Titus Michaeleus

@TitusMichaeleus

Constant irritant. Eyes on MENA.

Joined November 2016
256 Photos and videos Photos and videos

You may also like

·

Tweets

You blocked @TitusMichaeleus

Are you sure you want to view these Tweets? Viewing Tweets won't unblock @TitusMichaeleus

  1. Retweeted
    22 minutes ago

    Tiger Forces pictures from Qalaat al-Mudiq. One is at the base of the south side of the ancient Afamea ruins, the other is somewhere within the town - currently attempting to geolocate.

    This media may contain sensitive material. Learn more
    2 replies 1 retweet
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  2. 1 hour ago

    And where the regime has been constrained in mass-displacing communities that resisted it, it has encountered extremely effective insurgency campaigns.

    Mass refugee flight and depopulated wastelands are not some side effect of the Assad regime's military strategy. Forced expulsion of entire potentially disloyal communities is at the heart of the Assad regime's military strategy.
    Show this thread
    4 retweets 4 likes
    Undo
  3. Retweeted
    1 hour ago

    Very Good Analysis

    As long expected, following ten days of intensive airstrikes and bombings, the regime has launched the beginning of a campaign to remove opposition presence from Northern Hama, parts of Southern Idlib and Latakia.
    Show this thread
    1 retweet 1 like
    Undo
  4. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    With Qalaat al-Madiq now reportedly in GoS hands as ground incursions into the buffer zone continue, some really good analysis here on what's been in and around Idlib—and the interests of Russia and Turkey

    As long expected, following ten days of intensive airstrikes and bombings, the regime has launched the beginning of a campaign to remove opposition presence from Northern Hama, parts of Southern Idlib and Latakia.
    Show this thread
    2 retweets 6 likes
    Undo
  5. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    Thread on the new (partial) Russia/Syrian assault on the remaining rebel held areas in

    As long expected, following ten days of intensive airstrikes and bombings, the regime has launched the beginning of a campaign to remove opposition presence from Northern Hama, parts of Southern Idlib and Latakia.
    Show this thread
    1 retweet 1 like
    Undo
  6. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    A thread on the recent developments in Idleb, and potential scenarios/explanations of what has been occurring vis a vis Turkey/Russia/Regime & Kurdish forces

    As long expected, following ten days of intensive airstrikes and bombings, the regime has launched the beginning of a campaign to remove opposition presence from Northern Hama, parts of Southern Idlib and Latakia.
    Show this thread
    1 retweet 2 likes
    Undo
  7. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    Good analysis on the current assault on Idlib.

    As long expected, following ten days of intensive airstrikes and bombings, the regime has launched the beginning of a campaign to remove opposition presence from Northern Hama, parts of Southern Idlib and Latakia.
    Show this thread
    4 retweets 3 likes
    Undo
  8. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    Spot on Analysis.

    As long expected, following ten days of intensive airstrikes and bombings, the regime has launched the beginning of a campaign to remove opposition presence from Northern Hama, parts of Southern Idlib and Latakia.
    Show this thread
    3 retweets 3 likes
    Undo
  9. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    Very good analysis on the current geopolitical game taking place in Idlib.

    As long expected, following ten days of intensive airstrikes and bombings, the regime has launched the beginning of a campaign to remove opposition presence from Northern Hama, parts of Southern Idlib and Latakia.
    Show this thread
    3 retweets 5 likes
    Undo
  10. 3 hours ago

    That said, the SAA hitting Turkish observation posts and patrols was clearly not envisaged as part of the plan, and escalations tend to take on their own dynamics, regardless of the intentions of the participants

    1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  11. 3 hours ago

    For what it is worth the current escalation looks like it is happening within clearly defined parameters and with minimal ‘overflow’ of unexpected escalation, that is to say it’s an example of Astana functioning as Turkey and Russia intended rather than evidence of a breakdown

    The current dynamics leave open possibility that current offensive "merely" implementation of a widely discussed side deal centred on Aleppo (M4 for Tell Rifaat access). Alternate, and more dangerous, possibility that Astana may be coming apart.
    Show this thread
    1 reply 5 retweets 3 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  12. Retweeted
    4 hours ago

    Very informative thread.

    As long expected, following ten days of intensive airstrikes and bombings, the regime has launched the beginning of a campaign to remove opposition presence from Northern Hama, parts of Southern Idlib and Latakia.
    Show this thread
    1 reply 5 retweets 3 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  13. 4 hours ago

    Update - unconfirmed reports that Qalaat al Mudiq had been handed over without a fight

    Thus far they have taken the strategic Tal Othman and Kafr Nabuda in Hama, opening the way for assaults on Hish and/or Qalaat al Mudiq. They are also likely to open a front to take Kabani in Latakia, with the…
    Show this thread
    1 reply
    Undo
  14. Retweeted
    4 hours ago

    Good luck with latakia, I hope they choke on it

    As long expected, following ten days of intensive airstrikes and bombings, the regime has launched the beginning of a campaign to remove opposition presence from Northern Hama, parts of Southern Idlib and Latakia.
    Show this thread
    1 reply 5 retweets 4 likes
    Undo
  15. 4 hours ago

    The international community has made some noises of alarm at current events, but without determined action from the US - and as so often in Syria - the indiscriminate violence and the deliberate targeting of hospitals and first responders will continue unabated and with impunity

    6 retweets 9 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  16. 4 hours ago

    ...they cannot hold ground they retake and will eventually be forced out by the superior fire power of the regime. Thus - more than it ever was - battles in northern Syria are arranged and decided before they even start between each sides’ respective backers

    1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  17. 4 hours ago

    What is clear thus far is that there is a (legitimate) sense of outrage and betrayal amongst syrians in the deescalation zone at Turkey’s (lack of) action. It is also clear that whilst the opposition can extract costs from the regime for advances, and sometimes stop them...

    1 reply 3 retweets 6 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  18. 4 hours ago

    in order to ensure whatever they have planned for Idlib remains on course. Finally Turkey could simply lack the means to push back on Russia. Under the terms of the deal they were supposed to have stopped opposition attacks, particularly on Hmeimim- clearly this has not happened

    1 reply 5 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  19. 4 hours ago

    groups not under direct Turkish control like Jaysh al Izza. They left the Astana process and threatened to attack joint Turkish-Russian patrols. This puts them in the position of spoiler to Russian-Turkish cooperation and it may be that Turkey sees their removal as expedient

    1 reply 2 retweets 5 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo
  20. 4 hours ago

    There are a number of potential quid quo pros here for Turkey. Firstly, it could simply be exchanging one parcel of land for another - regime gets what it wants in Hama and Turkey gets, say, Tal Rifaat. Secondly, the brunt of the defence of the offensive is being born by...

    1 reply 4 retweets 6 likes
    Show this thread
    Show this thread
    Undo

@TitusMichaeleus hasn't Tweeted yet.

Loading seems to be taking a while.

Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.