Lack of substantive response to a regime that thrives on escalation and iteratively shifting red lines is not really demonstrating that Turkey understands this
The strategic fact is that the #Asad/#Iran system wants #Idlib back and #Russia can't/won't stop them. Thus, #Turkey can't get a guarantee or deal from the pro-Asad coalition; it has to either credibly deter them or prepare to cope with the fallout of an offensive. #Syriahttps://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1139079863162159104 …
-
-
-
Exactly. It's not very reassuring when you ask around about this. Best that can be said is that Turkey is making the same mistake as everyone else (US, Israel, etc) in believing the Russians can be a quasi-partner to meet certain interests in Syria.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Despite cutting diplomatic ties with the Regime, Turkey has acted in a respectful manner in Syria and has never directly engaged the Regime militarily. Turkish backed forces have played a defensive role throughout the conflict.
-
But if Assad continues to target Turkish observation posts this can change quickly to the detriment of the Regime. Don't mistake Erdogan's patience for weakness.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
- Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Turkey has two choices: Fight or leave. I hope Turkey stays committed because no one else in the international community will.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
>strategic fact Your strategic fantasies
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.