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At this point I don't believe SAA military operations are part of a deal between Turkey and Russia, nor it is a limited offensive. Its aim is the capture all of Jabal al Zawiyah to regain at least half of rebel-held Idlib. With Russian conscentpic.twitter.com/oVKYxVSaC6
Capture of Jabal al-Zawiyah makes all flatland east of it indefensible for rebel factions. Moreover it is ideal staging ground for artillery & further military operations, bringing urban centers like Saraqeb & Idlib within range, turning them into a humanitarian prison.
I rarely make predictions and the outcome depends on a lot of (unknown) factors, but my educated guess is that next objectives are Tarmala & Maraat Hurmah.
One thing to add yet; likely SAA command is evaluating military operations in Latakia mountains. If they are clever enough there is room to open an other second axis: either to attract rebel forces away from Kafr Nabudah front or to support that one with a secondary axis.
Sound analysis but just because turkey didn't evacuate fighters doesn't mean there is no deal. Besides, there is nowhere to evacuate them to, and they can't evacuate Nusra and TIP. If there was no deal it would reflect on S400 and Russians would start demagogy regarding Afrin.
Wrong wrong wrong
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