2. When Syria protests erupted in 2011, he sent his PM to convince Assad. Now he himself calls Rouhani in a show of support.
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1. Erdogan is confused & that is what happens when you consolidate all power without having a voice of reason among your close circles.
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3. Erdogan has learnt lesson from Syria & he applies it to Iran. He is known for his U-turn but still doesn't want to do a U-turn on Assad.
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4. Turkey has accepted the realities of Middle East & Erdogan the idealist is gone forever. This is evident in all his latest moves.
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5. The problem is Turkey is all about Erdogan now. Institutions don't work. Judiciary, security & army are weakened.
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6. If Erdogan lives long enough & retains power long enough, he might be able to redesign Turkish state the way he wants.
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7. But nothing is stable about Turkey. Any moment a coup may take place l, a Gezi-style protest may erupt or elections may disrupt the flow.
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8. Erdogan still wants to leave a legacy but he may first need to survive. He is racing against time & many enemies with almost no friends.
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9. Erdogan is himself to be blamed for all of this. He alienated Gul & sacked Davutoglu who could have become heirs to his legacy.
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10. Erdogan may die as a strong man but his legacy may not survive his death and the party he dedicated his life to may evaporate after him.
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I don't see the confusion. He was always going to back the government...the Turks have too many interests bundled up with Iran to start taking firm stances on protests. Regardless of whether it had been Erdogan or not the position would have been the same.
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confusion is backing Iranian gov but calling its ally in Syria a terrorism.TR would've had a different position if Iran protest were in 2011
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