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Oded121351's profile
Oded Berkowitz
Oded Berkowitz
Oded Berkowitz
@Oded121351

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Oded Berkowitz

@Oded121351

Intelligence analyst at a private geopolitical risk consulting firm. Tweet mainly on Egypt, Libya and the rest of the Maghreb.

Israel
Joined June 2015

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    1. Oded Berkowitz‏ @Oded121351 24m24 minutes ago

      #Libya- it's only day 3 of Operation "Flood of Dignity". Despite initial successes, LNA is still only at outskirts of #Tripoli&facing resistance. Nonetheless, Haftar met with Nadoori, al-Thani&Bushnav (MoI) to discuss fate of Tripoli & western region after conclusion of operationpic.twitter.com/5hvqzQyq1s

      1 reply 8 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
      Oded Berkowitz‏ @Oded121351 19m19 minutes ago

      I mean, let's assume the LNA goes all out. Let's assume it's a full and unrestrained military campaign. It took the LNA over 3 years to capture Benghazi. About a year to take Derna. These guys are being extremely optimistic...

      10:31 AM - 6 Apr 2019
      • 2 Retweets
      • 10 Likes
      • -- GEROMAN -- Alexander Clarkson Nafusa Eman Salah Azor 🇵🇸 whats that Milo Cahill Antony Watson Anzar Mezghiche
      6 replies 2 retweets 10 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Wyvern‏ @WyvernReports 15m15 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          What is the chance UAE, France or Egypt get involved military to aid Haftar?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Oded Berkowitz‏ @Oded121351 13m13 minutes ago
          Replying to @WyvernReports

          They're all involved at various degrees.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Wyvern‏ @WyvernReports 9m9 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          Specifically for the capture of Tripoli too?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Oded Berkowitz‏ @Oded121351 6m6 minutes ago
          Replying to @WyvernReports

          *So far* there are no indications of *direct* involvement.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Wyvern‏ @WyvernReports 5m5 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          Thank you.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Alexander Clarkson‏ @APHClarkson 8m8 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          How high do you think the chances are of a deal between Misrata's oligarchy and Haftar?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Oded Berkowitz‏ @Oded121351 7m7 minutes ago
          Replying to @APHClarkson

          I would imagine not very high. But if you'd have told me 4 days ago that Haftar would start the Tripoli operations tomorrow, I'd have given it even lower chances, so...

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Alexander Clarkson‏ @APHClarkson 5m5 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          This is Libya. If in a week we see pictures of Abdulrahman Swehli and Haftar sipping espressos in a cafe on the Via del Corso I wouldn't be surprised

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        5. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. محمودي  🤗‏ @M7moudey 18m18 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          The LNA now not the one was 3 years ago 🙄

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Oded Berkowitz‏ @Oded121351 14m14 minutes ago
          Replying to @M7moudey

          True. But Derna just recently concluded (and still not really all over).

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. محمودي  🤗‏ @M7moudey 5m5 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          Any army in the wold will take alot of time to win house to house fight if he doesn’t want to destroy every thing in his way and get alot of casualties ... i think LNA make a great achievement in 24H the only thing iam afraid of is Supply lines is to far & can be cut or attacked

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        5. End of conversation
        1. -- GEROMAN --‏ @GeromanAT 2m2 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          LNA will cut off the roads on the eastern side and so Tripoli will be under siege. How do you think the population of Tripoli will react?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Олег‏ @6M7Huf8Q5KDJ8vD 6m6 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          Sponsors of terrorists (United States, Israel, Britain ...) do not have enough strength! Haftar will win!

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Nafusa‏ @Nafussa 10m10 minutes ago
          Replying to @Oded121351

          This is more of a propaganda war than a military one. The probability of success in Western Libya diminish daily because of logistics and the surprise factor

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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