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heissenstat's profile
Howard Eissenstat
Howard Eissenstat
Howard Eissenstat
@heissenstat

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Howard Eissenstat

@heissenstat

Mostly Turkey. @StLawrenceU and @POMED. Opinions-and snark-are mine alone. Contact: heissens AT http://stlawu.edu 

Canton, NY
Joined March 2014

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    1. Ziya Meral‏Verified account @Ziya_Meral 2h2 hours ago

      Ziya Meral Retweeted RUSI

      An important point.. And how it is almost fully ignored in articles on Turkey-US S400 crisishttps://twitter.com/rusi_org/status/1136194891569074176 …

      Ziya Meral added,

      RUSIVerified account @RUSI_org
      The first speaker on this panel is @anneapplebaum. @NATO strength is the believable security guarantee, but for the first time in its history the guarantee is not secure primarily because of Trump's 'America First' position. …
      1 reply 2 retweets 9 likes
      Howard Eissenstat‏ @heissenstat 2h2 hours ago
      Replying to @Ziya_Meral

      I think it is true. But I also think the S-400 crisis would be unfolding almost exactly the same under another US administration. If anything, Trump has proven *more* willing to bend than the USG overall on this. (which may or may not have caused Turkey to follow false leads)

      2:47 AM - 5 Jun 2019
      • 1 Retweet
      • 6 Likes
      • CasualtiesOfTheDay Nicholas Danforth biji berxwedana SDF Suat KINIKLIOGLU Ziya Meral
      2 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Ziya Meral‏Verified account @Ziya_Meral 2h2 hours ago
          Replying to @heissenstat

          Agree.. My point was more on pulling in Nato card to chastise Turkey in op-eds without reflecting on how rest of Nato sees US today and why most of Nato is worried but calm on s400s

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Howard Eissenstat‏ @heissenstat 1h1 hour ago
          Replying to @Ziya_Meral

          Ah, fair enough, then. We are in complete agreement.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Özgür Ünlühisarcıklı‏ @OzgurHisarcikli 1h1 hour ago
          Replying to @heissenstat @Ziya_Meral

          I think both Obama and Trump administrations have been extremely complacent in thinking that TR was not serious in purchasing a non-NATO alternative to Patriots. The Erdoğan administration in its turn is extremely complacent in thinking that Trump can save us from sanctions.

          2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        3. Nicholas Danforth‏ @NicholasDanfort 1h1 hour ago
          Replying to @OzgurHisarcikli @heissenstat @Ziya_Meral

          this seems like a key point: washington didnt think ankara would actually do it, ankara interpreted this as evidence washington didnt care.

          1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
        4. Aaron Stein‏ @aaronstein1 1h1 hour ago
          Replying to @NicholasDanfort @OzgurHisarcikli and

          S-400 decision came in December 2017, which means it was discussed amongst the nat sec elites a bit earlier, and in line w/ TR-RU entente in Syria to oppose the US. NATO has little to do with it, if anything. NATO will be undermined as an outcome but is not a variable as an input

          1 reply 4 retweets 7 likes
        5. Aaron Stein‏ @aaronstein1 1h1 hour ago
          Replying to @aaronstein1 @NicholasDanfort and

          The first report, in fact, came after the RTE apology. So it is an outgrowth of Turkey’s embrace of Russia as an enabler of its regional interests; therefore underscoring how TR is trying to compartmentalize its FP. RU in one box. US in another. NATO in another.

          1 reply 2 retweets 2 likes
        6. Aaron Stein‏ @aaronstein1 1h1 hour ago
          Replying to @aaronstein1 @NicholasDanfort and

          TR can only do this b/c it is so confident in its NATO membership. So, in fact, it is quite the opposite of a lack of faith in NATO. IT is taking the organization for granted.

          3 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
        7. Ziya Meral‏Verified account @Ziya_Meral 1h1 hour ago
          Replying to @aaronstein1 @NicholasDanfort and

          Because for NATO, question of Turkey is not merely incirlik or US opps in Mena.. From Balkans to Baltics to Black sea to Agean to counterterrorim to migration.. TR is still the difficult but sine qua non member

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        8. Alexander Clarkson‏ @APHClarkson 56m56 minutes ago
          Replying to @Ziya_Meral @aaronstein1 and

          This is a key point often glossed over in US discussions about Turkey. S400 issue is also a problem in terms of collective European defence and causes major issues for EU member states that can't just hope for Turkey to go away in the way the US sometimes seems to hanker after

          2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
        9. Ziya Meral‏Verified account @Ziya_Meral 53m53 minutes ago
          Replying to @APHClarkson @aaronstein1 and

          often ignored in overall discussions.. For us in N Europe and E Europe, Russia is a real and very serious threat.. For our peers in DC, seems China, Iran ranks higher.. And I often sense Nato is simply perceived through US policy lense, when majority of Nato worry on US

          2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
        10. 2 more replies

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