avoid large crowds at funeral for a man now seen by many as a martyr. Morsi had many faults, but was Egypt's 1st democratically elected president. Egyptian state has learned nothing in yrs of repression under Mubarak and Sissi.

    A lawyer says Egypt's ousted President Mohammed Morsi, who collapsed and died in a Cairo courtroom, has been buried.
    2 replies 21 retweets 30 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    Jun 15

    The geopolitical costs of Trump’s pathological dishonesty: US allies are reluctant to hold Tehran responsible for fear of encouraging an aggressive US response. If Iran is found responsible and there are no costs it encourages more aggressive Iranian behavior.

    The reason why many Europeans are not rushing to blame Iran for the tanker attacks is not because they believe that anybody else is likely to be responsible but because they don’t want to be associated with the American response.
    30 replies 137 retweets 301 likes
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  16. Jun 17

    There is a trend to explain the Syrian conflict as essentially "secular Sunnis" versus "Islamist Sunnis" and dismiss the sectarian vectors. This is wrong, misleading and expedient for those who want to normalize the Syrian government. Thomas cuts through this BS...

    2 replies 9 likes
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  17. Jun 17

    Astute observation on the elusive Kushner Israel-Palestine plan: it (and its anticipation) serves as a cover for very real changes that will have a bigger, very adverse impact that the plan itself.

    It’s never being released, but it is being implemented.
    6 likes
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  18. Jun 17

    Salutary analysis of the much misrepresented, now overlooked but enduring issue of Syrian Sunnis, who at best sit in the outer circles of the Assad regime.

    Syrie : Assad reste, la question sunnite aussi - Centre Arabe de Recherches et d'Etudes Politiques de Paris
    2 replies 3 retweets 15 likes
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  19. Jun 14

    I am trying to enjoy a quiet Friday evening drinking gin-tonic and catching up on news and long reads about the Middle East but Assaad insists on reminding me of the much bigger catastrophe just around the corner.

    Arctic permafrost now melting at levels not expected until 2090 - with thawing levels 150 to 240% above historic levels, says shocking new scientific study …
    2 retweets 9 likes
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  20. Jun 13

    For the record, I am ridiculous the assertion because it is a ridiculous one.

    1 reply 3 likes
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  21. Jun 13

    Here is the take on today's drama in the Gulf of Oman by a senior Iranian official who oversaw Gulf affairs for years.

    US security services&Mossad main suspects for insecuring / oil export. KSA,UAE,Bahrain stupidity fan the flame of violence in region. powerfully protects national…
    5 replies 11 retweets 21 likes
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